16 November 2015

Update no.726

Update from the Heartland
No.726
9.11.15 – 15.11.15
To all,

            The follow-up news items:
-- The MetroJet Flight 9268 investigation [724] has been overshadowed.  Numerous press opinions reflect concerns about the ambiguity surrounding exactly what happened, and potentially who caused it, if it was a criminal act.  The answers to what happened lay in the wreckage of the aircraft.  We can only hope the investigation team performs a methodical, careful, deliberate examination of the debris field before they moved parts, and then complete a thorough, detail, forensic examination of the wreckage to determine precisely what happened.  From that point and if appropriate, we can identify the perpetrators and seek remedy.  Until that time, we should not jump to conclusions as some have done in attributing culpability to ISIL (the group has publicly claimed responsibility, but the evidence must validate that claim before it is real).

            Friday the 13th, Paris suffered a heinous coordinated attack by what appears so far to be Islamo-fascist operatives, or at least sympathizers.  A lot of disassociated information makes correlation more difficult; however, it appears at least three (3) teams attacked six (6) sites in Paris across a 33-minute span of time – clearly coordinated and well-planned.  ISIL has again claimed responsibility, however, to date, I am not aware of any direct connections to establish that linkage.  Président de la République Française François Gérard Georges Nicolas Hollande proclaimed ISIL was the perpetrator and initiated military action against ISIL sites in Syria, with the assistance of U.S. intelligence.  The linkage information has not been made public as yet, although at least one of the attackers was a migrant from Syria through Greece.
            I suspect the ISIL linkage will be definitively established.  The Schengen Agreement of 1985, which established open borders among member states, has been drawn into serious question.  I truly hope the European Union does not step back from the Schengen Agreement, but rather reinforce it with a serious effort to enforce immigration controls at the periphery of the member states.
            Citizens of this Grand Republic should not and must not be tisk-tisk’ing our European cousins.  We have had blatantly porous borders for decades.  Further, we have presidential candidates beating on their chest like some, silver back, mountain gorilla about massive, deportation raids to compensate for the failure of the federal government to enforce immigration law.  There are lessons to be learned in this tragedy for all freedom-loving people.
            More opinions are offered in the Comment Section below.

            News from the economic front:
-- EuroStat reported the European Union's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rose 0.3% in 3Q2015, and rose 1.6% from 3Q2014. The quarter-on-quarter growth rate was down from 0.4% in 2Q2015, and translates into an annualized growth rate of 1.2%, the weakest since 3Q2014.  The eurozone economy slowed in the third quarter as exports to large developing economies weakened. The third quarter performance makes it more likely the European Central Bank will expand its stimulus programs in December.
-- Japan's GDP contracted 0.8% on an annualized basis in 3Q2015 – the second consecutive quarterly decline, as consumer spending remained soft and businesses cut back on investment amid jitters over the economic slowdown in the PRC.

           Continuing comments from Update no.724:
“Well said on Metrojet #9268.  I was never too happy that the FBI seemed to displace the NTSB in TWA#800. 
“It was interesting I provided a lift for one of the Solar Turbine domestic/international techs on Sunday, and he said he was advised by their travel agency to expect flight delays ‘due to the Lufthansa strike.’  I thought that was interesting since he was flying from San Diego to Denver on this sortie, whereas usually he is going overseas.  I wonder if the ‘travel delay’ may have something to do with beefed-up security in USA, due to Metrojet #9268.  What is interesting in watching various 'expert witnesses' on CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, are how many of them say how even in America, we still have big gaps in security with airport/airliner security.  Since 9/11, I've heard various accounts about how TSA is not vetting their own people too well.
“On Carson:  I agree with exactly what you opine.  One of the things that has caused me to place my own red flag up on Carson, is his flip-flop of a passive kind of persona, folksy, super calm, then he quickly transitioned into a much more aggressive man, with the press, when the heat got turned on.  Whether this is a passive-aggressive personality, or Carson unable to handle the heat, or if his handlers are telling him to come across as more aggressive, I do not know.  If his reaction is natural, I have issues with that.  If some of the things he said he did when he was younger, that are unable to be substantiated by the press or witnesses, like stabbing a guy in the gut only to have a belt buckle deflect it, due to sudden anger, well I do not see that behavior no matter how long ago, as being presidential.  In fact, I would not hire someone like that if I had my own company like once before.  Sorry.  I do not care if you say you've been redeemed or that was a past anger management issue, I find that troubling.  I find it troubling Carson may have made-up fiction for his book calling it the truth.  I am sorry, but I am starting to become very concerned about Carson, as much as I have liked the guy.  At least with Trump we sort of have a loose lips WYSIWYG (What You See Is What You Get) kind of persona.  Trump is more the Billy Carter but with enough sensibility not to go urinate on the side of a building with the Press Corps watching him.
“On the HS student, you might have read my sentence incorrectly or I wrote it without clarification.  I was suggesting that I almost think in this day and age, Deputy Fields would have been better in the eye of public opinion, to Tase the student rather than tossing her upside down in her student desk, then dragging her on the floor.  We've been accustomed to seeing people Tased for minor offenses, including the guy that was asking Kerry if he was in Skull & Bones, at University of Florida, 17-September 2007.  It became known as the "Don't Tase Me Bro!" incident with viral video.  While some cops might be too quick to Tase people (including old people, disabled folks, and kids), I do assert that the Taser has probably helped reduce many injuries to combatants because it use to be batons, carotid artery chokeholds, and more.  It has perhaps, made it safer for the perps but definitely much safer for law enforcement to deploy a Taser.  On the young woman in the classroom that Deputy Fields arrested, the flipping her in her student chair could have actually broken her neck, which then he'd be dealing with a much different situation than just being out of a job.  I suspect what will happen is after another 300 news cycles (which there are many per day), Deputy Fields will be hired by another agency, and will get a job back in L.E.  I agree with you Cap that parenting was missing with that young student.  Of course it does not help that CNN and the racial dividers like Al Sharpton (and many more I will leave out at this point) program into that young student, the anger and anti-police attitudes and behavior, not to mention she lacked any respect for the teacher, the fellow students, and even the principal who had come into the class asking her to please leave the class, which she failed to comply with any of them.
“It should be noted, that other students in the school where Deputy Fields once was a school resource officer, including African-Americans, worked to save his job after the incident.  Some wrote he was the coolest cop in the world, and always treated them well.  Too bad the alphabet news agencies and other sinister elements trying to race bait our country, turned it into a white vs. black kind of deal, once again.”
My response:
            Re: TWA 800.  Likewise.  I always did and still do think the FBI reacted emotionally to a sensational and equally unusual event.  I will also say their overly aggressive actions compromised the safety investigation.  We are verging on similar compromise on Metrojet 9268.
            Re: TSA.  One thing I learned many years ago . . . there is no such thing as perfect security.  Where there is a will there is a way.  That said, “60 Minutes” had a segment last Sunday about deficiencies on OPM’s contracting and review of background security investigations.  One the agencies of concern was TSA.  If there are holes / gaps, they will be exploited by our enemies.
            Re: Carson.  I share your concerns.  I have no idea whether his claims are true or not, but I do know he has NOT handled this situation well.  In fact, I am tempted to call it inept.  For him to claim no other political candidate has been subjected to such Press scrutiny (or abuse, depending upon perspective) defies logic, reason and even just a modicum of knowledge of the political process.  I have not been a fan of his politics; I am even less of a fan now.
            Re: HS student.  I cannot see how a TASER would have been a better or even more tolerable approach – an unarmed, young female versus a trained, fit, male police officer – I don’t think so.  Yes, I do agree, Deputy Fields takedown of the female student was risky and more emotional than good police work.  Yes, TASERs have saved lives, but a simple wrist or forearm lock probably would have done the trick.
            Re: Deputy Fields.  Yes, I had heard of the local support as well.  Yes, the way that incident was spun was most unfortunate and not helpful for our peace and safety.

           Comments and contributions from Update no.725:
“Just returning to the surface after a fairly intense spell of ‘Remembrance  services, concerts and Parades’.
“We now have our school briefings to complete during this week- we will address something like 2500 pupils this year at primary and high school levels. This work we feel is so utterly important, the younger generations must learn of the horrors of war, that it is not a computer game and soldiers do not rise from the dead. As a child myself I can recall German air raids and at four years a vivid memory of a V1 buzzing across our house in Kent with mother frantically dragging us in from the garden. The noise alone made by that ‘cruise missile’ stays entrenched deeply in my memory.
“The youngsters of today, thank God, know nothing of the futility of war and need to be told of its consequences.  
“Today I took two veterans with me today, both in their nineties. I took the youngsters back in a time machine to 1941 when my veterans were their age and off to war. It seemed to work.
“On another subject if I may. I remember your update some years since talking about assisted dying and how it can be obtained in some states in your homeland but not others. Was it your mother’s condition that brought this subject to the fore? Please forgive me if that is wrong Cap.
“My reason for resurrecting this matter with you is truly sad. We lost our standard bearer in August, a retired Welsh Guardsman and whose long and splendid service involved guarding Rudolf Hess at Spandau. What a story of service life he had to tell that I regret I never recorded.
“However Cap, he died an unfitting and distressing death at the hands of cancer. We visited most days and his deteriorating condition made us squirm and treble in revulsion. No human being should be allowed to suffer as he did. Unable to speak and thrashing about in his bed making noises that only spoke of death. It was a most dreadful end for an old soldier. I asked for something to ease his suffering but nothing of any real effect could be done. It was a most tragic end for a brave and determined old soldier. Under this circumstance if they had given me the needle I would have asked him for forgiveness and administered whatever it took. This experience was tragedy beyond any other I have witnessed and distressing in the extreme. In such circumstances I would most certainly support a voluntary end of life agreement with my carers. Regrettably illegal in this part of the world.”
My reply:
            Well done with your annual work on behalf of veterans, and especially with informing our younger generations.  That is one of many reasons I work so hard to make sure the history is correct in my novels; it might be the only ‘touch’ readers have with those events.  So nice, generous and necessary to make sure the children remember.
            Absolutely amazing and we learn more everyday.  It had not dawned on me that you might have experienced the sounds of V1 attacks.  Kent was under the primary path for V1’s heading to London.  That had to be frightening . . . a very distinctive sound.  Do you have any awareness of V2 attacks?
            Re: death with dignity.  Your memory is excellent.  Yes, my mother’s passing affected me and inspired my evangelism with respect to death with dignity.  My efforts in Kansas continue without much progress.  Just an FYI: my father passed suddenly without the protracted suffering my Mother experienced.  Your description of your veteran’s passing sounds distinctly similar to my Mother – a very undignified passing.  As I recall, at least the law in the UK means the Crown Prosecution Service will not criminalize those who seek their right in Switzerland or other countries in Europe.  We must continue to press for the law to respect our rights and our dignity.  The laws in states where legal in this Grand Republic require the individual be lucid and must be capable of the final decision.
            Re: Hess at Spandau.  Oh my, quite a story . . . and now that story is lost.
 . . . round two:
“That’s another school done…only 159 students this time. Tomorrow we have a high school and then two minutes silence with our bugler at the village memorial.
“I knew you’d be interested in my encounter with the suffering of our fine friend. It was a dreadful experience and one I may never delete from my memory. Our brains don’t work like our computers, there is no delete button. But one must try to recall the better times-the happy memories and try to push the worst into the darker corners. Where hopefully they will remain.
“V1 [sic, meant V2], no thank God. They must have soared over the top of us out of sight and sound. What weapons they both were, especially for the period. It’s a good job our forefathers stopped them.”
 . . . my reply to round two:
            Remembrance / Veterans Day.  God bless those who have served.
            Hope everything goes well at the high school tomorrow.
            Living through a protracted, lingering death cannot be forgotten.  I have never been a fan of funerals; I favor celebration of a life well lived.
            Yes, quite so, the V2 had a near vertical, supersonic descent, so whatever sound came was after impact.  Especially with respect to the advanced weapons like the V1 & V2, imagine what might have been if Hitler had support the vengeance weapons earlier in the war?  Thank goodness things played out the way they did.
 . . . Round three:
“Thanks again for your best wishes. Two more high school visits and then we can relax a little.
“Although I can’t recall the name of the village in France we visited a massive Nazi bunker where these weapons were assembled for firing. This entire construction consisting of a massive underground dome was built by slaves who died in their dozens. An extraordinary desperate experience, I’m not certain but I believe it was a target for our Tallboys. (when I was on training we used to sit on one of those having our tea break!)
Indeed Cap, it was a damned good piece of work that our boys together won the day.”
 . . . my reply to round three:
            From your description, I suspect you are referring to La Coupole d'Helfaut-Wizernes, which was hit many times during construction.  The sight was hit more than once by Lancaster bombers, dropping the 6T Tallboy bombs, also used to finally sink DKM Tirpitz, among other German targets of the day.  I’ve not yet visited the site, but I’m sure it had to be impressive.
            Damned good piece of work indeed and not the last time we have collaborated against a common foe.
 . . . Round four:
“I’m at a loss to describe my feelings this evening after the atrocities in Paris. Maybe tomorrow my friend.  Je suis Charlie.”
 . . . my reply to round four:
           While the scale of the Paris attacks is not to 9/11 attacks, the consequences are the same.  The details of who and why are still emerging as I write, but it surely looks like violent, radical fundamentalism of al-Qa’ida has metastasized into the new form of ISIL.  The uncontrolled influx of “refugees” to the European Union has to be of enormous concern, as our collective enemy has found the means to utilize European generosity to bypass our security checks and thoroughly infiltrate our communities.
            I am fairly certain the security and intelligence services are in overdrive trying to assist the French in finding and prosecuting those who supported the killers, since they are dead.
            Je suis Français, en effet!  Vive la France!
 . . . Round five:
“It’s odd isn’t it, there must be something in our thought processes that puts a constraint on finding the deepest terms of disgust and horror when communicating on such an appalling act of brutality as in Paris Friday evening.
“I still find it damned difficult to conjure up the right prose and synonyms to express the way we all feel about yet another barbaric act of senseless savagery and hatred.
“What is to be done? And yes we have long been aware that there will be unwanted individuals slipping into Europe as refugees. We have an undisputed problem my friend but one that must be solved. We wish no more 9/11’s, London bus, Paris attacks, Beirut and others. Is the cause merely the suspect integration of the Muslim people in our cities or is it something deeper and sinister? I believe we know the answer to that Cap. If that is the answer then it will have to be destroyed and sent into the darkest pages of human history.”
 . . . my reply to round five:
            One thing is quite certain, ISIL (and al-Qa’ida et al) have been consistent – they want to return to the 7th Century, at least socially, since they are comfortable using 21st Century weapons to achieve their aims.  Further, they want everyone to take that journey with them.  Their ruthlessness and brutality are consistent with their aims, e.g., destroying any artifact in existence prior to 632 AD.
            I do not think the issue is Islam, Muslims or the integration of Muslims.  The majority of Muslims do NOT embrace the radical fundamentalism of ISIL, al-Qa’ida, or any of the other myriad radical manifestations.  I know more than a few Muslims who have assimilated quite well in western societies.  Some may still teach their children fundamentalist principles, but then again, there are Christians who teach their children in the same manner.  The issue for all us is the identification and interdiction of the radical, fundamentalist, Islamo-fascists, who seek world domination through violence.  In this sense, there is not much difference between Islamo-fascism and National Socialism of the last century.
            Yes, I’m afraid, radicalism of any kind must be eradicated.  I do not see much hope of redemption.  Thus, let us recognize reality and get on with the task at hand.  The German people survived the eradication process and are stronger today for the experience.

A different contribution:
“Note on the USS Lassen – one of my check hops at Saufley was by the late Commander Clyde Lassen.  I recall he was a low-key instructor.
“Regarding Carson, he had built himself up via his feel-good story, which was impressive.  But he also embellished it along the way, and maybe now really believes some of it.  Some it is demonstrably false, and he isn’t helped by his goofy statements on the pyramids.  Also his story on fronting for a health nostrum also damaged his credibility.  The West Point story was emblematic.  Remember that this was written about twenty years ago- so it was fresher in his mind.  And while he could be given some slack for the ‘scholarship’ part- he was also telling and writing that Gen Westmoreland was there and ‘offered’ him the scholarship.  Westmoreland’s  personal itinerary says that he was actually in Washington DC and playing tennis on that date.”
My response:
            Re: Lassen.  You have had some interesting characters in your life.
            Re: Carson.  Good comments.  He lost any remaining credibility he might have commanded.  This should be the death knell, but it will likely take a long time to play out.  I have fundamentally disagreed with his positions on virtually all social issues.

Another contribution:
“I noticed this past week had little coverage of Metrojet #9268.  It seemed the week's news cycles covered mostly presidential politics, especially the dual between Trump vs. Carson.  Then it was the twin bombings in Beirut.  Then the following day it was the tragic attacks in Paris.
“In the South China Sea, I understand a couple of our USAF B-52's flew through the contested territory, and while China issued warnings to our B-52's, thankfully no incident occurred.
“We live in interesting times Cap, as Trump proposes a ‘deportation force’ in America, as we see what happened in Paris (and all over Europe) with the bulk of refugees coming from Syria (and then the continent of Africa), and the reportage some of the Syrians flooding into Europe are being recruited into ISIS.  Will France have a deportation police?  Those crossing borders should be vetted with every database possible, but the problem for both Europe and America (etc.) is how to handle the enormous population of those already inside, who may have not been vetted properly, or are upstanding with no criminal/terrorist tendencies, and how do they get removed, or vetted.  We were told Friday that thousands of ISIS sympathizers posted Tweets applauding the Paris terrorist attacks.  Those account holders in my opinion, would be a great place to start to vet and/or deport immediately, or detain until further investigation can conclude such perps are not a threat.
“Sadly as much as I wanted to avoid the PRE-CRIME scenario (as mentioned previously and highlighted in the movie Minority Report), I think we are advancing that way and soon.”
My reply:
            Modern news cycles are like that . . . these are the times in which we live.
            What the PRC is doing in the South China Sea is wrong.  I hope, no I expect, the U.S. and other freedom-loving countries to continue challenging the PRC’s hegemonic actions in the area.
            The refugee situation in Europe has been a serious concern from the get-go.  Uncontrolled entry into any country is a definite risk and threat.  Any country should only allow individuals to enter who wish to adopt the culture of the host country, assimilate into society, and respect the governing principles of public conduct, and we must add, they have some skill or capability to enhance productivity, i.e., contribute to society.  I lived and worked in numerous foreign countries during my military service; I respected local culture, but we were there under a different aegis and for a specific mission.  I also lived and worked as a civilian in England and Italy for several years each.  I must say, both countries have far more controlled work permit and visa controls than this country has ever had.  While the entry constraints are comparable, keeping track of visitors once inside the country are dramatically different between the U.S. and at least what I experienced in England and Italy.  As I understand the statistics in this Grand Republic, the majority of people in the country illegally are visa-over-stay individuals.  I never over-stayed my visa.  I followed the constraints precisely.  I do not know what enforcement the British or Italians would have taken if I had violated my visa constraints, but I suspect it would have been progressively more aggressive.  I will also say, I did not feel the least bit burdens or diminished by the visa constraints.
            Re: “Minority Report” hypothesis.  I understand your concern, i.e., as portrayed in the movie.  However, as I have argued in the past, we need to get serious about domestic intelligence and predictive conduct.  The capability must be distinctly separate from law enforcement.  The closest contemporary structure I’ve seen is the relationship between MI5 and the Met in London.  We must find the means to regulate intelligence activities and avoid abuses reflected in the movie.  The over-looked “signs” of deviant behavior in serial or mass killers have long troubled me, and we must find the means to intercede before they harm other citizens.

            My very best wishes to all.  Take care of yourselves and each other.
Cheers,
Cap                        :-)

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