09 March 2015

Update no.690

Update from the Heartland
No.690
2.3.15 – 8.3.15
To all,

The follow-up news items:
-- Former Director of Central Intelligence and Army General David Petraeus [569, 570] signed court documents pleading guilty to one count of removal and retention of classified material in exchange for a plea deal that gives him probation and a fine.  The final, closed agreement has not been made public, as yet.
--The Justice Department investigation and report on the Ferguson (Missouri) Police Department and the conduct of Officer Darren Wilson in the death of Michael Brown [661] determined Officer Wilson did not violate the law.  However, the report apparently, virtually indicts the Ferguson Police Department for racially-biased conduct in its operations.
-- President Obama signed into law the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2015 [PL 114-xxx; H.R.240; House: 257-167- 0-9(2); Senate 68-31-0-1(0); 129 Stat. xxxx; 4.March.2015] to fund the department for the rest of the fiscal year, after the drama of congressional hostage efforts [689] in protest of the President’s executive action regarding immigration reform [675].

Albert Einstein published his General Theory of Relativity on 25.November.1915.  The first “proof” of Einstein’s theory came four years later with a solar eclipse, gravitational lensing measurement.  Last November, Professor Doctor Patrick L. Kelly of the University of California, Berkley, discovered by happenstance in a Hubble image the most dramatic example of Einstein’s gravitational lensing, yet seen.  The image shows SuperNova Refsdal at 9.3B LY, as four simultaneous reflections by galaxy MACS J1149.6+2223 at 5.0B LY.  These are the little tidbits of science that absolutely enthrall me.  For those so inclined:
The image:
The article:
http://www.sci-news.com/astronomy/science-sn-refsdal-hubble-four-magnified-images-same-supernova-02569.html
“SN Refsdal: Hubble Spots Four Magnified Images of Same Supernova”
Published: Mar 6, 2015

If we need more examples of governmental over-reach, I will offer to small local example.
“Kansas bill would restrict strip-club hours, end alcohol sales”
by Bryan Lowry
Wichita Eagle
Published: 02/17/2015 11:16 AM; updated: 02/17/2015 5:42 PM
More than a few Kansas legislators are apparently offended by entertainment establishments that feature nudity, partial nudity or sexually oriented facilities.  Some of the new legislators introduced Kansas Senate Bill 147 – Community Defense Act.  The introduction of the bill states, “The purpose of the community defense act is to regulate sexually oriented businesses in order to promote the health, safety and general welfare of the citizens of Kansas, and to establish reasonable and uniform regulations to prevent the deleterious secondary effects of sexually oriented businesses within the state. The provisions of this act have neither the purpose nor effect of imposing a limitation or restriction on the content or reasonable access to any communicative materials, including sexually oriented materials.”  Sounds very noble and righteous, doesn’t it.  As Lowry reported “the Kansas Republican Party’s platform opposes pornography in all forms.”  Despite the noble purpose as stated by SB 147, this bill has absolutely nothing to do with “the health, safety and general welfare of the citizens of Kansas.”  The intended and practical purpose of this bill is to squeeze sexually oriented businesses sufficiently to put them out of business in the state.  Now, to be clear, the bill defines a “sexually oriented business” as “an adult arcade, an adult bookstore or adult video store, an adult cabaret, an adult motion picture theater, a semi-nude model studio, a sexual device shop or a sexual encounter center.”  Please note the word “adult” in most of the businesses identified in the definition.  To be blunt, SB 147 is classic moral projection.  These legislators are intent upon imposition of their moral objection / offense to strip clubs and other sexually oriented businesses.  While these misguided legislators have the right to introduce such moral projection bills, we must hope wiser minds will kill this bill in committee.  Bills like SB 147 are wrong in so many ways and represent the basis for my broad resistance to the moral projectionists who are bent upon imposing their moral values on all citizens.  Some day, we will grow up and acknowledge that freedom is freedom for all, not just those who weald power in this Grand Republic.

News from the economic front:
-- The Reserve Bank of India reduced its main repurchase rate from 7.75% to 7.5%, surprising markets for the second time this year.  The action by the central bank of India joins a worldwide trend of monetary easing that is driving global interest rates to multiyear lows.
-- The Federal Reserve's “beige book” report illuminated the broad expansion of the U.S. economy at the start of the year amid good general hiring and rising consumer spending, though bad weather in the Northeast, lower oil prices and a West Coast port dispute hurt some parts of the country.
-- The People’s Republic of China lowered its economic growth forecast to about 7.0 %, after last year’s goal was actually 7.4% against a forecast of “about 7.5%” – the slowest growth in more than two decades.
-- The European Central Bank (ECB) kept its interest rates unchanged and announced their intention to begin purchases of government bonds under its program of quantitative easing on 9.March, to help boost economic growth and return inflation to target levels.
-- The Federal Reserve reported the results of their annual financial health ‘stress test’ of the biggest U.S. banks.  All 31 banks passed.  They had sufficient capital to continue lending during a hypothetical economic shock where corporate debt markets deteriorate, unemployment hits 10%, and housing and stock prices plunge – a serious recession.  This is the first time since the tests began in 2009 that all banks maintained capital levels above what the Fed set as minimum allowable levels.
-- The Labor Department reported U.S. employers added 295,000 jobs in February and the unemployment rate fell to 5.5%, exceeding forecasts in both metrics.  This was the 12th month in a row the U.S. economy added more than 200,000 jobs for the period.

Comments and contributions from Update no.689:
Comment to the Blog:
“I have a strong impression that the general notion of Chris Kyle comes from the popular movie about him. A more accurate picture may be derived from his ‘autobiography,’ which involved not one but two ghost writers. Mr. Kyle took an incredibly (but predictably) thoughtless risk in his attempt to cure his fellow veteran, and he paid the price of that.
“The deadlock and irrationality in the current Congress goes back to Republican statements the night of Obama's first election as President and the following days. The Congressional majority has no interest in governance. They focus only on defeating Obama.
“The Keystone pipeline carries major environmental issues. The notion that they have been resolved is false. I will note here that Keystone XL would exist for the purpose of exporting oil, not for use by Americans.
“The murder of Mr. Nemtsov remains unsolved and probably always will. You seem to imply that Russian President Putin had something to do with it and yet you are apparently indignant that he has yet to admit any such thing. All political and other considerations aside, when did murderers begin confessing their crimes to the world's news media? Duh.”
My response to the Blog:
            Re: Kyle.  Outside the sphere of special ops, perhaps the movie is all they know.  For those in that world, his reputation and accomplishments place him in a rarified group of warriors.  I was not there when he was killed.  I have not seen an accurate portrayal of exactly what happened, as the event was not in question . . . only Routh’s conduct.  We may not agree with Kyle’s choice to help a troubled veteran, but at least he tried to do something.
            Re: congressional majority.  Frankly, I agree.  Congress appears to only care about remaining in power, being re-elected, and of course “benefiting” from their position.
            Re: Keystone pipeline.  The part of the pipeline not yet completed would in fact transport American crude oil from the oil fields of the north central states.  Even the oil from Canada would go to the refineries of Port Arthur, Texas, in addition to being available on the world market . . . as it should be.  Even U.S. crude is not restricted to U.S. consumption.  Lastly, the operations of oil pipelines have been successful for decades.  The trans-Alaska pipeline has operated successfully for decades in far harsher environmental conditions.  The arguments against the completion of the pipeline appear to be bogus and politically motivated, not rational.
            Re: Nemtsov.  His assassination was not a random act of violence.  It was well planned and executed by multiple assassins.  Thus, who had a motive?  I have zero expectation of Putin confessing his complicity.  None of this alters my opinion of Putin.  He is a ruthless dictator, driven by megalomania.  While he is not yet to the depravity of his predecessors – Stalin, Hitler, et al – he is more than a few steps down the same path.
 . . . Round two:
“Kyle's ‘choice to help a troubled veteran’ is not in doubt. What leaves me cold are his character as a whole and his refusal to consider whether his action was sensible. Again, the movie is not an accurate picture. The biography very likely is.
“The oil from that particular pipeline, Keystone XL, is destined for international shipment per multiple sources. Pipelines are not safe. That contradicts the facts of their large number of spills and other incidents, most recently the Yellowstone River spill. ‘Successful’ is not an appropriate term. ‘Profitable’ fits so far, but not ‘successful.’
“Mr. Nemtsov's homicide was not random. However easy it is to point to Putin, any number of players on the world stage could benefit from his death, especially if Russian public opinion goes against Putin. The U.S. and the EU top that list.”
 . . . my response to round two:
            Re: Kyle.  Apparently, you are better informed than me.  Please enlighten us regarding the flaws in character and errors in judgment by Chris Kyle.
            Re: oil pipelines.  We shall respectfully disagree.  Oil pipelines are better than other forms of transport with moving vehicles and human operators (trucks, rail, ships).
            Re: Putin.  OK.  I’ll bite.  Are you arguing that Putin is the innocent victim in some great smear campaign, attempting to besmirch his reputation as a world leader?  So, perhaps the CIA killed Nemtsov?  Or, the Ukraine is attacking itself and giving away its territory to make it look like the Russians?  Or, MI6 is flying Bear bombers in airspace violations of other sovereign nations?  All of this conspiracy to make Putin look bad?  Wow!
 . . . Round three:
“Chris Kyle was a sniper, which is a necessary job if war is necessary. Most snipers, however, would not kill people were it not necessary in their perception in order to defend their nation, their fellows, or themselves. In the book, Kyle details that he gloried in killing people, running up his numbers of targets for fun, feeling no remorse and claiming to put no thought into much of anything. That last part is what got him killed. PTSD can make people dangerous under the circumstances he set up, and people with PTSD should receive therapy from trained professionals, not from well-meaning amateurs who refuse to even consider their own methods. I can see his death as either suicide or death by misadventure.
“I will not dispute your statement that pipelines are less dangerous than other means of transporting crude or refined oil. They are not, however, safe. We continue to experience spills of thousands or tens of thousands of gallons of oil from pipelines. There is no safe method, and society needs to defend itself by stringent controls on any transportation of any dangerous substances. That, unfortunately, is in decline. Road transportation is gradually being de-regulated. We must not allow pipelines to go the same way. Pipeline incidents may be less common than road or rail accidents, but the spill sizes are enormous.
“I am not arguing that Putin is innocent or guilty. I am stating that we have no way of making even a guess about what has happened in this homicide case. Speculation in a public forum only serves whatever is the killers' goal.”
 . . . my response to round three:
            Re: Kyle.  I did not know Chris Kyle.  However, I certainly know enough folks like him.  As aviators, we often had a distant, sterile perspective of the work we did.  Snipers had to take a very impersonal view of their work.  Successful snipers also tend to take a very clinical, mechanical view of their work, like any professional.  To the sniper, it is just a target, not a human being.  I did not interpret his efforts to help Routh as an attempt at professional therapy; he was simply trying to help a troubled veteran in the best way he knew how.  I suppose his other choice was to do nothing.  Regardless of Kyle’s intentions, Routh committed murder, not Kyle.
            Re: pipeline.  How is a pipeline unsafe?  What does it do to be unsafe?  The construction and maintenance of pipelines should be and are regulated.  Welds have to be certified and recorded.  No leaks are acceptable.  It is my understanding all leaks are investigated like transport accidents.
            Re: Putin.  Interesting perspective.  Dictators, with the power of the State at their disposal, are extraordinarily difficult to pin down, e.g., Stalin, Pol Pot, Hitler, Mussolini, Putin, et al.  The best we can do is take the facts.  The facts speak.
 . . . Round four:
“Pipelines leak and sometimes they break. Since the Yellowstone incident a few weeks ago, another break has occurred in Alaska, polluting 38,000 acres. How could you not be aware of that?
“The facts speak only if we know the facts. Speculation and opinion are not facts.”
 . . . my response to round four:
            I can find no reference to a recent oil pipeline leak in Alaska.  The last Alyeska pipeline leak I can find occurred in 2011.  I have looked at every combination of markers I can think of.  Leaks due to sabotage are hardly a fault of the design.  So, let us stick to the facts.  I need some help to catch up with your facts.  I am clearly not as well informed as you are.  To this point, I am not seeing the evidence that pipelines are worse than any other vehicle transportation means.  A little help please.
 . . . Round five:
“Please note that I never said that pipelines were less safe than other means of oil transport. I said they were not safe enough.
“For a little more background, here's a link to a wikipedia list of pipeline incidents in the 21st Century.
“Here is a link to the wikipedia article on the Yellowstone River. Note Paragraph 4, ‘2015 Oil Spill,’ especially the discrepancy in company versus state estimates of the amount spilled.
“That list is only updated to February 25, 2015. Here is a link an article from the Houston Business Journal concerning a February 28, 2015 leak in northern Alaska. (I doubt I could find a more oil-industry-favoring media source than this one. Expect understatement of the spill and the damage.) 
“All of that resulted from a quick search of ‘pipeline incidents 2015.’  No problem.
“Yes, let us stick to facts.”
 . . . my response to round five:
            I acknowledge pipeline leaks have occurred – drunks firing rifles into the pipe, complacency in welding and operation, et al.   I have not yet found proper, impartial, independent efficiency and safety effectiveness numbers for each of oil transportation means.  It is my opinion only . . . that pipelines are the safest per quantity of oil moved over a distance.  Can they be improved . . . yes.  So, if your argument is pipelines are not safe enough, then what do you propose as an alternative?

My very best wishes to all.  Take care of yourselves and each other.
Cheers,
Cap                        :-)

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