Update from the
Heartland
No.680
22.12.14 – 28.12.14
Blog version: http://heartlandupdate.blogspot.com/
To all,
Happy New Year to everyone! May next year be the best ever for each of you.
The follow-up news items:
-- Sony Pictures Entertainment released their controversial
movie “The Interview” to 300 independent theater screens and
reportedly made a deal to also release the movie to video streaming sites in
the wake of the major cyber-attack [679]. Naturally, as is so common in the
digital age, the conspiracists have accused Sony of intentionally provoking Kim
Jung Un and the DPRK to generate massive ‘news’ publicity and stimulate a
patriotic response to the movie. I
am not among that group. Aaron
Sorkin’s admonition of the Press regarding some aspects of the cyber-attack [679] generated alternative opinion (see
Comments section below).
At 05:35 [G], Sunday, 28.December.2014,
AirAsia Flight 8501 (QZ8501) took off from Surabaya airport Indonesia on a
planned two-hour flight to Singapore.
Communications with the aircraft were lost 42 minutes after
takeoff. Towering monsoon
cumulonimbus cloud formations were present along their planned route. The aircraft was an Airbus A320-200
with 162 souls aboard. Search and
rescue operations are underway, although primary search operations have been
suspended for local nighttime.
This event comes less than a year after the disappearance of Malaysia
Airlines Flight MH370 [638; 8.3.2014]
in the same region.
OK, my bad! In Update no.679, I noted the ridiculous number of federal facility naming laws
Congress passed and President Obama approved. Well, apparently, those were the easy ones, and the Library
of Congress was struggling to keep up with the clot of new laws the President
signed before departing on his winter holiday vacation. By the end of this week, 61 additional
legislative actions became laws.
Sure, there was a passel more facility naming laws and some rather
trivial laws, yet there were also a few more substantive and important laws as
well. Congress actually passed two
proper appropriations bills – one for the Defense Department and the other for
the Intelligence Community – although the latter included a section they felt
obligated to add: §302, excluding any intelligence activities “not otherwise
authorized by the Constitution or the laws of the United States.” This group of new laws also included
three (3) cybersecurity and information security laws (quite timely given the
DPRK’s recent attacks), a law adding more sanctions against Russia for their
incursion into the Ukraine as well as other support for the Ukraine, and a law
transferring six (6) Perry-class guided missile frigates from U.S. service to
other countries – two to Mexico and four to Taiwan – reminiscent of the
transfer of 40 destroyers to Great Britain in 1940, except the latter was
accomplished by executive order rather than by an act of Congress.
News from the economic front:
-- The Commerce Department reported the U.S. Gross Domestic Product
(GDP) grew at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.0% in 3Q2014, up from a growth
rate of 4.6% in 2Q2014, and the strongest pace since 3Q2003. I think it is safe to say the U.S.
economic recovery is for real; however, we need the rest of the world well into
recovery also.
Comments
and contributions from Update no.679:
Comment to the Blog:
“If we must talk in terms of moral outrage, I will first note that
moral outrage often disguises a profit motive, a need for attention, or some
attempt to control others. Sometimes all three.
“That said, legitimate moral outrage does have its moments. If
someone made a movie and publicized it widely, solely for profit, about killing
me personally, I would have one of those moments. My initial reaction would be
obvious and large, and I would spend a great deal of time and energy bringing
the perpetrators their consequences. I would expect no less of any rational
human being. While we may not see Kim Jong Un as rational, he has reacted in
moral outrage to a movie specifically about killing him. Of course he has. Like
it or not, he does not see himself as some sort of arch-villain. Nobody sees
himself that way. Expecting him to act within the context of law or
middle-class U.S. morality contradicts his history. Being himself, if he has
seen spy movies, his response probably makes perfect sense to him.
“I easily disproved your statement that theaters did not refuse to
show that movie Interview in large numbers. http://www.mediaite.com/online/the-top-five-movie-theater-chains-in-north-america-wont-screen-the-interview/
(Search terms: movie theater interview) The five largest movie theater chains
in North America had withdrawn from showing it before Sony gave up. At least
one more in the top ten had joined them. Let us remember that Sony is a
Japanese corporation. It would be reasonable for them to withdraw as soon as
the movie cost them money. Why would they spend money defending the U.S.
concept of freedom of speech? Defending US ideals is a job for the US government.
“Mr Sorkin's denunciation of the media for reporting items that
are not illegal or (according to the claim) immoral might ring true if he did
not work for an industry that goes to great effort to court media attention.
“The press” is a collection of corporations. They are in business to make
money. If this one time the attention is unwelcome, so what?
“Normalization of relations with Cuba will probably be President
Obama's best achievement in the long view of history. For over 50 years, we have
succeeded in damaging Cubans while failing to bend the Cuban government to our
will. President Kennedy's mistake has cost us much material effort and
international goodwill, and has cost the Cuban people a great deal more. Obama
is finally changing that. While not on the scale of Nixon's outreach to China,
he still makes a statement that making peace works better than causing
conflict. If he could do something that sane in the Middle East, he would be a
great man.
“Economic reporting remains confusing as ever.”
My response to the
Blog:
Re:
moral outrage. Interesting
perspective.
Re:
Supreme Dear Leader Umpa-Lumpa.
You are a private citizen.
Kim is the leader of the DPRK and has the instruments of State under his
control. There is a monumental difference. As with all positions of power, they
are no longer private citizens, they represent the organizations they
lead. Plus, it’s a freakin’
comedic parody, not a special operations plan. If he wants to protest as a human being, then fine; do so .
. . but he does not get to use the instruments of State to action his tantrums.
Re:
disproved theaters. Wow, that is
quite a stretch. Five theater
chains hardly represent all theaters nationwide. I believe I did say a handful of theater chains in the
Northeast. Let us not forget, the
cinematic showing is the very tail end of the complete creative process; thus,
the vast majority of investment costs have been spent. Any income would be better than none.
Re:
Sorkin. We are all entitled to our
opinions. I think he is the
perfect voice for this issue. To
your point, that is precisely why I said Sorkin did not go far enough . . . as
We, the People, read, listen to, and demand the drivel the Press feeds us.
Re:
Cuba. You may well be correct on
that one. Normalization with the
PRC was one of President Nixon’s major achievements.
Re:
Middle East. Indeed!
Re:
economic reporting. Quite so! An imprecise process!
. . . follow-up comment:
“My opinion of moral outrage is not new or original. Whether we
call it moral outrage, rabble rousing, or some other name, one of the earlier
stages of intellectual growth is recognizing that people often use their and
others' emotions, especially anger and fear, for material gain and personal
satisfaction. The next stage is recognizing when those emotions are in play and
ignoring or discounting them unless they have very sound factual and moral
underpinnings.
“I rarely engage in name calling, and it bothers me when you do. I
see name calling as the province of bullies and drunks, not of intellectual
leaders. See also “rabble rousing” above.
“I think we may safely assume that Kim Jung Un feels human
emotions. Essentially all leaders have done the same. The idea that a person
“represents the nation” (or corporation or agency) at all times in all
circumstances fails the reality test. It is an ideal at best. Nixon returns to
mind in this circumstance. He supervised the crimes of Watergate and attempted
to add the FBI and CIA to them despite having every chance of being re-elected
without that. That Kim represents a sovereign nation is an interesting
circumstance, the result of North Korea having achieved dynastic succession
despite calling itself a Communist nation. Cuba apparently has done the same,
albeit with less disastrous results.
“The flaw in my argument was that it was premature. Doubt has been
raised by credible sources about whether the North Korean government actually
committed the hacking. If not, the situation probably calls for criminal law. I
suppose that we must admit that Sony Pictures and to some degree the United
States government are not ready for the 21st Century. Criminal law enforcement
and the courts are not prepared to deal with this.
“Your statement about a “handful of theaters” is indeed disproven.
My information concerned the five largest theater chains in North America, and
more beyond them. That is at least 20,000 screens. That level of logistical
changes alone would at least delay an opening.
“This too has since changed. Sony has now released the movie to
300 screens in the United States and to any number of online viewers, for a
nice fee of course. The events of the past week have led me to think that Sony
intended to provoke North Korea into a response simply for profit. That in
itself is not illegal, and trying to impose our moral values on a Japanese
corporation is an exercise in futility. It seems likely that further releases
may follow the usual course. The deeper underlying goal may have been to
get intense marketing for the online release via news reports. That has
certainly succeeded. The advantages of getting the product without going to a
theater threatened with terrorist attack may make this the first
successful/profitable direct-to-Internet movie. Follow the money. Early opinion
via salon.com is that the movie is not really worth watching anyhow.
“Mr. Sorkin is a hypocrite. He complains about media attention as
part of an industry that demands constant media attention. The entertainment
industry also has interlocking ownership with the traditional news media, so
that adds a layer of corruption to the whole picture.
“The reporting is not the only confusing part of economics. The
entire field is pretty messy.”
. . . my follow-up response:
Re:
emotions. Well said,
actually. I will add reason must
exceed emotion.
Re:
name-calling. Well said,
again. Sometimes, the object is
just too easy. I shall endeavor to
be worthy.
Re:
greater representation. Many
people have failed to recognize or accept their obligations above self to the
organizations they represent, but that does not alter the simple fact when you
wear a uniform, or hold a position within a company or any organization, you
represent that entity, not yourself.
Kim Jung Un appears to care less what happens to his country, to the
people of his country, as long as his ego is fed amply; he was not the first
and he certainly will not be the last to fail that test.
Re:
DPRK. The art of aggressive acts
against others is to make it look like someone else did it for you, e.g., Russia
vs. Ukraine, DPRK vs. everyone else.
Re:
screens. OK, perhaps so, whether
1% or 60% of the screens, the question is rate of return. It does not alter the imbedded costs
already sunk.
Re:
conspiracy. Perhaps so; if true,
they did a masterful job, and Kim played directly to Sony’s profit. Also, if true, they played directly to
the patriotism of Americans.
Re:
The Interview. I said at the
outset the movie is not worth my time or money, and it still isn’t.
Re:
Sorkin. Listen to and read his
words. He speaks directly to that very
dilemma, but it does not alter his message . . . in my humble opinion.
Re:
economics. Again, well said!
My very best wishes to all. Take care of yourselves and each other.
Cheers,
Cap :-)
2 comments:
"Conspiracist" is more name calling. Speaking for and of myself, I alleged no conspiracy in either the legal or the dramatic sense, and I never saw any such conspiracy. I still do not.
We can only understand business decisions from outside by the "follow the money" method. I stated that Sony had likely decided to provoke Kim Jong Un. The politicians and the media tools had no part in that decision. Again, this is not a conspiracy theory. I made an observation based on a business education. Kim Jong Un has shown no signs of maturity, and his wild rhetoric could be predicted by virtually anyone who watches newscasts. If North Korea had merely blustered and threatened as expected, that decision paid off. Any marketer knows the cash value of the patriotism such rhetoric provokes, and we are seeing it. All the "defend freedom of speech" stuff on newscasts is free marketing. Those same news outlets interviewed people who saw the movie in question at the 300 theaters following the high-drama news reports. Most customers expected a lesser product but felt that it was a patriotic duty to see (buy) it because of the news reports. Many other such patriots may be expected to pay to download the same movie in the safety and comfort of their homes. So a poor picture escapes most of the reproduction and venue costs and it still brings in money. Bottom line: Sony adeptly made money on a turkey. I suspect that Sony created the initial controversy to salvage a project that they foresaw would not pay off otherwise, even with big names starring. On top of that, they gain a long-term lead in direct-to-Internet releasing. That leadership ultimately will make them more money than any given movie. As a communication major, I admire their chutzpah and strategic thinking; as a person living by moral values, I detest their corporate ethics.
If the fullness of time shows us that the hackers were not the government of North Korea, the hackers saw their plan backfire because it got caught up in the other drama. I suppose some chance exists that Sony itself is behind the hacking, although it seems unlikely. If the hacking was North Korean, we have seen the very first sign of real tactical thinking by Kim Jong Un. Sony might not have expected that, but it doesn't cost anyone anything except the taxpayers who finance the investigation and whatever costs the hackers bear.Sony makes money in all cases. Everywhere the money leads, we find Sony.
I give Mr. Sorkin a partial pass. He is an individual, not a corporation. As such, he has feelings and responds to motivations other than money. I agree that he feels the moral outrage he expresses, but I still see it as hypocritical.
I refrain from commenting on the current airline disaster because no conclusions are yet available. I made that mistake a few weeks ago with the movie issue.
I know not whether you have studied Congress' end-of-session history. "A flurry of last-minute bills" is the usual description. Of course, people use the confusion inherent in a high volume of complex work to slip through less-popular items from their personal agendas. I have no idea why someone inserted an attempt to regulate the spy community, but it would take a great deal more than a statute to get the spies' attention. Spies ignore laws. The recent report on torture made that plain once again.
The economy may indeed be reviving at last. I noted in passing a TV report that wages have finally begun to rise a little.
Calvin,
Re: ‘conspiracist.’ My oh my, we are a bit sensitive today. I made no accusation or even inference. I was simply making an observation from several news sources.
Re: Kim Jung Un. Interesting observations. If he had just said the words, this would be just another humorous demonstrations of his immaturity. He crossed the line when directed Bureau 121 to inflict damage on Sony Pictures Entertainment.
Re: patriotic duty. You may well be correct, but I think not. While neither hypothesis may ever be proven. It is just as likely the DPRK did exactly as it appears. If the genius marketing project hypothesis is correct, then the DPRK played its part masterfully. If your hypothesis is correct, Sony executed a most impressive false-flag operation for financial gain. While that hypothesis is plausible, I still believe the DPRK as culprit is the most likely, and thus, I save my condemnation for the DPRK rather than Sony.
Re: Sorkin. OK, we shall hold different perspectives.
Re: Congress. OK, as you say.
Re: economy. A rising tide raises all boats.
“That’s just my opinion, but I could be wrong.”
Cheers,
Cap
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