12 September 2016

Update no.769

Update from the Heartland
No.769
5.9.16 – 11.9.16
To all,

            Jeanne and I planned a little mini-‘vacay’ around the annual Kansas Book Festival in Topeka on Saturday.  Unfortunately, Mother Nature did not smile upon us this year.  Beginning Thursday evening, it began to rain with the worst of it coming early Friday morning.  When I got up 02:20, the rain gauge showed 2.25 inches and the lake was still at its normal level.  By dawn, the rain gauge was up to 4.5 inches and the lake was over the banks and approaching my threshold for installing our flood panels.  We watched and waited.  I even made a tour of the watershed that feeds our lake that yielded mixed results and was generally positive.  For reasons I could not determine, the lake was slow to crest and recede, and more rain was forecast for the evening.  So, long story short, we did not get the dogs to the boarding kennel and did not leave town as planned.  Then, the rain started, again, and added another 2.5 inches.  The lake level rose, again.  We were both already tired from a long day fretting about the flood and how to adjust our plans.  We agreed to take shifts watching the rain gauge and water level.  By the time my shift started, the rain stopped, the radar looked clear, and the lake was still short of the threshold for action.  We went to bed near midnight with an agreed to plan; if conditions were acceptable, I would cover the book festival and Jeanne would stay home with the dogs.  I checked the rain gauge (no change), checked the lake (peaked and receding), and checked the radar (nothing close).  I decided to clean up, get dressed, load the car, and head out.  I could continue his narrative, but I have probably lost everyone already.
            After all that turmoil and a long drive in the dark, I was actually one of the first authors to be set up in tent booths erected in the plaza on the north side of the state capitol building.  It was my first time at the capitol book festival.  I was pleasantly surprised by the attendance.  I actually sold some books . . . never as many as I would like, but hey, sales are sales.  Folks, young and old, stopped to talk, ask questions, and showed interest.  Then, there are always a few who seem virtually anti-social.  My biggest disappointment was the Wi-Fi set up for the event, which was just not stable enough to upload credit car purchases.  Another mistake I made (in hindsight): I chose not to take a cash pouch for cash payments.  I am still getting the hang of this retail sales process.  Toward mid-afternoon, the governor showed up to say hi to everyone.  I am not high on the man, but I am respectful of the office he holds.  After a long day (with no nap), I drove home, which took a little longer since I stopped about halfway to take a combat nap.
            The flood came at the worst time, but we manage to recover.  Unfortunately, Mother Nature ruined what had been a good plan for a mini-‘vacay.’  C’est la vie.  Life goes on.  I must publicly profess my gratitude for everything Jeanne does for us.  For those who may be curious, the lake was back down to its normal level by Sunday.

            The follow-up news items:
-- Various aviation information sources indicate the investigators for the MetroJet Flight 9268 (KGL9268)[724] incident have begun to reassemble the wreckage, which should enable them, along with the FDR/CVR and radar data to precisely determine the root cause and sequence of the in-flight break-up.

            The Republican presidential nominee seems to have found a kindred spirit in President Rodrigo Roa ‘Rody or Digong’ Duterte of the Philippines  . . . just insult people with whom you disagree or dislike.

            On Friday morning, 9.September, a 5.3 magnitude earthquake was detected in northwest North Korea at a comparatively shallow depth and likely marked the fifth test by the rogue nation of its evolving nuclear weapons development program.  Initial estimates place the yield at 10-20 KT – in the size range of ‘Little Boy,’ the Hiroshima device. 

            Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson stumbled this week when MSNBC reporters asked him about the situation in Aleppo.  He did not know what Aleppo was; “What is Aleppo?”  I was disappointed in that initial response.  Yet, I was truly impressed by his recovery.  He owned it, and regretted his lack of knowledge about the Syrian civil war and refugee crisis.  Gary responded in a calm, direct, forthright manner – a dramatic and refreshing contrast with the insult deflections of the Republican nominee and the word-parsing obfuscation of the Democratic nominee.  Yet, I dare say, most of us know what is going on in Aleppo.  Many of us can actually locate the besieged Syrian city, or at least what is left of the city, on a map.  The stumble was not an encouraging sign.

            Can anyone imagine Winston Churchill singing the praises of Adolf Hitler?  There is zero doubt that Hitler had extraordinary leadership qualities to be able to convince, coax, cajole, dominate and oppress an entire, civilized nation, and convinced virtually the entire professional military leadership to go to war for his purposes.  Churchill was a student of leadership, and an accomplished national and international leader in his own right over many decades, including two (2) world wars.  He recognized Hitler for what he was.  He knew what the German dictator had accomplished, and he also understood long before the negative traits became clear to the world the danger the mercurial German leader represented to Germany, to Europe and to the World.  And yet, Churchill never praised the German dictator for anything, not even conceding the good completed like the Autobahn highway network and making the trains run on schedule.  I wonder what other dictators the Republican nominee admires?

            One additional thought: apparently all you have to do to get on the good side of the Republican nominee is flatter him.  OMG, what lays ahead for us all?

            News from the economic front:
-- The European Central Bank (ECB) announced no changes to its monthly asset-purchase program of €80B (US$90B) will continue until at least the end of March 2017, if necessary.  The ECB continues to fight stubbornly low inflation (growth).

            Comments and contributions from Update no.768:
Comment to the Blog:
“The SpaceX rocket failure seems pretty much par for the course of vastly expanding a field of endeavor quickly. Given the nature of the investigators, we shall never know whether the object you described has any significance. My personal opinion is that an operation of this magnitude ought not to be in private hands. The oligarchy sees only potential return on investment and does not concern itself with cost to others.
“I see Colin Kaepernick as wise to do his protesting in a very public place and situation. Otherwise, he could become one more unarmed black man shot by the police, as so many have been. Alternatively, he could be attacked with dogs as the peaceful pipeline protesters in North Dakota have been or with pepper spray as were protesters at a peaceful rally on a college campus in California a year or two back. Nobody believes Mr. Kaepernick speaks for his football team, but no police officer is unwise enough to take revenge on him in a full stadium with cameras recording every square foot of it. He is merely following the example of Muhammad Ali and others who have used their prominence to further their cause. The shame of it is that the cause has not advanced more since Ali made his stand.”
My response to the Blog:
            Re: SpaceX.  Interesting perspective . . . certainly not devoid of truth, it seems to me.  The NTSB should be doing the investigation . . . as they do with railroads, ships, highways and aircraft; but, as we know, even the NTSB is not removed from political influence, although by law, it is supposed to be beyond politics.
            Re: Kaepernick.  While I agree in part, I cannot agree with the premise anyone can say whatever they want whenever they want and in any circumstance they wish.  Muhammed Ali spoke for himself; he represented no one else except himself.  But hey, apparently, that is just my opinion . . . and that don’t matter a hoot for nothin’.

Another contribution:
“Don't know if you saw this, but they shut down 37 of the 4,200 deep wastewater injection wells in the state. From what I can tell the ability to pinpoint the wells causing the problem is not nearly that precise.”
URL:
My reply:
            Thx mate.  That was what I was referring to, without direct citation, regarding the shutting down of some of the wastewater injection wells.  Pinpointing . . . exactly, they can identify an area, but when there are more than one such wells in the area, precise location becomes nearly impossible.

A different contribution:
“Thanks for another informative piece.  While 768 did not directly raise the question of why a reluctant vote for Trump is wiser than a reluctant vote or any vote for another Obama, I mean Clinton, I have a logical reason that at least by implication 768 invites:
“We may not know exactly what Trump will do, but we do know what Hillary will do (more executive Obama orders, more disrespect of the constitution by our Supreme Court, more illegal aliens on our welfare roles and in our hospitals having free babies, more votes for the federal nanny state, more disrespect from our enemies, more questionable Clintonian shenanigans, more taxation of what is left of our nation's producers, more voters dependent upon government, etc., etc., etc.).  I am willing to take a chance on the coarse but refreshingly independent Republican businessman even though the Repandcrats in charge of the GOP are quite willing to suffer the above results of a Clinton victory so that they can have a few more years in Washington.  Of course, the Clinton worshippers and the timid Trump fearers will follow the main stream media's urgings that we must not have a man like The Donald in the White House when we could have the first female president there, a nice mother with some political experience and only a few scandals per decade behind her.”
My response:
            Well done!  You have made a valiant attempt to draw my vote into the public domain.  First, I have NOT decided who I will vote for in the coming election.  Second, I want to retain an open-mind to the greatest extent I am able for as long as possible.  That said, the closest I’m going to get to a vote declaration prior to the election is my words in the Comment section of Update no.767.  Let it suffice to say that you are far braver than me.  We are conducting a national job interview, and we only have four candidates and a mandatory requirement to pick one for the job.  The current incumbent is barred by the Constitution from remaining in the office he has occupied for nearly eight years.
 . . . the last word on this thread:
"One last thing: I wish I could think that a vote for the Libertarian would not help Hillary, but I am a realist in that regard."

Yet, another contribution:
“Thank you again Cap.  I am sorry for the loss of your friend Lieutenant General Frank Emmanuel Petersen, Jr.
“The quake in your region, is another sign to me that Donald Rumsfeld was a genius in stating (or restating from the works of others):
"Reports that say that something hasn't happened are always interesting to me, because as we know, there are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know. But there are also unknown unknowns – the ones we don't know we don't know."
And that would be the water injection you refer to below, involved in the fracking process.  I might also refer to Donald Rumsfeld's quote related to the spraying of Naled to contain the Zika Virus, as large kill offs of bees and other insects (and what else?) appears to be happening due to trying to kill the mosquitoes.
“That's it for now, hope to contribute more later...”
My reply:
            Thank you for your kind words.  He was a good man.
            Rummie certainly popularized the “unknown unknowns” in contemporary culture, but he is not the originator of the logic.
            Re: wastewater injection.  The issue, as I understand the geologic processes, is actually the wastewater disposal from the fracking process injected far deeper than the recovery zone.  There are certainly “unknown unknowns” with that process.
            Re: Zika spraying.  Insecticide is like that . . . kills everything and only by dosage regulation they hope to avoid killing humans.
            Contribute more when or if you wish.
 . . . a follow-up comment:
“On Zika spraying, my concern is that we do not know the long term health effects on humans from the insecticide, but also equally important, do try to kill possible Zika carrying mosquitoes, there is now collateral damage to bees and many other species, including effects on plant life, that has an ecological impact that could be more dangerous than Zika, considering statistics, long-term changes, and the ‘unknown unknowns.’  I would even say there is enough we do now know, if bees are killed, that we should seriously consider what we are doing spraying these insecticides.  I believe industrial diseases and our efforts to control nature or add scientific methods for our own benefit, is counterproductive and may be the reason we see things like the cancer disease high measured per capita.”
 . . . my follow-up reply:
            Well said.  A couple of little related factoids . . .  The SS used Zyklon-B in the extermination camps; Zyklon-B began as an insecticide developed by the German chemical company I.G. Farben.  Another one: the U.S. military used Agent Orange herbicide that was widely used in Vietnam; it was considered safe; we now know it was not.  A large number of veterans exposed to the stuff in theater developed fatal diseases.  One last example: broad scale usage of DDT in the 50’s & 60’s likewise produced un-intended consequences for humans exposed to the stuff.  The collateral damage to good, beneficial insects was catastrophic.  The list could go on.  There are good and historic reasons to be suspicious of the Zika insecticide dispersal.  The government undoubtedly believes the risk of Zika infection is greater than the health risk of the insecticide they are using.
 . . . a follow-up, follow-up comment:
“Thank you Cap for bringing this to light, for all that can see it.  Good information.
“If spraying for Zika was being done in my area, I also would be concerned for pets.  I've always been concerned over many of the chemicals we use all around our homes and yards, and tell people do not even use basic cleaning supplies in your home unless well ventilated and one considers wearing rubber gloves (our skin is our biggest organ, absorbing everything in contact). 
“I have not had time but would like to do some R&D on Zika's origins too.”
 . . . my follow-up, follow-up reply:
           We should all be concerned . . . the smaller the creature the less tolerant of neurotoxin exposure they are.  I’ve never been a proponent of general spraying, quite like carpet-bombing, i.e., indiscriminate collateral damage, unless the intention is to eliminate all living things in an area.

This last contribution for this week:
“Good day my friend from a country I know you love - a country that had a very serious earthquake recently.  Yes, we experienced one in Cyprus and Germany too - they can be very unnerving.  Well, here in Venice the temperature was 34 degs C when we arrived yesterday . . . something of a shock after U/K weather.”
My response:
Peter,
            Well, we learn something new every day.  I did not know England, Cyrus or Germany experienced perceptible earthquakes.
            Enjoy your holiday in Italy.

            My very best wishes to all.  Take care of yourselves and each other.
Cheers,
Cap                        :-)

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