25 April 2016

Update no.749

Update from the Heartland
No.749
18.4.16 – 24.4.16
To all,

            The follow-up news items:
-- Well, surprise, surprise!  After the Justice Department filed another legal suit against Apple, Inc. to circumvent the iPhone security provisions [747], the USG dropped its court case against Apple.  In a one-page letter filed with a Brooklyn federal court, the USG claimed an individual had recently come forward to offer the passcode to the long-locked phone.  The filing means that in both of the high-profile cases pitting the Justice Department against Apple, the government first said it could not open the phone, only to suddenly announce it had found a way to open the device.  And, these flawed men want us to trust them . . . incredible!
-- After landing and an extended stop in Hawaii [707], the solar-powered, Solar Impulse II landed safely in Moffett Field, Mountain View, California, at 23:45 [U] PDT, Saturday, 23.April.2016 {07:45 [Z] GMT, 24.4.2016}, following a 62-hour, nonstop solo flight without fuel across the remaining Pacific Ocean.  The aircraft suffered a substantial delay due to damage from seriously overheated batteries during the Japan to Hawaii leg.  The unique, solar-powered aircraft took off from Abu Dhabi [691, 9.3.2015] on its circumnavigation of the planet using solar-generated, electric power only.  Swiss explorer and psychiatrist Bertrand Piccard piloted the Hawaii to California leg.  He shares the piloting duties with Swiss businessman and pilot André Borschberg.  They have quite a distance yet to fly; yet, regardless of the outcome, this has been a monumental engineering and piloting accomplishment.  Congratulations must go to the Solar Impulse II team.
-- You know, the GOP front-runner is correct; the primary system is rigged [748].  It is rigged in favor of those candidates who choose to play by the rules, to respect the individuality of the state party apparatuses, and respect the political process.  The GOP front-runner clearly believes the rules do NOT apply to him.  His conduct appears quite akin to royal prerogative, i.e., the divine right of kings to do as they wish – the rules do not apply to them.  Beyond the GOP front-runner’s conduct, I am truly gobsmacked at how many American citizens are accepting his sense of royal prerogative.

            News from the economic front:
-- The European Central Bank (ECB) left all its interest rates unchanged.  ECB President Mario Draghi indicated his organization stands ready to use “all instruments available,” including further cuts in all its interest rates, to ensure inflation returns to its target. 

            Comments and contributions from Update no.748:
“Just seen the video of the Falcon 9 landing-extraordinary absolutely. I assume the cost of ‘recycling’ the booster will show as a credit to the expense they’ve incurred. However a remarkable and superb achievement.
“Much going on this side. The nation is ‘gripped’ in the debate about the European Union. We have a national referendum in June, ‘in or out’ is the question. One hardly knows what to think about this business. The governing party are split in their views which is a sad event indeed. Whereas the opposition have rallied to the ‘stay in’ side.  This is a huge decision for us and not helped by our leaders disagreeing with each other.
“Of course the right wingers are extremely vocal, basing much of their argument on the desperate refugee situation in Europe.
“‘We don’t want ‘em’.
“Whereas those of a more compassionate nature are pleading that we should stay in and take in more refugees.
“I suppose Cap we were all ‘refugees or foreigners ’ in our pasts. My own great grandmother had a very French surname.
“This is an enormous question for the British people and one I fear is too complex for most of us to grasp the severity of our decision. Regrettably we are not being helped by the endless bickering of our would be leaders.
“We shall see.”
My reply:
            Re: SpaceX booster landing.  Yes, launch cost reduction is the motivation and objective for recovery of the first stage booster.  Agreed . . . very impressive achievement.  The process will have knock-on benefits in other future projects.
            Re: European Union vote.  I have always believed the notion of a United States of Europe proposed by Sir Winston prior to WW2 was an exceptional objective and the best hope to avoid another European War – strength in unity.  I hope the majority of British voters decide wisely on voting day.
            Re: refugees.  I am not a fan of or advocate for absorbing refugees for a host of reasons, but they must be protected from their assailants.  At the end of the day, national security is more important than internalized compassion.  I do not have to invite homeless folks into my home to assist them.
            Re: the past.  As always, in such questions, it all depends upon how far back we wish to go.  Evolution tells us we are all descendants from the same genetic source 3.2M years ago, so unless we are living in the Great Rift Valley of Africa, we are all immigrants, refugees or interlopers everywhere.  My paternal ancestors were French Huguenots.  I suppose the salient question is, when does anyone qualify as a native?
            You will vote before we do.  May the Good Lord give you the wisdom and insight you need, as well as your countrymen, to vote for what is best for the British people.  Godspeed and following winds.
[Postscript not included in ths thread: President Obama offered a compelling case in favor of European Union in his speech in Hannover, Germany.  I am with him, a united Europe to just too bloody important for a host of reasons.  Frankly, from my humble perspective, the pro’s vastly outnumber and outweigh the con’s on this question.]

Another contribution:
“To paraphrase you, regarding the direction our country has been heading and may continue to head.
“I trust history shall record the consequences of our behavior, conduct and misdeeds, and correctly label us for what we were – A once great civilization.”
My response:
            Re: “A once great civilization.  The implication of your statement is that you have bought into the notion we are no longer great.  Compared to the cataclysmic trauma of the 60’s & 70’s, I have some difficulty understanding the basis of your conclusion.
            Or, perhaps we are dealing with a definition problem.  What defines “great” in this context?  By whatever definition you subscribed to, when was the last time we were “great”
 . . . Round two:
“I wish I had the time to devote to providing you the answer you deserve, for I admire greatly your devotion to your blog and the research you put forth in providing us timely and informative discourse on the events of the day.  However, without the facts to back me up I will try to offer something short as to what is not great so as to provide you some semblance of an answer.  In my opinion we are presently led by the worst Commander-in-Chief of all time—in my lifetime.  We have incident after incident of governmental wrong-doing with seemingly no disciplinary action being taken, no example of leadership set by the leader of our country.  We have a democratic presidential front-runner that should be in jail.  In addition we have the present leadership and the democratic hopeful that both have disdain for our military.  We have a growing entitlement base that has disdain for authority and for contributing to society, and quite possibly disdain for the military as well.  Under the reigns of Carter, Clinton, and obama [sic], I see a trend of deterioration and I see that continuing with the portent of a win by the DNC later this year, and with no hope of ever reversing that deterioration.  I hope I am wrong, but I see too much dissension on the Republican side for the GOP to get their act together.  If the DNC had a candidate other than a socialist catering to the millennials or a liar extraordinaire catering to who knows what I could be easily tempted to vote Democrat for the first time in my life.
“And as to the last time we were great, I will say that was under the leadership of Ronald Regan.  However, what first came to mind when I saw your question was the time during WWII.  Before that it would have to be when Teddy Roosevelt was president.”
 . . . my response to round two:
            Re: “worst Commander-in-Chief of all time.  In my humble opinion, that label should go to Jimmy Carter for several reasons.  Further, to be candid, forthright and sincere, I had many more military disagreements with Bush (43) than with Obama.  We can go into the details as you may wish.  As an example, Bush (43) must be accountable for allowing Rumsfeld to remain SecDef after 9/11; he might have been acceptable for a cost-cutting or reform Defense Department, but he was nothing short of a tragedy as a war SecDef.  The greatest mistake of the Bush (43) administration was even attempting the Battle of Iraq on the cheap, e.g., roughly 300,000 troops (192,000 Americans) were committed to take ALL of Iraq, while 956,000 troops (500,000 Americans) were committed just to retake Kuwait.  [What’s wrong with this picture?]  The rampant looting in Baghdad after the fall of the Iraqi government was a classic example of what happens when there are insufficient troops to secure the country taken.  While Bush has a better reputation with the military, he made far worse military decisions than ANY of the Obama decisions.  A lot of Americans died because of the bad decisions of Bush / Rumsfeld, and I will argue the ISIL we face today grew from that mistake, a failure to secure the country once we owned it.
            Re: “I see a trend of deterioration.  Simply put, I do not.  I think the tearing of our societal fabric was far worse in the 60’s and early 70’s than we see today.  We had a bad patch back then, but we endured and became better.  The combination of the societal tragedy of the Great Recession (its direct causes) along with the prevailing threat of Islamo-fascism have placed our societal under enormous stress.  Instead of focusing our ire on the root causes of that stress, we erroneously find attraction to those outside the political norm, i.e., any port in a storm.
            Actually, I could agree with your assessment of the primary situation to date.  With the results from the New York closed primary, it is looking like the Fall election may well be the two front-runners.  We shall see.
            Re: great.  I still suppose this topic hangs upon definitions.  Even the vaunted Reagan made serious mistakes, e.g., Iran-Contra, sending Marines into Lebanon with seriously restricted rules of engagement, et cetera.  Even WW2, FDR was and still is despised by Republicans for his legislative and executive actions during the Great Depression, allowing their political bias to overshadow what FDR accomplished during the war.  Fortunately, enough reasonable Republicans supported the President, e.g., Knox, Stimson, Donovan, et al.  I see this pessimistic “Great Again” mantra as simple political drivel rather than substantive rhetoric.
 . . . Round three:
“One thing is clear.  I certainly provide good fodder for your informed retorts.”
 . . . my response to round three:
            Quite so and thank you for your contributions.  After all, the primary purpose of the Update is a vigorous public debate of contemporary issues.
[Another postscript not included in the thread: As noted above, I have been and continue to be critical of ‘Rummy’ Rumsfeld for his performance (or lack of performance) as SecDef and the number of Americans killed as a consequence.  One of the principal, if not primary, reasons I have been so critical of Carter is his SecDef Harold Brown.  In calm retrospect, using the SecDef metric, the worst has to be Johnson and his SecDef Robert Strange McNamara, who managed to kill more Americans with his incompetence than all SecDef’s combined since the job came into existence in 1947.  On balance, I give Johnson credit for the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and the Voting Rights Act of 1965.  Carter had no positive counter-balance.]

A different contribution from the same contributor:
“Why are the numbers of available primary delegates different for the DNC vs. the GOP in each state?  Maybe I have forgotten a basic lesson in Civics.”
My reply:
            Short answer: the political parties establish the numbers, the rules, and everything else about the candidate selection process.  The number of delegates for each state is roughly based on number of party members in each state.  The super-delegates are party members in Congress and DNC leadership.
 . . . follow-up comment:
“So, rather than having one set of rules that all abide by, the different party factions have the prerogative of massaging the rules as befits their needs as they perceive them?  This makes me wonder what perks are available to delegates or party members.”
 . . . my follow-up reply:
            Again, short answer: yes!  The political parties are private organizations.  They (the members) decide what rules shall govern their affairs, as long as no one is injured, property damages or other laws violated.  The political parties enable (allow) the state parties to define their rules for electing their delegates.  Frankly, there is wisdom in that diversity.  It forces candidates to have a ground game in all 50 states and the territories, rather what we witness today with the GOP front-runner trying to muscle or intimidate his way to the party nomination with a minimalist ground game.
            Re: perks for delegates.  According to the GOP front-runner, if we can believe or trust anything he says, he can fly them anywhere in his private jet (which apparently has had its operating certificate suspended), put them up in his resorts, all expenses paid, et cetera.  Is that buying their vote?  Sure looks like it to me.  Yet, again according to “him,” such ethical transgressions are permitted “under the rules.”

Comment to the Blog:
“I still detest the Republican front runner. Back when I was a secretarial science major, we were taught to make these buffoons look good until we could find better jobs. Many of his staffers do exactly that. (I later learned, as a communications major, how to work with the crises caused, by their communication and other failings, for a hefty fee.)
“All the same, people seem not to realize that both he and Senator Sanders are actually doing what so many of the Second Amendment wing-nuts claim to be preparing for—fighting a corrupt government that is ruining the country. This is the real way those battles take place, from the view of people I know who support either of those candidates. The idea of a few thousands or tens of thousands of semi-organized wannabe fighters taking on the largest military the world has ever known (complete with total surveillance of the population) is ludicrous. The idea of a populist winning an election despite the merciless maneuverings of both parties makes better sense. That has been done at least once, by Teddy Roosevelt. (There’s more history to study there, but the basis holds.) We may hope that the more rational and experienced populist, Senator Sanders, emerges a winner from his party’s milling machine. The reason for that is simple. The only candidates with real chances of winning will be those chosen by the two major party primary processes. At this point, the Democrat nominee is almost certain to win, per many and varied polls. (Remember that the election is typically decided by independents, who are less of a factor in primaries.) Your statement that the Democrat primary is ‘not the election of the next president’ is thus either ill-informed or disingenuous. Besides, you comment on the Republican primary freely and extensively. Why not discuss the Democrats? I see it as important to note that the Democrat internal party process is more effective so far than the Republicans’ at suppressing dissent. Besides the internal machinations, there is some reason the traditional media failed to cover the viewer-grabbing story of Sanders’ campaign for so long. Finally finding it unavoidable, they continue to downplay his chances. We hear nothing of the ways Clinton could stumble again, either.
“Changing the phrase for this nation at its founding to ‘Christian people’ still oversimplifies. The Christian population was undoubtedly a majority, but they were widely varied in their religious and political beliefs. There were always substantial populations of non-Christians, and at this late date we need also to include Native Americans and slaves, many of whom retained their African and/or Caribbean beliefs.”
My response to the Blog:
            Re: service to the buffoons.  Quite so.  One of my motives when I decided to leave the cockpit for management was along those lines.  I wanted to prove you did not have to be an asshole to be successful in business.  I failed!
            Re: the current two-party political system.  Interesting observations.  I have never . . . well, actually, I guess never is not the correct word, since I considered myself a Republican until Richard Nixon became president.  I have been a dedicated, moderate, independent, non-partisan ever since and remain so to this day.
            Re: “Why not discuss the Democrats?”  Well, I certainly have spent more words on the Republican front-runner than I have all other candidates combined.  My bad!  However, I do believe I have offered support and criticism about both of the remaining Democratic candidates as well as about candidates who are no longer actively running – both Republican and Democrat.  If you have something -- anything -- you want to say about the Democratic candidates, you are most welcome to do so, at your convenience.
            I am not particularly concerned about the primary process . . . other than the rules are the rules.  When the political parties complete their choices and the election ballot is defined, I will make my choice of those on the ballot before I cast my vote on Election Day.
            Re: “Christian people.  I can agree with your assessment.  My understanding of demographics both then and now suggests Christians remain the majority religious affiliation in this Grand Republic, although diminishing in fraction of our citizenry.  Yes, exactly, there have always been non-Christians in our citizenry from the Founding to present, and that fraction is increasing in size.
 . . . Round two:
“The problem with saying ‘the rules are the rules’ is that the rules are rigged, geared not to furthering the representative republic but to keeping the corrupt in power. This explains simply why populists from all over the political spectrum are in rebellion. Regardless of pretty much anything else, we know that our ‘leaders’ serve corporations, Wall Street, and the wealthy. We don't believe anything establishment figures say, whether it's ‘our’ party or the other gang.”
 . . . my response to round two:
            Re: “the rules are rigged.  Yes, they are, as we should all expect in any non-governmental organization.  The political parties are emphasizing what their ‘leadership’ believes is necessary for their organizations.  The primaries are NOT elections.  They are internal party political selection events by the rigged rules.  Primary voters are NOT electing the next president; they are only selecting their candidate to represent them.  I was not allowed to vote, as I refuse to declare an affiliation with any political party, but I am not offended by that exclusion.  Further, both political parties emphasize state party apparatuses, and they also are rigged per the motives of state party leaders.  So, for those who choose affiliate with and vote in party selection events, the choices are: play by the rules, change the rules before the next primary in their state, or take their affiliation elsewhere.  Some of the state parties made a huge mistake in opening primaries.  In those states, we have NO idea what real votes will look like in the real election.
            Re: “our ‘leaders’ serve corporations, Wall Street, and the wealthy.  It has always been . . . follow the money.  And, thanks to the Supremes’ terrible Citizens United ruling, we have made the money much harder to follow.  This is where I agree absolutely with Bernie Sanders – our political system is, has been and will continue to be corrupted by money . . . until we change the system.
 . . . Round three:
“I was not making a legal point but speaking as an observer. The parties may not be selecting a President through their primaries in some legal sense, but functionally that's exactly what they are doing. Due to the two-party system, we will be said to elect one of the two people selected in this less-than-democratic process. Call it what you will, it subverts the intention of the Constitution, which never addresses dominant political parties. The Founders hoped to avoid this sad situation, but only attempted to address it through the misguided electoral college. That tries to stop malignant forces, but fails because it relies on people already in power.  It may be a saving grace that neither major party has sold itself to the Millennial generation. They may yet overturn those corrupt powers.”
. . . my response to round three:
            Thank you for your observations, perspective and opinions.
            The Constitution does not address many aspects of life, as we know it today.  Heck, senators were ‘elected’ by state legislatures until passage of the 17th Amendment (1913), with the first election of U.S. senators by We, the People, in 1914.
            We have discussed the Electoral College many times.  My opinion has not changed.  I still believe in the wisdom of the Founders / Framers to avoid simple, popular elections.  I think we bear witness in this silly season why the Founders were correct to avoid simple, popular elections.
            I certainly agree that corruption (direct and indirect) has been a persistent threat to the election process.  Something, many things, must change to lessen, if not eliminate, the influence of money, which has become a new form of royalty.
            At the end of the day, I think we both seek the same objective – fair, reasonable, uncorrupted elections – federal, state and local.
 . . . Round four:
“We are in agreement as to the ultimate goal, but the parties' machinery makes decisions too important to all of us to be left to self-interested power brokers. If we see the political parties in the same light as we do the Salvation Army or the Red Cross, we risk our national future. (Actually, the Red Cross works with more regulation than the politicians. Scary thought, huh?)”
 . . . my response to round four:
            In essence, it seems, you are suggesting the political parties be eliminated or regulated at the federal level, and supersede the states.  If my perception is correct, I can see attractions, but I also see detractors.  While we can all see the bad things, this may be one of those ‘be careful what you wish for’ situations – the result may be far worse than what we have now.
. . . Round five:
“The parties cannot be eliminated and regulation would entail major issues. Rather than try to control the parties we have, we need to find ways to make life easier for additional parties.  They already exist, and I imagine at least two (the Libertarians and the Green Party) could draw members if they could get their messages out as easily as the two major parties. How to get this through the parties that have a tight grip on the process is a good question. Businesses do that by presenting cost / analysis. Because so many people are interested right now in changing the system, addressing the electorate rather than the entrenched politicians would probably be more effective. That leaves the question of getting the message to the people. Perhaps the heart of that task would be best by Internet.”
 . . . my response to round five:
           You know, frankly, I agree.  I would love to see a proper debate between the candidates for the various political parties – Democratic, Republican, Libertarian, Green, Constitutional . . . heck, we might even throw in the Communists, Socialists and Reform.  Part of the flip side of the inclusive coin is where do we draw the line?  How does one qualify to be considered a viable candidate?  There needs to be a threshold, or things get out of control, e.g., 17 individuals for just the Republican nomination.  Even independents (no party affiliation) would be acceptable . . . if they met the threshold requirement.  The difficulty is the Press, who are driven by ratings, commercial sales, shareholder return, et cetera, and thus are susceptible to manipulation.  Perhaps an independent governmental body, like what the Federal Election Commission should be, should sponsor or host debates for those who qualify to the threshold level.  One thing for certain, I want to hear other voices, which is precisely why I continue to do this Update.

            My very best wishes to all.  Take care of yourselves and each other.
Cheers,
Cap                 :-)

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