30 July 2012

Update no.554


Update from the Heartland
No.554
23.7.12 – 29.7.12
Blog version:  http://heartlandupdate.blogspot.com/
To all,

I finally made my way through the Supreme Court’s recent health care ruling – National Federation of Independent Business v. Sebelius [566 U.S. ___ (2012); no. 11–393] {henceforth, NFIB}, the combination of three primary appeals court cases.  It was not an easy read – far too many collateral detours.  The law in question was the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA) [PL 111-148; 124 Stat. 119] [432].  The keystone in the entire PPACA arch was the so-called individual mandate, specifically Title I, Subtitle F, §1501 (b) – Requirement to maintain minimum essential coverage [124 Stat. 119, 244; 26 USC 5000A] [512].  In a rather odd decision, Chief Justice John Glover Roberts, Jr., wrote for the 5-4 majority and concluded, “The Federal Government does not have the power to order people to buy health insurance.  Section 5000A would therefore be unconstitutional if read as a command.  The Federal Government does have the power to impose a tax on those without health insurance.  Section 5000A is therefore constitutional, because it can reasonably be read as a tax.”  While the Court upheld the critical individual mandate, the Supremes struck down the Title I, Subtitle B, expansion of Medicaid programs to cover low-income citizens who earn less than 133% of the federal poverty level, as unauthorized overreach by Congress, imposing upon the spending autonomy of the states.  In assessing the consequences of the Court’s judgment, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated the NFIB ruling would reduce the 10-year cost of PPACA by US$84B, but will leave 3 million disadvantaged citizens without access to health insurance. Associate Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, writing a concurring opinion, spent considerable effort reviewing the social, financial and political rationale for the PPACA, and she articulated quite well the dilemma faced by this Grand Republic in addressing the broad health care issue.  She noted, “In the 1990's, several States--including New York, New Jersey, Washington, Kentucky, Maine, New Hampshire, and Vermont--enacted guaranteed-issue and community-rating laws without requiring universal acquisition of insurance coverage. The results were disastrous.”  The attempts created an insurance “death spiral” that leaves insurance companies with progressive more ill patients and less healthy folks over which to distribute the costs, as the threshold of affordability inevitably increases.  Massachusetts broke the “death spiral” with passage of Mass. Gen. Laws, ch. 111M, §2 (West 2011), reassuring the insurers that they would not be left with only the sick as customers.
            Beyond the immediate impact of the PPACA implementation, the NFIB decision was far more interesting and potentially far-reaching for the collateral debate among the justices regarding the Commerce Clause (Article I, §8, clause 3).  In their agreement, or at least concurrence, Roberts and Ginsburg carried out a tête-à-tête on the interpretation of the Commerce Clause.  The Chief Justice rejecting use of the Commerce Clause, while Ginsburg defended the government’s use of the Commerce Clause in such cases.  The joint dissent observed, “It is true that, at the end of the day, it is inevitable that each American will affect commerce and become a part of it, even if not by choice.  But if every person comes within the Commerce Clause power of Congress to regulate by the simple reason that he will one day engage in commerce, the idea of a limited Government power is at an end.”  In Wickard v. Filburn [317 U.S. 111 (1942)], the Court vastly expanded the reach of Congress via the Commerce Clause when they sustained the Government’s authority to regulate an individual farmer’s ability to raise wheat fir his familial use.  At least in NFIB, the Court said no, the Commerce Clause is not an acceptable authority to sustain the individual mandate of the PPACA.  The argument to use the Commerce Clause as rationale and justification in such cases is the very root cause of governmental intrusion into our private lives and affairs.  The Court was precisely correct to reject the use of the Commerce Clause to support the PPACA individual mandate.  It is that rejection that should overturn Wickard and the myriad of cases that sustain the abuses of the Controlled Substances Act [PL 91-513; 84 Stat. 1236, 1242].  The Government has full authority to regulate the interstate transportation and sale of psychotropic substances, but it has NO authority to regulate or interfere with the private consumption of such substances.  The power to regulate interstate commerce should have never been utilized to prohibit private conduct, including not acting in any particular circumstance.  If we count the portion of the NFIB decision that argued the invalidity of the Commerce Clause relative to sustainment of the PPACA, the ruling was more about that legal challenge than the PPACA itself. 
            Nonetheless, the Court affirmed the constitutionality of the PPACA.  Now, we must focus on improvement of PPACA and figuring out how to ensure low-income citizens have access to adequate health care.  We all pay for the uninsured.  The only question is how best to perform that task.  Getting those costs into the sunshine is far better than the hidden costs of the status quo ante.  Let us move on.

News from the economic front:
-- State-owned Cnooc is the largest offshore oil company by production in the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and reportedly will buy Canadian oil and gas producer Nexen for US$15.1B in cash, making the deal the largest overseas energy acquisition to date for the PRC.  If the deal is consummated, Cnooc will gain ownership of oil and gas reserves in western Canada, along with previous acquisitions in the U.K.'s North Sea, the Gulf of Mexico and offshore Nigeria.
-- The HSBC Purchasing Mangers’ Index (PMI) for the PRC is on track to rise from 48.2 last month to 49.5 in July, which still would be below the 50 threshold that indicates growth.
-- The Wall Street Journal reported their assessment of interviews, speeches and testimony to Congress of Federal Reserve officials, suggests an impatience with the economy's sluggish growth and high unemployment, and their willingness to take new steps to spur activity and hiring. They find the current state of the economy unacceptable.  Don’t we all!
-- The United States Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at a meager annual rate of 1.5% between April and June.  The GDP contracted from the revised 2% growth rate for 1Q2012 and a 4.1% rate for 4Q2011.

Comments and contributions from Update no.553:
Subject: Bill Moyers NRA video
From: tloe@austin.rr.com
Date: Tue, July 24, 2012 12:39 pm
To: cap@parlier.com
Dad,
“Would be curious to hear your thoughts on Moyer's video.  I have always been a proponent of outlawing certain guns.  You have always countered with the (imho) overused statement of "Guns don't kill people.  People kill people."  Then my counter to that would be over the past 200+ years and more specifically the last 50 years, we as a People have demonstrated that we're not intelligent enough to allow guns in our society. Period.  What's it going to take for change?  More education?  FAIL.  Do I honestly believe there will be change?  No.  We're too far imbedded in our own ideologies (the much outdated 2nd Amendment to be specific) for change.  But alas, C'est la vie!”
[Video URL in question:]
My response:
Tyson,
            I appreciate the frustration.  Life is rarely simple, or easily understood.  Like you, I wish there were no bad people and we could all just get along.  Alas, human beings are not always governed by logic, reason and respect for their fellow mankind.  James Holmes could not see human beings in front of him; he had NO respect for life.  We do not yet know his motive(s), but none of them can be good, rational or justified.
            I trust that your questions were not rhetorical, so I shall treat them as bona fide queries.
            Re: “What's it going to take for change?”  The answer depends upon the change you seek.  If the change you imply is the eradication of all firearms from civil society, then I am afraid that objective is NOT possible and retain our freedom.  Prohibition of firearms will be no more successful than our disastrous attempts to prohibit alcohol, gambling, psychotropic substance consumption, or any other activity eliciting our moral disapproval.  The change I would advocate for is not prohibition, restriction or constraint, but rather an invigoration of our communities to care about our citizens and expose those who do not abide the law.  I believe there are always signs (although I do not yet know what they were in the Holmes case) that are clues to potentially violent or injurious behavior.  The Aurora massacre is an ugly failure, not unlike a habitual drunk driver who continues to violate our safety, or the drug-addled criminal bent of finding his next dose at any cost.  Bad things happen in a free society because freedom tolerates bad people.
            Re: “More education?”  Agreed; FAIL!  “Just say no” always has been a myopic, simplistic, juvenile misadventure, just as “abstinence-only” is an incredibly lame attempt to control human sexuality.  This issue is NOT for the government to solve; it cannot; it does not have the authority.  This one, like all the other social issues, is up to We, the People.  We must decide on conduct that we can no longer tolerate.
            Re: “Do I honestly believe there will be change?”  There will be change, if we debate in earnest and seek the necessary compromise for solutions to emerge, take root and flourish. 
            The fundamental right to privacy and self-defense are the very bedrock of this Grand Republic.  There are no guarantees of safety and peace, or even that freedom would be pretty and copacetic.  Freedom is like marriage; it demands constant hard work to maintain.
            Guns are inanimate objects no different from rocks, automobiles, airplanes, boats, bicycles or any other object that can move.  It is easy to look at the details of the Aurora massacre, or Columbine, or all the other bloody events, and say, let’s make assault rifles illegal, or ban lead-shot for shotguns, or pass laws that only small caliber, short barrel, six-shot (or less) revolver pistols are tolerable, and all that will not alter the reality of bad men like James Holmes, Eric Harris, Dylan Klebold, Buford Furrow, and all the other bad men, obtaining the weapons they seek to perpetrate their heinous crimes.  I will say and I truly believe that if just one person had possessed a concealed carry pistol and knew how to use it, the carnage and injury would have been far less that night.  This debate is not about guns; it is about people and how we interact with each other.  The root cause is in James Holmes, not the weapons he carried.
            So, lastly, you asked for my thoughts on Bill Moyer’s video essay.  I have always admired Moyer’s craftsmanship with the English language.  He is an accomplished orator and writer.  In this instance, I think he is naively and idealistically misguided, short-sighted and conveniently selective regarding the history of this Grand Republic.  Idealism is a magnificent intoxicant, but it must be tempered with the reality of the world we live in.  I laud his idealism, while I condemn his failure to recognize the root cause of bloody events such as this most recent and not our last.  Presumably, Moyer’s believes Holmes is an inherently good, young man, who simply went astray because such powerful firearms were legally obtainable.  I fundamentally do NOT agree.  Something went wrong in Holmes’ brain; that is what we must learn to recognize and defend against.
“That’s just my opinion, but I could be wrong.”
Love,
Dad            :-)
 . . . round two:
“I respect your thoughts and agree with some but there are few concerns I have.
“I think you give too much credit to the idea of our communities caring for our citizens and expose those who do not abide the law.  Remember, we are not smart.  We are a selfish People.  And most importantly, we are animals by nature.  Furthermore, it only takes one person (in this case James Holmes) to fall through the cracks.  Our communities can't be responsible for EVERYONES well being.  You say the Moyers opinions are idealistic.  To me, your answer is far more unrealistic.
“I am not saying eradication of all firearms will solve the problem.   But in the same vain as our ideas of legalizing drugs because the current system is not and will not work, we advocate to trying something different.  Let's legalize everything and see what happens.  Can't hurt to try.  The current system with gun control IS NOT WORKING.  Time to try something new.
“I think what's most unfortunate is that I am now very seriously considering purchasing a handgun and obtaining a concealed carry license.  I hate this idea but I also hate the idea of not being able to defend myself because some asshole decides he wants to be a martyr.  I succumb to the idea that nothing will change.  Damn, is Texas wearing off on me?
 . . . my response to round two:
            Re: concerns.  This is precisely why public debate is so bloody important.  Vigorous debate in earnest is how workable compromise solutions are found. 
            Just a related FYI: my current opinion regarding legalization / regulation of psychotropic substances evolved over many years and many energetic debates with not quite a dozen equally concerned citizens.  Truth be told, I supported President Nixon’s signing of the Controlled Substances Act of 1970 (not that he needed my support), because the principle seemed correct at the time.  I had no idea of what the law said or how it was to be implemented or enforced.  I learned my lesson the hard way as a witness to the grotesque governmental abuses of our precious freedom and unacceptable collateral damage done to our citizenry and other peoples of the World . . . all because we are morally offended by the choices another citizen makes.
            Re: communities caring.  Perhaps I did not adequately explain my position.  I am not suggesting some laissez faire, Pollyanna, can’t-we-all-get-along process.  My suggestion is much closer to a community watch, neighborhood posse, amplification of police enforcement of public conduct – littering, turnstile jumping, spitting on the sidewalk, jaywalking, on out to more serious “signs” like animal abuse, neglecting children, or violent behavior.  I have long held the position of a notional “social police” to bring the gap between law enforcement, social services, and the unengaged community.  Proof of concept: several communities have fathers rotate through school watch assignments . . . watching, looking for aggressive conduct, bullying, intimidation and such; they have been very successful; the fathers have a vested interest.  There were plenty of signs Dennis Rader was a bad man, but the community looked the other way, just as another community looked the other way when Catherine Susan ‘Kitty’ Genovese (1964) was murdered in NYC.  If we want guys like Holmes to be stopped before they kill, we cannot look the other way.
            Re: Moyers.  Perhaps I am unrealistic, but at least I am going after the root cause instead of a symptomatic tool.  We must address the root cause.
            Re: system.  What system do you suggest?  What would you like to see happen to solve the problem?  I do not want another Aurora, or Columbine, or any other gun crime; two in the chest, one in the head, would have worked just fine when he popped those grenades.  Aurora threatens my ability to protect my family; I do not take kindly to such threats.  I want my right to keep and bear arms protected, not restricted or curtailed.  Once again, this has never been about guns; it is about deviant people.
            Re: concealed carry.  Texas indeed!  You are not alone.  While I have owned firearms all my adult life, and I am amply trained to use them accurately and properly, I have yet to get my concealed carry permit.  I have never had to use my skills or a gun in anger, and I hope I never will; but, if I do, I will not hesitate to achieve a definitive and final outcome for any assailant.
“That’s just my opinion, but I could be wrong.”
Back to you . . .
Love,
Dad           :-)
 . . . round three:
“Yes, this is the exact situation none of us ever want to face.  But if it were to happen, damn straight the idea of having a gun around my ankle is appealing.  The real question is how easy do you think it was for those thugs to obtain their guns?  Do you think that if they couldn't go into their local gun shop and have one sold to them they would have barged in there with knives?  I think not.  Guns are easy.  Mr. Holmes would not have attempted what he did had it not  been for the easily obtainable small army of guns in his general vicinity.
“I don't have the answer.  I like your idea of a community presence but I still feel that's giving too much credit to our general public.  Remember, it only takes one asshole to fall through the cracks.  Maybe the answer IS to have every citizen armed.  Then criminals would think twice about barging into a convenient store, pawn shop, theatre, etc.
“I do disagree with your idea that if guns were to be outlawed it would take away your freedom.  Yes, the 2nd Amendment was made.  But are you saying our founding fathers had the idea based on what is happening today?  No.  No way.  Are you saying the people of England are not free because they can't buy a firearm?  Is their country so oppressed because of this fact?  It's time to update the Amendment.  Some how.  Some way.
“I did find this article which I found interesting.  He has a few typos and yes, he uses humor but he makes some good points.”
[URL for the article:]
. . . my response to round three:
Tyson,
            Re: weapons.  I think you are tickling the periphery of the real issue.  Holmes clearly had little if any respect for human life.  Our focus should be on interceding with those disturbed individuals who would perpetrate such crimes.  Restricting the freedom of 99.9999% of our citizenry in some lame attempt to deny weapons to a bad person is simply a non-starter in a free society.  I am not willing to relinquish my freedom to stop a bad man from hurting people.  The reality is, if it was not guns, it would be explosives; if not explosives, it will be communicable diseases – someone intent to kill will find the weapon he needs.
            Re: answer.  I do not have the answer either, yet that does not stop me from searching for a compromise solution to protect the freedom of all citizens while trying to identify the bad people before they can injure another living soul.  My instinct, education and training drives me to find the root cause and treat that rather than the symptoms or indications.  I am perfectly willing and supportive of the police dealing with criminals and potential criminals, but again the police simply cannot be everywhere.  We do NOT want them everywhere.  Our obligation as citizens is to help the police localize the bad men so they can be dealt with by the justice system.  We also have a right (I might say obligation as well) to defend our families and ourselves – the police cannot do it all.
            Re: 2nd Amendment.  The answer lies in history.  I think the Founders / Framers recognized / acknowledged / understood the government could not possibly protect every citizen from bad men, and even that they did not want a standing army large enough to defend all corners of the new republic.  They need a citizen militia and indeed an armed citizenry capable of being mobilized for the nation’s defense.  England did not mature as we did as a nation.  We can argue the history of various free societies.   Israel and Switzerland are free as well, and virtually every household has high-powered rifles, automatic weapons and pistols.  We are not going to change our history.
            Re: article.  I am perfectly willing to debate anyone on this or any other topic.  Cody clearly does not own a gun or want to own a gun, and he is quite comfortable entrusting his family’s safety to others.  Good for him.  I am not!  I am quite comfortable with his intellectual position.  He has no right whatsoever to dictate his position to me or any other citizen – that is the essence of this debate.

Comment to the Blog:
“The article from the Wall Street Journal takes a Wall Street perspective, which leaves it looking a bit distorted out here in Middle America. First of all, let me say that I empathize with you. People in corner offices on Wall Street never have to experience the human side of their decisions, unfortunately. I also agree with your opinion that the majority favors a moderate position over either extreme. Also, I do not believe that the Republicans can now seize control of the debate. The author(s) miss the point; America is losing its respect for the wealthy and beginning to focus on voters’ own well-being. Even if the Journal article writer(s) came closer to the central issue (good jobs, not Romney’s “success”), the Democrats have presented compelling images of what Bain Capital means for voters. The Democrats even have ammo available for Solyndra. Solyndra went under because prices in their industry fell, which is free-market capitalism at work and is not cronyism.
"Syria reinforces something I have said over and over. Nobody has achieved peace in the Middle East since the Romans, and they had a lot of trouble with it. We will not reach that goal either.
"I disagree with your statement that “No gun caused this crime!” Guns made this crime possible. Nobody on earth could have committed this atrocity without firearms. Knives, swords, clubs, or other lesser weapons could not be used to take on hundreds of people. I take no real position on Mr. Holmes’ punishment, but I will note that the death penalty has no deterrent effect, particularly on insane people.
"I will note that people at the finance-minister level seem more concerned with not upsetting the markets than with the crashes that come from letting them have free rein.
HSBC is ugly but hardly surprising. Corporations exist for the primary purpose of making money. Expecting them to act on any other motive is ridiculous. The same goes for Mr. Wasendorf of Peregrine Financial. His goal was to make money, pure and simple. He still sees anyone who would limit that as immoral.
"My contribution to the weather discussion is that we are having rain today here in Ohio, USA, and we celebrate this. Endless strings of sunny days add up to drought and the heat has been oppressive for six weeks. There is indeed a cycle of warming and cooling in Earth’s history, but it is going dramatically faster than ever before, except during the mass extinction believed to have been caused by an asteroid. Someone’s jury may still be out on this question, but you need to investigate the sources of disagreement. Mainstream scientific sources no longer debate whether climate change is under way, although estimates of the severity of the results keep rising.
"The Governor of the Bank of England, Sir Mervyn King, has shown signs of good sense and far-sightedness. We may hope that he can reform the LIBOR situation and have some influence on banking in general."
My reply to the Blog:
Calvin,
            Re: Bain v. Solyndra.  Good observations.  Whether Solyndra involved cronyism based on some quid pro quo, I do not know, and we may never know given Citizens United; nonetheless, cronyism is certainly how the Republicans have tried to paint it.
            Re: Syria.  I would have no problem leaving them alone to slog it out to the bloody end, if we could only wall-off the country to preclude collateral damage.  That is not possible.  I also think John McCain drove the nail with one strike when he said the principal concern is the potential for Syria’s chemical weapons stockpile falling into the hands of al-Qa’ida or Hezbollah.  As it has been from the beginning of Islamo-fascism, our national interest is the exportation of their violence.
            Re: guns.  You are not alone in your view; yet, I shall respectfully disagree.  Yes, the gun amplifies the violent intent of the perpetrator, but it does not create the disrespect for human life in the heart of the assailant that is the real root cause.  The gun is simply an implement.  Further, the notion of disarmament only affects peace-loving, law-abiding citizens; it has no effect on the criminal.
            Re: death penalty.  Deterrent or not, it is an appropriate punishment for crimes of this nature.  Guys like Holmes do not deserve our mercy.
            Re: finance minister level.  Spot on.  Yet, I am thankful they are concerned about the markets.  My worry is they may be penny-wise, pound-foolish.
            Re: HSBC.  Correct; their conduct is certainly no surprise.  Bankers are all flawed, weak men who have proven time and again they are incapable of moderation or policing themselves.
            Re: Wasendorf.  You may well be correct in this case; he may not see his fraud and embezzlement as the felonious crimes they are.  At least Bernie admitted his wrong-doing.  Nonetheless, he will eventually feel the consequences of his transgression regardless of who he blames.
            Re: climate change.  I am not debating whether the Earth’s weather cycles, only whether it is man-induced.  The hypothesis has always seemed rather presumptuous and self-aggrandizing to me.  Again, regardless of the causes, weaning ourselves off fossil fuels is a necessity whether it contributes to climate change or not.
            Re: Sir Mervyn.  Unfortunately, I suspect he is more culpable than publicly acknowledged so far.  However, banking reform is warranted.
   “That’s just my opinion, but I could be wrong.”
Cheers,
Cap


My very best wishes to all.  Take care of yourselves and each other.
Cheers,
Cap                 :-)

23 July 2012

Update no.553


Update from the Heartland
No.553
16.7.12 – 22.7.12
Blog version:  http://heartlandupdate.blogspot.com/
To all,

An interesting editorial . . .
“Staples vs. Solyndra – Mitt Romney needs to make a better argument for Bain capitalism.”
Wall Street Journal
Updated: July 17, 2012, 7:26 p.m. ET
They said, “Americans will choose Bain capitalism over Solyndra crony capitalism, if Mr. Romney makes the case.”  The Journal editors may well be correct.  However, I suspect the moderate majority will opt for some version between those two extremes.  I am living the reality of “Bain capitalism,” and it is not pretty.

Several key national security figures in the Bashar al-Assad regime in Syria were assassinated or wounded by a bomb blast in Damascus on Wednesday.  The most prominent victims were:
·      Defense Minister General Dawoud Abdallah Rajha (also, the most prominent Christian in the government)
·      Deputy Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces Major General Asef Shawkat (also, the husband of the president’s older sister, Bushra)
·      Major General Hassan Ali Turkmani (top military aide to Vice President Farouk al-Sharaa)
·      Director of the General Security Directorate Major General Hisham Ikhtiar
·      Interior Minister Lieutenant General Mohammed Ibraim al-Sha’ar
Conflicting reports leave the method of attack in question; however, the prevalent hypothesis suggests a bodyguard wearing an explosive vest carried out the suicide attack.  The Free Syrian Arm (FSA) claimed responsibility for the operation. The government mounted a show of normality and quickly appointed a new defense minister, the military Chief of Staff General Fahd Jassem al-Freij.  Some reports suggest the president and his family fled the capitol for a coastal stronghold.  As defections of general-grade and lower ranked military officers and soldiers continue to mount, the Alawite al-Assad dictatorship appears to be on the downhill slope; yet, the government still possesses a substantial chemical weapon stockpile that makes the loyalists very dangerous.  This is the closest the rebels have struck to the heart of the regime.  The end may be near.

The tragedy in Aurora, Colorado, spanned a few minutes and left 12 dead (so far) and 58 injured.  The deceased all died of gunshot wounds and ranged in age from just 6 years old to 51 years of age.  The perpetrator James Eagen Holmes, 24, was arrested without resistance at the scene.  State and Federal Law Enforcement (LE) agents discovered more weapons in his automobile, again at the scene, and a significant array of homemade explosives booby-trapped in his apartment, intended to inflict more casualties presumably against LE agents after his heinous crime.  The motive for this despicable act has not been established, and so far does not appear to be a terrorist-related event. The public debate will eventually reach the inevitable question of capital punishment in Colorado.  To my knowledge, the state retains a statutory death penalty law for first-degree murder, involving at least 1 of 17 aggravating factors.  I suspect in the Holmes case there is a few more than one of those factors involved; I count three factors for Holmes.  Once again, I go on record espousing for swift conviction and punishment of such crimes, and further in those rare events like this one, I think the medieval punishment of being “drawn and quartered” is too kind and merciful for Holmes; he deserves a slow, tortuous and inevitable death for what he has done.  Of course, like other such events, the movie theater massacre generated a cacophony from gun control advocates that erupted again in a very rapid and predictable fashion.  No gun committed this crime!  A cold, calculating, planning, homicidal animal executed this event.  The guns and ammunition Holmes accumulated were legally and properly obtained, at least from what has been reported to date; it is not clear whether a background check was performed, but at least one news source indicates that the requisite background check raised no flags.  Constraints on gun ownership and/or use will only disarm peaceful, law-abiding citizens; it will never stop determined criminals.  I absolutely believe that just one person in that theater with a concealed-carry permit could have and would have stopped the carnage and reduced the number of dead and wounded.  The answer to such events is NOT disarmament; rather, the reaction should be responsible armament of good citizens.  Abridgment of our constitutional right to keep and bear arms is no different from all our other freedoms – prohibition or restriction will never succeed in a free society.  Let us realign our focus from diminishing freedom for all citizens to spotting aberrant injurious behavior that threatens our freedom before he has a chance to act or to diminish the impact of his deviant conduct.

News from the economic front:
-- The European Central Bank (ECB) has apparently shifted position from that which they adopted during the 2010 bailout of Irish banks, when it prevailed in its insistence on senior bondholders in bailed-out banks should not suffer losses.  The ECB now takes the opposite position for the Spanish bank senior bondholders.  EU finance ministers rejected the ECB advice out of concern that financial markets would react badly to the decision.
-- The Wall Street Journal reported that executives of HSBC Holdings ignored warnings for years that the bank’s worldwide operations were being used by money-launderers and potential terrorist financiers, all in pursuit of profits.  This conduct by international bankers is quite reminiscent of similar conduct by international bankers doing business with Nazi Germany throughout World War II.  Profits are a powerful contaminant to rational behavior.
-- Last week [552], I noted the Chapter 7 liquidation of Peregrine Financial Services and the arrest of its founder and former Chief Executive Officer Russell Wasendorf Sr.  This week, I only note in passing the rather lame and quite frankly bizarre rationale for his behavior offered by the disgraced financial services executive.  The Wall Street Journal reported that Wasendorf might claim the “devil made me to it” defense.  He blames his fraudulent conduct on “mean spirited” regulators that pestered his firm, looking to put firms like his out of business rather than protect commodities investors.  In an even more bizarre twist, Wasendorf also indicated that deceiving the regulators was “relatively simple.”  I guess to succeed in business, it must always be someone else’s fault.
-- The Wall Street Journal also reported that Bank of England Governor Sir Mervyn King proposed the world's leading central banks meet in Basel, Switzerland, on 9.September, to reform the hugely influential London InterBank Offered Rate (LIBOR) – the reference interest rate for US$800T in securities and loans worldwide.
-- The Bundestag (Germany’s Parliament) voted 473-97-13 to approve a rescue package worth up to €100B billion (US$122B) for Spain's struggling banks.

Comments and contributions from Update no.552:
“I wanted too! Appreciate your comments. I expect one of your correspondents will ask what's this got to do with some ill-informed limey? We could see some sparks yet!
“I was interested in your comments re flight AF 447. I hadn't picked that up over here. The report is much as you suggested months ago. Angle of Attack indicators, well, an old aid to airmen surely? As always Cap we must learn from incidents such as this dreadful one and the Concorde in Paris although I never saw the final report on that.
“English summer is disaster this year, they're blaming the jet stream, too far south some say caused by the arctic ice melting. An interesting hypothesis but if true we in the western Europe can expect some very wet summers.”
My response:
Peter,
            No worries.  As always, take your time with responses.  We all have lives to live, first and foremost.  Also, all’s well in the colonies.  We could use some rain; we are bit short on the Great Plains this year.
            Re:  health care.  Again, no worries.  I do endeavor to keep the rhetoric civil, which is one reason I keep the identity of contributors private; no need to make things personal.  The debate in the U.S. is a long way from over; this year’s election should vent a lot of the steam.
            FYI: Did you know the euphemistic reference to British citizens as “limeys” stems to the 1st controlled medical experiment in history, conducted by Royal Navy surgeon James Lind, who solved the problem of shipboard scurvy [1757]; henceforth, sailors under sail regularly added lime juice to their daily ration of grog – a little factoid from my history journal – and, I dare say, one of the key discoveries that contributed to Britannia rules the waves for several centuries.
            Re: AOA indicators.  Indeed, an old aid to aviators that was considered unnecessary in the modern computer age – how wrong they were! 
            Re: Concorde.  Now that you mention it, I’ve not seen the BEA Concorde final report either; I’ll have to give it a look-see.
            Re: London weather.  Yeah, the weather was rather dreary for the Queen’s Jubilee Celebration.  Hopefully, y’all will get a break during the Olympics, due to commence in a few weeks time.  Of course, I do not know the cause.  However, I do recall four decades ago the “scientists” whining about the onset of a new ice age.  Weather on the Big Blue Marble waxes and wanes.  We are also at the Solar Maximum phase of our star’s periodic cycle . . . perhaps no correlation.
Thx for sharing your thots.  Take care and enjoy.
Cheers,
Cap
 . . . round two:
Subject: RE: Update no.552
From: "peter gipson"
Date: Tue, July 17, 2012 9:34 am
To: "'cap'"
Cap, thanks for below.
“We've had glimpses of your weather forecasts, it looks warm. I take it the harvest will be intact. Ours looks weighty but needs a month of sunshine, don't we all.
“I had only a vague idea about limeys. Good job he selected limes and not lemons! I imagine our mariners turned their noses up at having their grog 'infected' with lime juice.
“On the contrary Cap, I believe the periodic cycle has a great bearing on the planet's weather. There have been articles to support this. We shall have to see.”
 . . . my response to round two:
Peter,
            Re: weather.  Beyond warm, I’m afraid . . . hot, damn hot, as they say.  No rain for the Great Plains in the forecast either.  We’ve got plenty of sunshine to spare.  Hope it all breaks up for the London Games.
            Re: limes.  I suspect the sailors gladly took the limejuice in their grog, when given the choice between scurvy, limes outright, or the grog additive.  Then again, knowing the Royal Navy back in the days of sail, I doubt they were given any choice at all.  The Royal Navy needed healthy sailors to operate their ships of the line.
            Re: global warming.  I cannot attest to the validity of the hypothesis, but I do believe we go through these cycles.  Indeed, we shall see.
Cheers,
Cap
 . . . round three:
Subject: RE: Update no.552
From: "peter gipson"
Date: Tue, July 17, 2012 3:00 pm
To: "'cap'"
Cap,
“Strange we should be having this exchange at this time. Tonight on BBC television we saw pictures of a mid-west corn field (maize) looking very sad indeed and a commentary about your hot summer. Really the discussion was about our inflation level falling but expecting to rise again because of your possible poor harvest and the price of crude that seems to be firming again.
“Again on Global warming and the solar cycle, since my earlier on the subject I have done some research and find conflicting views on the subject. Indeed Cap it seems as though the jury is still out on the matter which has surprised me somewhat.”
Ps, I'll send you some rain!
Regs Peter eastside.
 . . . my response to round three:
Peter,
            Re: weather, crops & economy.   The linkage is clearly established.  This weather and drought is hitting the American “bread basket” square on.  The wheat crop is in and did fairly well.  The corn crop is taking a major hit.
            Re: global warming.  The science is quite confused.  Yet, as I have long said, it does not matter whether there is global warming, climate change, or whatever, or whether humans have had any impact whatsoever, we still need to reduce (headed toward eliminate) our dependence on fossil fuels.  We can do better.  If it makes us feel better that we are helping the environment, then great . . . so be it.  Let’s get on with what must be done.

Comment to the Blog:
“Hawker Beechcraft seems to be suspended ‘between the Devil and the deep blue sea.’ The issues of separating the Defense part of the business from the part going to the Chinese buyer ought to be interesting from an academic point of view. I’m sure the affected employees will have more colorful adjectives for that. I imagine other issues will also arise. I wish Wichita well.
“It seems obvious to me that you are right about keeping standards of performance rather than of gender or other irrelevant factors, not just for this military function but in general. Now to convince the rest of the world.
“The LIBOR scandal is large and fascinating. I would not miss Secretary Geithner were he caught in the net of investigations, but the important outcomes will concern the banks. I see the time for shoring up confidence in banking in its current form as past. The next step is backwards eighty years; reinstate the banking regulations brought on by the Great Depression, or rather their equivalents updated for technical developments. Addressing the revolving door between regulators and industries would also help, as would campaign finance reform.
“Your UK questioner comes closer to my situation than your comments. He did not claim his operation was free; in fact, he said it was a good deal. ‘Just give up and die’ is not rhetorical here in Ohio, where 14,000 people die annually due to lack of medical care. It seems a reasonable assumption to me that most of them are poor people. Anyone who has access to medical coverage and passes it up probably needs some sort of care for whatever mental condition leads them to risk bankruptcy or worse for lack of medical care. Medical bills are the largest cause of bankruptcy, so maybe there are more other-than-poor uninsured than I would like to think. Also, many conditions, including each of mine, cannot be treated by an emergency room. I will either live with or die from mine. Your citing of ‘inherent distrust of government’ baffles me. I fail to understand your comparison of medical insurance to J. Edgar Hoover, Richard Nixon, et al. (Going back to Locke is strictly for academics and historians.) They were destructive, but in civil rights issues. Those malefactors gained power by controlling, defaming and otherwise harming anyone who stood in their way. They did not give medical advice or try to control doctors, hospitals, etc. I have mislaid ‘the camel and tent proverb’; please advise.”
My reply to the Blog:
Calvin,
            Re: Chinese buyers.  Well said.  The court has approved the company entering a 45-day exclusive due diligence and negotiation with Superior.  Assuming that phase is completed successfully, there will be a court-supervised, public auction phase where other companies will have the opportunity to out-bid Superior.  I believe most employees want to keep their jobs and especially want the product lines to continue and flourish.  Goldman-Onex so heavily laded the company with debt that it was unable to sustain the debt when the market contracted sharply in the Great Recession.
            Re: standards of performance.  At least there are two of us.  We just need to enlist the support of our friends, and their friends, and their friends.  Pretty soon, we have a real, big voice.
            Re: LIBOR scandal.  The big banks have NOT helped their public reputation.  I am not a fan of regulation because it is another word for government.  However, regulation is an essential element of contemporary life – things move too fast and the impact is too great to allow pure, unadulterated capitalism to run rampant.  There must be rules to retain some semblance of order, fairness and normalcy.  The revolving door is a not so subtle form of corruption, and yet the regulators must have a degree of expertise to recognize the tricks.
            Re: distrust of government.  I was not speaking for myself.  Rather, I was attempting to explain why a large chunk of American citizenry is so adamant in their opposition to PPACA – some because they hate doctors, or some because PPACA was signed into law by Barack Obama.  For whatever reason, a portion of our population does not support PPACA, and I was trying to explain why.  Hoover & Nixon amplified the distrust of government.  The wisdom of John Locke influenced the thinking of the Founders / Framers and sought freedom for the common man from the oppression of royalty and the elitist government.  Again, I was trying to illuminate the genesis of our inherent distrust of government.
            Re: proverb. "If the camel once gets his nose in the tent, his body will soon follow" – the classic metaphor for governmental intrusion into our private lives.

My very best wishes to all.  Take care of yourselves and each other.
Cheers,
Cap                 :-)

16 July 2012

Update no.552


Update from the Heartland
No.552
9.7.12 – 15.7.12
Blog version:  http://heartlandupdate.blogspot.com/
To all,

The follow-up news items:
1.6.09   -- 02:14:28 [Z] {00:14 [O]; 21:12 [R] EDT, 31.5.09} – Air France Flight 447 [AF447] disappeared over the Atlantic Ocean, enroute from Rio De Janeiro, Brazil, to Paris, France, with 248 souls on board   [U-391]
27.5.11   BEA issued interim report no.2 titled: “Accident to the Airbus A330-203 flight AF 447 on 1st June 2009 – update on investigation” dated: 27 May 2011 [BEA AF447 prelim 1537.pdf]{see 1.6.2009}   [U-493]
The Bureau d’Enquêtes et d’Analyses pour la sécurité de l’aviation civile (BEA), Ministère de l ’Écologie, du Développement durable, des Transports et du Logement, issued their final report regarding the crash of Air France Flight 447 (AF447) enroute across the Atlantic Ocean, from Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, to Paris, France, at 02:14 [Z] {00:14 [O]}, on 1.June.2009 [391], with a loss of 228 souls.  As you may recall, the French expended enormous resources over a two-year period to locate the wreckage, just east of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge, at a depth of 12,800 feet (3,900 meters) – an extraordinary fete by itself.  The BEA issued its preliminary report on 27.May.2011 [493].  Among the findings, the aircraft had been properly maintained with no known or identifiable problems when it took flight, and the crew possessed all the proper licenses, ratings and training for their functional positions.  The aircraft encountered cumulonimbus clusters during penetration of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) while cruising at FL350 (35,000 feet [10,668 meters]).  Those high altitudes are well outside the normal design and regulatory icing environment, and as we have learned, the meteorological and engineering understanding of upper cloud physics are limited at best.  One BEA finding: “There was an inconsistency between the speeds measured, likely following the blockage of the Pitot probes by ice crystals.”  This condition would be consistent with what we now call ice crystal impaction – a phenomenon associated with high-altitude flight in super-cold air, in vicinity of cumulonimbus cloud structures.  As the BEA noted, the loss of or erroneous airspeed indications in flight are not new or unique to the Airbus A330-200 involved in this accident; they also noted, the crew encountered “a phenomenon that was known but misunderstood by the aviation community at the time of the accident.”  Let us not forget, when this occurred, the airplane was over the mid-Atlantic, at night, in clouds with light to moderate turbulence; they had no external references.  Nonetheless, when the stall warning triggered based on false airspeed signals, the crew rapidly became confused, disorientation, and made gross flight control inputs that took the aircraft into deep stall, well beyond the established or known flight envelope.  The entire sequence took four minutes.  The erroneous airspeed signals lasted less than a minute.  The crew had time to regain control but were never able to do so.  The BEA made 40 recommendations from their investigation.  The most significant from my perspective was the inclusion of a direct Angle of Attack (AOA) indication to the crew.  With an AOA indication, they would have recognized the aircraft was still flying nominally, even with the erroneous airspeed information and false stall warning.  The education of aviators regarding high altitude ice encounters has begun; I presume enhance simulator training has also commenced.  AF447 was an avoidable tragedy, and so we learn and improve, thanks in no small measure to the extraordinary efforts of the BEA and the French government.

“Chinese group to buy Hawker Beechcraft”
by Tracy Alloway in New York
Financial Times
Published: July 10, 2012; 12:01 am
As noted in the public announcements, Superior Aviation Beijing Co., Ltd., a Beijing-based aerospace manufacturer, has entered into an acquisition relationship with Hawker Beechcraft, the Wichita-based, airplane producer owned by Goldman Sachs Capital Partners and Onex Corporation (the Canadian private equity firm).  A sequence of events supervised by the bankruptcy court could result in a transfer of ownership for US$1.79B.  The Goldman / Onex consortium bought Hawker Beechcraft in 2007 for US$3.3B, loading the company up with debt that could not be sustained in the severe market contraction of the Great Recession.  The deal is not done.  There are numerous hurdles yet to cross, not least of which is Superior’s due diligence, separation of the Defense portion of the company, government approval, and completion of the court supervised protection.  These are indeed interesting times.

“Get Over It! We Are Not All Created Equal”
by Captain Katie Petronio, USMC
Marine Corps Gazette
Published: July 2012
Captain Petronio is a serving combat engineer officer (MOS 1302), who has served in both Battles for Iraq and Afghanistan during the War on Islamic Fascism.  Many on various military networks, of which I am a member, have touted her opinion regarding the integration of women and homosexuals in the Marine Corps, and implicitly in the military in the main.  Katie offers a cogent argument against allowing women to serve in the combat arms (infantry, artillery and armor) of the Marine Corps because there are differences between the genders, and women are physically incapable of performing at the level of men.  She makes good and valid points; however, I think her argument would have been better if she had advocated for holding the standards of performance.  If women and homosexuals can attain those thresholds of performance, then they pass.  If not, they move on to other specialties that are less physical.  Not all heterosexual men are capable of meeting the standards of performance; they do not belong in the infantry.  I continue to insist, this is not an issue about genitalia, but rather it should be solely about performance.  Further, any attempt to lower standards of performance to accommodate women should be resisted as strongly as possible.  I am in favor of the integration of women and non-heterosexuals, but I am very much against the modification of performance standards for anyone, regardless of any of the social factors.

News from the economic front:
-- The People’s Republic of China (PRC) reported exports rose 11.3% in June from a year earlier, down from May’s 15.3% pace.  Imports increased 6.3% from a year earlier, half of May’s 12.7% and well below expectations.  The PRC achieved a trade surplus of US$31.7B, the country’s biggest surplus in more than three years.
-- Peregrine Chief Operating Officer Russell Wasendorf, Jr., filed for Chapter 7 liquidation of the brokerage firm Peregrine Financial Group Inc.  Wasendorf’s father and Peregrine’s Chief Executive Officer and Founder Russell Wasendorf Sr. admitted to law enforcement authorities that he embezzled “millions of dollars” and forged bank statements for “nearly twenty years,” according to court documents.
-- The Wall Street Journal reported J.P. Morgan Chase plans to reclaim millions of dollars in stock from executives at the center of the derivative trading debacle, while Chief Executive Officer James Dimon indicated the bank’s losses may double to more than US$7B before the dust settles.
-- Documents obtained by the Washington Post show that then President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York Timothy F. Geithner (now, Secretary of the Treasury) eMail’ed Governor of the Bank of England Sir Mervyn King on 1.June.2008, offering six recommendations to reform the London InterBank Offered Rate (LIBOR) – a critical global interest rate.  Now, with at least the indirect linkage of Treasury Secretary Geithner to the expanding LIBOR scandal, all bets are off on how far or deep this is going to go.  The infamous 16 involved, international banks are:
·      Barclays [UK] – the only bank to admit wrongdoing, so far
·      Bank of America [U.S.]
·      Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ (BTMU) [Japan]
·      Citibank [U.S.]
·      Credit Suisse [Switzerland]
·      Deutsche Bank [Germany]
·      Lloyds TSB [UK]
·      HSBC [UK] {formerly: Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Ltd}
·      HBOS [UK] {formerly: Bank of Scotland, owned by Lloyds Banking Group}
·      JPMorgan Chase [U.S.]
·      Rabobank [Netherlands]
·      RBC {Royal Bank of Canada} [Canada]
·      Royal Bank of Scotland [UK]
·      UBS [Switzerland]
·      West LB [Germany]
·      Norinchuckin [Japan]
Hmmm!  Where have I seen some of those bank names before?  That word “reputable” continues to rattle around in my little pea-brain.
-- The PRC’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) slowed to 7.6% year-over-year in 2Q2012, the lowest level since early 2009.  The PRC is feeling the effects of the European economic situation, stagnant real estate investment, and the inability of domestic consumption to pick up the slack. 

Comments and contributions from Update no.551:
“Must confess your health care issue is a mystery to me. Having had free health care since what 1947 here in the U/K we look upon a health system where your countrymen fall outside of a national care system as frankly archaic or mediaeval. Just what do your poor do when they become ill? Just give up and die? We do get snippets of this debate over here but is poorly understood by us Brits. Yes we have all paid into the system, all our working lives but it's worth it. My own case of a replacement hip at £12000 (at no cost to me) underlines that argument. Why are your people so scared of a free national health service?”
My reply:
Peter,
            First, to your opening premise, nothing is free.  The British people pay for health care in the collective via taxes.  As long as folks are happy with taxes, all is right with the World.  Please recall, I lived and worked in England and Italy for two years each, so I’m keenly aware of the offerings of which you speak.
            You asked a series of questions.  I shall render my opinions, for what they’re worth.
            “Just what do your poor do when they become ill?”  Rather than the poor, who are surely included, I shall broaden your query to include all uninsured.  Others in this forum who fit within this broadened category may wish to add their comments.  Typically, uninsured do not receive routine prophylactic health care.  They often grunt through it, self-medicate with over-the-counter items, or wait until it becomes serious, then attend a local Emergency Room (ER), where doctors bound by the Hippocratic Oath, treat them even though little attempt is made to gain compensation for their treatment.  If a condition becomes elective rather than life-saving, they suffer until it becomes life-saving.  With pain, they often self-medicate with over-the-counter analgesics or illegal drugs.
            “Just give up and die?”  A rhetorical query, I presume; no response necessary.
            “Why are your people so scared of a free national health service?”  Answer, in one word = government.  This Grand Republic has a long, unbroken, storied, and venerable history of distrust of government that can be traced back to the days of King James I, John Milton, John Locke, and of course our last common monarch, King George III.  You have but to read the Declaration to feel the point.  The abuses of FBI Director J. Edgar Hoover and President Richard Nixon amplified that distrust in our generation.  Many of my countrymen believe to their soul that government is already too big, too intrusive into our private affairs, and thus taxes are too high to pay for all that overbearing government.  The current struggle regarding specifically the individual mandate is just the beginning of what portends to be a long public debate.  There is much more to the story, but this shall suffice for now.
            One last word, a good litmus for any American social debate might be, where does government properly belong at the public-private threshold?  Health care is seen as a very private matter, and Americans are rightfully obsessed by the camel and tent proverb.

Comment to the Blog:
“Your notion that Congress would give up pork barrel projects because the economy crashed was indeed naïve. I refer you again to the book Willful Blindness by Margaret Heffernan.
“Your foil in the discussion of PPACA (I prefer the easier-to-remember term Obamacare) is difficult to follow and fails to support his points. I gather the gist of his argument to be that sick people cause their own illnesses and in his “true free market” that exists only in his mind that would mean that they should die if they cannot or do not buy insurance of their own volition. My personal opinion of him is that he probably needs care for his mental condition. He seems to take the idea of government-supported health care as an attack on him personally. His first major fallacy is that the government would be controlling the health care directly. They would simply penalize those who do not do business with some health-care-insurance organization and set minimum standards for those organizations. Most of the rest of his argument eludes me. One thing both you and he might need to recognize is that those who can go to a doctor’s office tend not to clog emergency rooms. That change in itself would be a serious cost savings of insuring those not currently insured. Another would come from catching illnesses earlier in their courses, when treatment is usually easier, cheaper, and more successful.
“The many-named ‘death with dignity’ issue has a very long discussion ahead before it can become a workable option. Your correspondent’s assumption that he would not care to live if he needed an electric wheelchair and a great deal of medicine is not the result that others have found, as evidenced by the numbers of them riding buses and handicapped transit. (That also affects his position against health care, by the way.)
“You and others discuss ‘death with dignity’ as if it were only a legal issue, but fail to discuss one legal and one medical issue that concern me. The first is how to determine what is a true free choice, given the stress of terminal illness not only on the patient but on family, friends and other heirs. Each of these people influences the patient and has self-interest as well as many other emotional issues at the time the decision is made. My other issue is the fallibility of doctors, who play a key part in your and others’ arguments. According to family legend, my grandmother Ross was pronounced terminal eight times and outlived seven of the doctors who so stated. Whether the number was that high or not, certainly many people have outlived terminal prognoses. This stays in my mind tonight partly because of a friend whose kidney surgery was botched and who, during the same process, has been told she has a cyst on her left ovary, then told it is on her right ovary. Such incidents are not particularly unusual among my family and friends, and I myself came close to death due to a simple mistake in a minor surgery. Let us not rely on doctors without really serious checks and balances. They are only human.
“Finally, the use of a ‘dialectical process’ (or anything) in preference over the benefits of studying real experience is itself a path to lunacy. Your other correspondent provides an example of that.”
My response to the Blog:
Calvin,
            Re: pork barrel.  As you say, I am hopelessly naïve, expecting representatives and senators to embrace the higher ideals of this Grand Republic in deference to the corruption of pork barrel politics.  Silly me.
            Re: PPACA.  Conversely, I refuse to use the more popular, politically-charged moniker.  I believe we both recognize the reduced demand on Emergency Room treatment for other than emergency injuries or ailments, even if it was not explicitly stated.  As I have written in other fora, the central, underlying issue is an inherent distrust of government, it seems to me.
            Re: “Death with Dignity.”  Perhaps you misunderstood.  That particular correspondent was simply conveying his personal opinion, which each of us is entitled to do.  I have no objections to such personal positions [well, other than asking a friend to dispatch him, which by current and future law would be murder], as long as they do not attempt to impose their wishes, beliefs, morals, or whatnot on me.  Today, society denies me the right to Death with Dignity by MY choice, no one else’s.  I respectfully submit that society’s only right is to ensure I am not being coerced, pressured, or otherwise imposed upon by anyone else.  Beyond that, it should be my choice.
            Re: legal & medical.  The most immediate obstacle to Death with Dignity is legal, i.e., unless the law becomes more tolerant or permissive, the medical aspect is moot (we don’t get to that point).  This is probably not the proper venue, nonetheless, there are established procedures to ascertain and document “true free choice” – some are impartial, i.e., based on medical facts, while others are expressions of choice by the individual.  I do not know the details of Grandma Ross’s diagnoses or prognoses, but presumably she never expressed a desire to end her suffering.  Without the latter personal expression, the rest of the qualifications are likewise moot.  Yes, there is always uncertainty within the medical arts, however, the individual remains key.  Just because someone tells me I am dying does not mean I will believe him.  I would look for other signs to help me convince myself.  Further, qualifying for and having the right to use Death with Dignity at the appropriate time does not mean I will use it.  I just want it available should the need arise.  The procedures are well defined and experience has shown on fractional usage and no detectible abuse.  The key remains the individual – not doctors, nor family, nor lawyers, nor anyone else.  Death with Dignity must be an individual choice.
            Re: “dialectical process.”  No comment.
Cheers,
Cap

My very best wishes to all.  Take care of yourselves and each other.
Cheers,
Cap                 :-)