26 February 2007

Update no.272

Update from the Heartland
No.272
19.2.07 – 25.2.07
To all,
A number of contributors had a lot to say this week. A number of topics must be moved to next week. I try to make the Update topics current and relevant. Sometimes, we need to make adjustments.

A New York Times editorial titled “Making Martial Law Easier,” illuminated quiet changes to historic laws that could further alter our democracy. The Insurrection Act of 1807 and the Posse Comitatus Act of 1878 have been blocks of granite in the foundation of this Grand Republic; to alter them or cast them aside without proper public debate is unconscionable even in wartime – far more egregious than Roosevelt’s Executive Order 9066 in 1942. The President may have been well-intentioned regarding potential unrest after major natural disasters like Hurricane Katrina, or our tissue-thin borders, or the rapidly changing events in the War on Islamic Fascism. However, two questions come to mind immediately: 1.) is this administration freakin’ crazy, or 2.) does the administration know something they are not telling us? Either answer is grotesquely unattractive. Further, and perhaps even worse, where the hell was Congress when these provisions were added to the John Warner National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2007 passed last October. A measure of how deeply buried in the massive bill’s minutiae these provisions were, is reflected in how long it took for the Press to bring them to public light. I am not a Federalist and never have been a Federalist, although I am a staunch advocate for a strong national defense posture – both external and internal – especially during wartime. However, the President has gone too far and the Congress turned a blind eye. We are not talking about rights for stateless terrorist captives. The laws they are tinkering with are vital to our constitutional democracy and nearly as important as the Constitution. Fortunately, Senators Patrick Leahy and Christopher Bond have introduced S.513 (untitled), to correct this mistake; the bill has been referred to the Senate Armed Service Committee. As much as I rail against the New York Times from time to time, they got this one right . . . spot on!

Presidential-candidate Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton publicly stated, “Now, it’s time to say the redeployment should start in 90 days, or the Congress will revoke authorization for this war” – namely rescission of the Authorization for Use of Military Force Against Iraq Resolution of 2002 [PL 107-243]. The Press reports that the Democratic majority in Congress intends to formally present a bill for execution of Hillary's proposal. I am reticent to comment on such an outlandish proposal, but hey, why not! Let’s add a constitutional crisis to the schism surrounding the Battle for Iraq. We can all have a party!

Then, we have the senior senator from the great state of New York -- not a presidential candidate -- who is apparently upset at the prospect of the President ignoring a non-binding resolution that the Senate has not even passed. Chuck Schumer declared that if the President ignores the consensus of the Senate, “There will be resolution after resolution, amendment after amendment . . . just like in the days of Vietnam. The pressure will mount, the president will find he has no strategy, he will have to change his strategy and the vast majority of our troops will be taken out of harm's way and come home.” The quotation is attributed to Margaret Talev of the Kansas City Star. I tried to find the actual full text of Schumer’s statement; I could not, which makes me suspicious. If accurate, we have reason to fear what lies ahead.

The Senate confirmed the appointment of Vice Admiral John Michael McConnell, USN (Ret.) as the Director of National Intelligence and successor to John Negroponte. McConnell is a career intelligence officer and former Director of the National Security Agency (NSA) [1992-96]. Along with General Hayden [230] at the CIA, I expect the political tension within the Intelligence Community to subside and cooperation to improve significantly for the benefit of the People. We can only hope.

Interesting news from Iraq this week . . . well, actually, one news item from Iraq, and the other two items from London about Iraq. Nearly 100 years ago – 22.April.1915, to be exact – the German army introduced chemical warfare to the battlefield, when they fired numerous artillery shells loaded with chlorine gas. In three different incidents so far, the bad guys (in this case, I suspect regime remnants, rather than al-Qaeda, but the latter is possible) detonated explosives imbedded with cylinders of compressed chlorine gas to cause death and serious injury beyond the concussion and shrapnel from the bombs -- a serious turn in this war. The other news bits involve the deployment of Prince Harry to Iraq and the withdrawal of 1,600 of 7,100 British troops deployed to the Basra area of Iraq. Prime Minister Tony Blair made the announcement in the House of Commons and presented the redeployment as a measure of success in the transition of the southern region. Of course, everyone is spinning the announcement from victory to defeat. Along with that, the government also announced that Second Lieutenant Prince Henry of Wales (third in line for the British throne) will deploy with his Blues and Royals Regiment to Iraq, leading a platoon of Scimitar tanks.

Comments and contributions from Update no.271:
A contributor sent along an essay:
"Sergeant Major Speaks"
by J.D. Pendry
posted: February 18, 2007
<
http://community.cnhi.com/eve/forums/a/tpc/f/662100401/m/969104617>
My opinion:
For the most part, well done. However, as happens with my own arguments sometimes, when I don't get all the facts correct, it dampens my opinion substantially. A couple of quibbles:
1. Bush 41 started Somalia. Operation RESTORE HOPE began on 9.December.1992 [a month after he lost the election, but he was still POTUS]. Clinton's ineptitude cost the lives of those Rangers, and he deserves to carry that cross forever.
2. Kerry chose to highlight his opinions with the misdeeds of a few rogues. I'm not so sure his facts were wrong. His message, however, was emphatically wrong. Pendry's portrayal is accurate in my opinion, but calling him a liar is not technically accurate.
3. I'm not so easy on Bush 43. While I level most of my ire at the naysayers in Congress [as he does], Bush 43 deserves far more criticism than Pendry metes out. Rummy was a good man . . . just the wrong man at the right time. Bush 43 carries that accountability, not Rummy. And, worst of all, Bush 43 allowed Rummy to get away with war on the cheap. Their mismanagement has cost a lot of lives, and they shall bear that cross forever, as well.

Another contribution that became a lengthy but important thread:
"I heard (General) Odom speak at the Independent Institute. He makes a lot more sense than anybody who supports the war."
My response:
I know we have disagreed on the war. I appreciate Odom’s words and opinions, I just do not agree with his conclusions. That aside, I would like to ask you personally . . . if not Iraq, where? Where should we fight the next battle that will most certainly come? The Islamofascists and jihadistanis are not going to declare victory with our departure, lay down their weapons and explosives, and return to their tents and mud-huts. So, where would you propose we fight the next battle, or in other terms, where should we fight the bad guys?
. . . round 2:
"Thanks for your thoughtful question to my quick comment. I am no expert so I have to rely on other's judgments that I trust. Unfortunately, and I mean that sincerely, they tend to be people politically identifiable, i.e. usually Democratic and sometimes liberal. Some of those people are summarily dismissed by the pro-war side, such as Kuciniche, the Michael Moore's, etc, but Evan Iland, Odom, Korb, Abezaid, Murtha, Kerry are not so easily pushed aside. People with experience and knowledge carry some weight. Congressman Webb and Rep. Chuck Hagel come to mind. McCain, whom I respect because of his POW status and his service in the military, supports the war and I think he is wrong. I think he is politically motivated- brave, because the tide seems to have turned against the war, but like Bush almost stubborn in support of more war. The fundamental question as to if not there, where? carries so many assumptions with it -- one particularly -- that there are identifiable groups of "bad guys" that we can focus our military attention on. I think this is an over-simplification. Al-Qaeda seems to be more or less identifiable, but if you look into the history of what al-Qaeda is you come away scratching your head because we essentially created that group out of whole cloth during the Russian Invasion of Afghanistan. So are they worth rallying all the military might of America? I don't think so. We built them; we can take them down -- without the kind of cost and sacrifice seen in the war on Iraq. Well, then how about the identifiable groups -- the nations that we are lining up against -- Iran, Syria, etc? Ahmedinejad said he'll stop enriching if we will. Well? Why hasn't the administration claimed victory in this pissing contest and thrown a party? After all, we have thousands of war heads in stock and they have none. Because certain people in this admin -- Cheney, Wolfowitz, Perle, the usual suspects want a real war with Iran -- they want a fundamental cultural change -- a dominance in the world clearly spelled out in papers and letters for years. These people, I think, have agendas that are not in the best interest of our country. They may believe intellectually and philosophically that they have the answers and that the only way to deal with the perception they have of the enemy is to confront it and destroy it. We have the power to destroy anybody and anyplace in the world. Yet, these people are not military people -- they are not going to have to do the dirty work, they are not going to lose loved ones in this Armageddon -- for the most part -- (I know there are some who support the war and have relatives there fighting). Unlike yourself, most of the wonks pushing for war with Iran are chicken hawks, and we are easily fooled by them. Just as Texas is fooled by a carpet-bagging Connecticut Yankee frat-boy pseudo cowboy, so are the rest of us fooled by the demagoguery of Fox news, Ann Coulter, Glenn Beck who all preach hatred and prejudice. The CS Monitor today shows a poll that says most of the world does not see the current struggle as a cultural clash of societies -- they see the problems as political and intolerance, not religion and culture. We are the ones who define the problem as a crusade -- Christianity vs. Islam. We show documentaries of Muslims calling for death to America and other emotionally charged clips. I think you would agree that one could easily put together clips of Americans enjoying, or seeming to enjoy killing Muslims. Imagine the Toby Keith song played over a backdrop of children slaughtered by bombs, homes destroyed, burning cities, soldiers shooting wounded combatants -- I think you get the picture. People I know who have been to Muslim countries tell me they were pleasantly surprised by the genuine warmth and welcome they received before the war.
“But I have just repeated stuff you have heard before -- there is a danger that extremists will try to harm us if we redeployed. They may try other events like 9/11 (which I see as a situation in which we may have been complicit). The world is a dangerous place. But, wouldn't you agree that rather than calming the tensions, lessening the dangers, healing the wounds, we have just made things worse? Bush et al say stopping the war amounts to defeat, and then the area will turn over to extremists Islamo-fascists. Stopping the war is a kind of defeat -- but not for American soldiers and taxpayers -- but, for the policy of the Bush administration -- which probably should be held legally accountable. Congress abrogated its Article I, Section 8, constitutional power and Bush illegally invaded a sovereign nation. Since Congress didn't follow the law, why should the President? you might say. That is another issue. You suggest that the jihadists will not declare victory and will continue to come after us. Is that what we are dealing with, jihadists who want to destroy America, as the pro-war argument goes? Or, are we in the middle of a civil war? Are the Taliban fighting Americans, or is that a struggle for national supremacy -- a power struggle in Afghanistan? Do the people killing each other in Iraq want to climb out of their tents after they run us out of Iraq and climb on boats and planes and attack us in Norfolk and San Diego? I really don't think so. As I said, there will be extremists who will attack us, but these are threats that existed before and have only been exacerbated by the war in Iraq. Hopeless situations breed hopeless people -- and hopeless people will kill themselves as a hopeless attempt to change a hopeless situation. That is a given. But what is happening in Iraq is not hopeless in that sense -- it is a power grab -- a struggle in a vacuum we have created -- a struggle to see which political faction can claim control. We need to redeploy -- bring in the governments of the region including Iran, Syria and Jordan, and police the place internationally until order can be restored. Then get out of Iraq and write off our losses financially -- nearly, what 400 billion? We can never forget the brave sacrifice that ordinary men and women have given to this cause. The American Civil War was a wrong cause, but valiant men died fighting for it. It is not the bravery, and commitment to service, and duty that is being criticized -- it is the arrogance and callousness of the chicken-hawks who started the war and are trying to save some face in continuing it.”
. . . my response to Round 2:
There is a key element for folks like me, who some citizens view as being pro-war – you illuminated John McCain as one – and that is, the time for debate is before the trigger is pulled (troops committed to battle); after that milestone is passed, the choice is win or lose. Most warriors will say, if we are going to fight, you fight all out with overwhelming forces and all the available tools. This notion of half-measures began in Vietnam and persists to this day serving only one purpose – getting good Americans killed. So, IMHO, John McCain is not “pro-war.” He knows all too well the lessons of Vietnam, and he’s an all-out guy – it’s that simple.
Some may define the Battle for Iraq as a modern-day crusade. I do not. This fight is NOT about religion or oil or land or hegemony; it is about a group of people who seek to impose their will upon our freedom. The fact that religion is mixed up in this is not particularly surprising. And yet, let the record show, since 1979, I advocated for a strong confrontation with the Islamic Republic of Iran, and I still do. If you have read our book on TWA 800, then you have seen that aspect. However, even George W. Bush and Dick Cheney chose not to confront state-sponsors of terrorism or even al-Qaeda . . . until 9/11. We tolerated and endured attacks on Americans by Iranians, Iraqis, Libyans, Palestinians and al-Qaeda for 22 years before we did anything substantive about it. I was ready for war a long time ago, and I was disappointed by five successive presidents and their administrations for their lack of will-power to defend Americans and the United States of America. So, we can criticize George W. Bush for the many mistakes and failures of his administration, but I say God bless him for finally finding the courage to do what should have been done 22 year ago. With that said, does anyone think we would be at war, if al-Qaeda had not chosen to kill so many innocent people on 11.September.2001? I don’t! Jimmy, Ron, George, Bill and George had plenty of evidence and justification, but they chose not to until 3,000+ peaceful, innocent Americans and other world citizens were murdered.
We have discussed the legality aspect before. I have seen nothing even remotely illegal by Congress or the President. I am still looking for the argument in support of your opinion.
Since I think my instigating question is important, feedback is critical. Thus, as I understand your words, you do not believe that al-Qaeda and the other jihadistanis will return to the United States to inflict injury on our citizens. If so, are you willing to gamble with other innocent lives -- the lives of your neighbors, your family, your fellow citizens? The Islamofascist threat existed for 13 years before they first attacked our homeland; we did essentially nothing – beyond criminal conviction of the perpetrators and certainly not punishing the real instigators. The message to those who would harm us was they could attack us with impunity. Some of us believe the next attack on the homeland came on the evening of 17.July.1996, but that is another story. Regardless, the next bona fide homeland attack, excluding sovereign territory like embassies, came on 9/11. I am not willing to take those risks again. I have no desire to make nice with these poor, disadvantaged, misguided, murderous fanatics. Thus, the only interpretation of your opinion that I can make is, you do not believe the Islamofascists or jihadistanis will attack our homeland and you are willing to risk that possibility. Is this interpretation correct?
. . . and Round 3:
"I think we need to discuss 9/11 a little further before we can get to any common ground about Iraq. The illegality of the war is based on my understanding of the Constitution, in that Congress can only declare war. After they declare war, then the President is the Commander-in-Chief. It was not supposed to be that he can decide to declare war and also be the CIC. This mistake should have been clear after the Gulf of Tonkin resolution. This separation of power is essential to our way of life and government. He took advantage of the powers Congress ill advisedly gave him, (and Congress probably will not do again anytime soon) and misled us into an invasion of a sovereign country that was not a threat to us. Though I feel there are too many unanswered questions about 9/11, one thing is clear -- Iraq had nothing to do with it, and for that matter, neither did Iran. If you wanted war so bad against the "poor, disadvantaged, misguided, murderous fanatics" that is fine. But, you would have to persuade others and define clearly who and where they are. You seem to think they are in Iran. The guys who flew the planes into the buildings, assuming they were not double agents, or dupes, or stooges, or whatever, at least those that have been identified, were mostly Saudi, were they not? There is an extreme group of people who want to do us harm. We know who they are just as we knew who some of the guys were who ended up flying into the world trade centers. We had the tools in place to stop them. We did not need to have our rights abrogated, public funds wasted on new and bigger bureaucracies in order to monitor and stop them. But instead, we are pursuing a Neocon policy of the new American century -- feeding the Military-Industrial Complex and endangering the lives of our volunteer National Guardsmen in Iraq. If things had gone as planned, we would probably be in Iran now. I simply disagree with you on the nature of the threat, what to do about it and the oversimplification of the identity of who they are.
"As for TWA800, I respect your ideas on that and your superb book about it, but I disagree with the premise that that was a terrorist event connected to Iran. I am of the persuasion it was a military mishap of some kind. I use "prowar" too loosely. I mean those who support the war in Iraq. The UN considered it illegal, but I hesitate to mention that because most people who seem to be supporters of the war and right-wing oriented do not seem to respect that institution, but there it is. But regardless of the UN, in international law. it is illegal to attack another country without provocation. To fabricate the justification as the Bush administration did is a serious crime -- and consequently the actions are criminal, hence illegal. We do not have the brave men and women in Congress in enough numbers to impeach Bush and Cheney. Most Americans are conservative and are uncomfortable thinking their leaders are acting illegally. It is one thing to be embarrassed by a leader caught having sex in the White House -- that offends everybody and thus he was forced to testify under oath. To consider that leaders might be culpable for high crimes unrelated to sex, that they should be held accountable and put under oath and made to answer for their actions, inactions, derelictions, omissions, commissions, etc, seems to be beyond most Americans' imaginations. Hence the Politicos, Pelosi et al have sensed this and will not pursue impeachment for something infinitely worse than sex. I just think we are better than what we have been in the world for the last six years. 400 people in Gitmo without even being charged. Torture condoned by the government. Waste of lives and treasure. For what? Do you seriously think we are battling a definable enemy in Iraq? I do not. I think we have created a vacuum that a civil war is going to resolve with a lot of deaths -- unless international peace -- keeping forces can be brought in to stop the violence. I think all those military people who want to go over there should be supported with all the power we have- to help police a horrible situation created by this Admin-and all those who do not want to be over there should be home. This was a war of choice by Bush fueled by jingoism, fear and fabrication.”
. . . my response to Round 3:
I suppose that is one of the essential points . . . no one can predict the future. However, the President of the United States has that awesome responsibility, and he has far more relevant information to make those decisions than we do; thus, the Constitution gives him extraordinary powers to act on behalf of the People.
I do not link the Islamic Republic of Iran directly to the events of 9/11. However, the IRI has been and remains the single biggest contributor to state-sponsored terrorism for the last 20 years; they certainly bear culpability for the environment they helped create. Iraq was not a direct participant in the events of 9/11, but likewise, Saddam's Iraq was an accomplice just as a getaway car driver in a bank robbery. Every citizen has the freedom and choice to grasp or ignore whatever facts they wish, and to see whatever they wish to see. That does not alter the facts. The leaders of Iraq and Iran have chosen to condemn the United States, kill American citizens, as well as encourage and fund those who terrorize peaceful, innocent people. Yes, those that executed the 9/11 attacks were predominately Saudi Wahabists, but that does not diminish the far broader membership of al-Qaeda or the even broader fundamentalist jihadistanis.
The lack of a full and proper declaration of war has been discussed in this forum numerous times. [220-2, 234-8] I don’t need to rehash those arguments. Have you read the full text of Authorization for Use of Military Force Against Iraq Resolution of 2002 [PL 107-243]? If so, what action has the President taken outside the language of this law?
Intelligence analysis is an imprecise art form, and the United States is even more crippled by the lack of a broad, top-rung, HumInt capability. As I noted in last week's Update, Tom Rick's "Fiasco" illuminated the tragic shortcomings of the American Intelligence Community and the failures of the Executive in the run-up to the invasion of Iraq, and is a must-read for anyone concerned about such things. I offered my opinion on the gross inadequacy of our HumInt collection process, and I believe that gap directly contributed to the poor judgments leading to Operation IRAQI FREEDOM. And yet, all of these are happy-for-glad details that do not alter the bona fide threat Saddam's Iraq represented to our prosecution of the War on Islamic Fascism.
We do not agree on TWA 800, but that's life, and there is plenty of room for disagreement on that particular incident.
The detainees do not deserve or warrant criminal charges; they are battlefield captives . . . closer to POW’s, but not even to that status; they are well below criminal status. And, as such, there should be no habeas corpus for them under the law. The administration made a huge mistake opening that door.
The civil war element of the current violence is real, profound and enormously complicating to the situation. However, let us not forget that Zarqawi and al-Qaeda in Iraq perpetrated the Golden Dome Mosque bombing in Samara, a year ago. There was only one purpose – incite the Shia majority; they were successful, and we did not respond properly to such a provocation. The Shia got the message, picked up the axe, and went to work. Voila, we have a nasty mess. We were the targets before that, which is fine; that is what soldiers do; but, after the Samara bombing, all hell broke loose with internecine sectarian violence.
I absolutely do not agree with the premise that this administration created the mess. We did not bomb the mosque in Samara. We did not kill innocent people indiscriminately. We did not instigate the violence. We sacrificed our blood and treasure to depose a sadistic, genocidal, megalomaniacal dictator. We did support free and open elections. We did try to get their infrastructure up and running. We most certainly failed to have proper occupation and transition plans, but that does not make us bad guys. Your words suggest that the United States of America are the bad guys; is that really what you believe and the message you wish to convey?
I do not want another innocent American life lost to these madmen. To do that, soldiers stand in harm’s way; that is what soldiers do; and, some will be injured or killed. Freedom is not free. I can understand and appreciate the political revulsion regarding the current occupant of the Office of the President of the United States of America. That is OK. However, I cannot understand and I do not accept making the United States out to be the bad guys, just because some of us are not political aligned with the President. Whether we like it or not, George W. Bush is the duly elected president of all Americans, not just those who agree with some or all of his actions.

And, another lengthy but worthy thread:
"[This Update] is a discussion meant to stimulate the minds of all who listen, to gather their opinions and ideas and solutions in an attempt to be better citizens of this great country. To be citizens who care enough to speak out, to shout when they feel shouting is called for, to put forth their ideas about what course our country should take. Or be taking. To speak of this social/political/human experiment we have been undertaking for now over 200 years. Speak of it's rights, it's wrongs, its good things, and it's failings. All through an analysis of the various happenings we experience as we go on day to day---in good times, bad times, war and peace times, socially changing times, etc., etc, etc.
"So comments are welcome. Desired. Wanted. But mostly Needed.
"I am not the originator of this discussion. I am not its best or most prolific or most historically significant commentator. I do not have the wisdom of Some who contribute here who know Intimately thru their own education/study/etc the writings of famous people who have gone before us. Writers who had much to tell the generations following them. So they wrote. Though wrote with no way of forcing their ideas upon future generations. Only hoping that some new scholars would take up what they had said and offer it to others in the now time.
"So some have done that. One person I know of is an often contributor to the blog. Anomously of course, as is always the case here. Brilliant, knowledgeable, able to put the facts of the past to blending in with the facts of the present. For we have heard Many great people say that without a knowledge of the past, we here and now are doomed to repeat the failures of the past.
"One might correlate that to the facts of how we handled the Vietnam War in the end, and what we are struggling with now over the war in Iraq.
"I agree about that hotel.
"The Kansas thing on double homicide gets far into the ongoing national debate over the status of a fetus (as yet unborn child). So in that regard one must decide when the fetus becomes a child waiting to be born, or just a fetus---period----with no rights. It is a quagmire I for one do not wish to enter.
"Many will write about, and have already written about how we got into Iraq this last time. And whether or not it was the right decision at the time. Based on the right conclusions made from the right HumInt. Many have spoken about it too. Of those speakers or writers with reasonable credentials, most all have valid points to support their own arguments. Yes we did what we should have done, or No we did not. That is all well and good---BUT the bottom line is that our President took us there as Commander-in-Chief. His job. We elected him to make that kind of decision. He did. So now we have no choice but to support the troops there AND their Generals with whatever they need to win the fight.
"Yes win. Not figure out how to get our butts out of this mess. Win.
"But what does win mean in this case? The Iraq case? Many who do agree that we now have to win think they know. I don't. I just know we have to win. In most all wars -- and Iraq is a part of a larger war -- the best way in the end is to let the Generals fight the war. They have risen by no easy means to the positions they now hold, and know how to prosecute war. Let them do that. Keep the civilian leadership out of it once the decision is made to fight. That decision may have been right or may have been wrong, but only history can judge that. And history is about what was -- not about what is.
"I don't have any answers here. But I just felt a need to say something about this most important subject. Sorry I'm not the Guru in this."
My response:
Anyone is welcome to comment . . . as you said quite nicely -- speak out. A vigorous public debate is essential to a durable democracy. Thus, as you accurately stated, I encourage opposing opinions, some that I do not agree with for one or more reasons, some that I do.
Yeah, the hotel & censorship [angered] me ; they made their choice, I made mine. I also understand your reticence to get into the abortion debate; it is a very volatile topic. No need to comment unless you wish to do so. I will continue to stir the pot.
Sadly, too many Americans are so consumed by blind, political affiliation that they forget the President's awesome responsibility to protect us from harm, and that affiliation tends to blind them to the threats around us.
Equally sad, we seem to have forgotten that the time of the civilian leadership and to a large extent the generals is in the planning and decision phases. Once the trigger is pulled, the landing begins, the attack is initiated, the time of the generals passes to the sergeants. The naysayers may have irreparably poisoned the well – hard to say, just yet.
The definition of winning is simple to me -- a stable, unified, peaceful, free Iraq. The objective is hardly simple or easy, and it may take a generation or more to achieve this objective. And, if the well has been poisoned, the objective may not be achievable, period.
. . . and this follow-up:
“Amen. A stable, peaceful, unified, free Iraq. Ha! Shades of a place I myself visited a few times -- Vietnam.
“I bet THAT stable etc stuff doesn't happen for at least a generation or two! Maybe more. That whole area (Middle East) is really Tribal in Nature -- and THAT is something (taken in it's entirety) that we just flat do not understand. Maybe Cannot.
“In my opinion it was not our duty/obligation/responsibility or even RIGHT to take on the task of making Iraq all the above. And I said so back in 2003 or whenever -- in some things I wrote about going for Saddam by force. I could see then that we could easily beat the Iraqis in battle, and get Saddam sooner or later, but what then? Then Vietnam or Korea whatever. A quagmire that could drain our very life-blood in the end.“However now that is not the debate. We took on that task, rightly or wrongly. In MY opinion, it was/is an un-doable task. But we did take it on.
“Yes, Cap. It passes in a way to the Sgts. But I'd expand that a bit and say it passes to the junior officers and All the enlisted. Guided but not constrained by the Generals. The Generals say this is what we have to do. The more junior Marines then say Aye, Aye, Sir, and begin to figure out how to do it. (Helped by their mid-grade Officers who make a plan). Then the junior guys strap on their gear and go do it. Un-encumbered now by the Generals. Able and even having been told to make whatever revisions to the plan as are necessary by the events which take place as they proceed. Do the mission is the bottom line.
“So -- in the end, it is the more junior Marines mostly whose job it will be to actually do the fighting, bleeding and dying.
“I find it truly amazing to this day that we can find young men and women in our midst who are willing to take all that on. But we do. Just like we've ALWAYS been able to do since back in a small bar/lounge called Tun's Tavern in Philadelphia, PA, in November 1775. I too was one who took up the challenge, now some 50+ years ago. You were too a bit later.
“Pssst: I think it really is the fancy dress uniform and the term "Marine" that does it. Not easy to become eligible to be called "Marine." I believe almost all who thought it would be neat to be a Marine for at least a while (like me even) had no clue what becoming one would entail. Or what remaining one would entail -- for it does not stop after boot camp or OCS. It goes on and on, for as long as you wear that uniform. Every day in every way. It's the Corps!! Semper Fi.
My short reply:
Just a short note since I am trying to get this Update to press . . . When I was a young second lieutenant, fresh out of the Naval Academy, The Basic School, and Ranger School, I lead a platoon of Marines with 3rd Recon in WestPac. When I joined a team on a mission, I always told the team leader, usually a sergeant or corporal, that I was just another rifle (in my case, usually, a shotgun + pistol). They needed to lead their teams as they trained so many times . . . just not the same as a regular infantry platoon. May not have been correct, but it worked for us.


My very best wishes to all. Take care of yourselves and each other.
Cheers,
Cap :-)

20 February 2007

Update no.271

Update from the Heartland
No.271
12.2.07 – 18.2.07
To all,
The surprises of contemporary business travel never cease. No need for the boring details, but one item of experience popped up – a first ever occurrence in any country at any time. I had to spend a short night in Phoenix enroute from Ontario, California, to Tucson, Arizona. The company’s preferred hotel was the Airport Embassy Suites. As most modern hotels do these days, they provide broadband Internet access (in this case, a plug-in wireless port) for a nominal fee (again, in this instance, US$9.95 for 24 hours of access). Some hotels offer no-charge access; others can go as high as nearly $20. The surprise came in the form of a simple dialogue box that essentially stated access denied. That was quite unusual, so I spent a few minutes trying to find the access or parental controls, figuring the block was an automatic setting to prevent children from accessing some of the nasty sites. No joy! When I checked out the following morning, I asked what the block was intended for and whether there was a procedure to remove the block. The answer: the block was just the block. It seems the owner/manager or perhaps the service provider decided their censorship standards are best for everyone. Now, I would not object quite so much if they were providing access at no charge, but they are not. I paid for the access, and no one should be telling me what I can see, hear or visit. I will not be staying at that hotel again.

The Kansas House of Representatives passed Alexa's Law [House Bill no.2006], intended to allow double homicide charges against a perpetrator of a murder of a pregnant woman. At face value, the objective sounds worthy and just; I could support this action. Unfortunately, in today's volatile world of moral projectionist, social conservatives, this law will be extended to deny women their freedom of choice, to impose the State into the most private of affairs. The bill still must pass the Senate and the Governor to become law. The current language of this bill does not protect a citizen’s fundamental right to privacy. I do not trust this legislature or the executive given our experience with bad boy Phill Kline.

Various news sources reported this week that Iraqi Mahdi Army leader Mullah Muqtada al-Sadr fled to Iran. Al-Sadr is a bad man and a hunted man . . . even if not too earnestly. [141, 145, 148, 240] So, al-Sadr fleeing to the protective wings of Tehran . . . what a surprise! I guess he saw the train a-comin' . . . at least that is an attractive supposition. Perhaps, this is allied misinformation for political purposes; contrarian news bits surfaced in the following days. Who knows? Certainly not us. In another positive sign, the Iraqis have closed their borders with Iran and Syria – an action that should have been taken during the invasion phase and only gradually loosened under strict control. Better late than never, as the old adage goes.

Then, we have the U.S. House of Representatives passing its Iraq War Policy resolution [H.Con.Res.63], that states:
(1) Congress and the American people will continue to support and protect the members of the U.S. Armed Forces who are serving or who have served honorably in Iraq; and
(2) Congress disapproves of President George W. Bush's January 10, 2007, decision to deploy more than 20,000 additional U.S. combat troops to Iraq.
The House passed the resolution by a vote of 246-182-7. The bill was delivered to the Senate and joined the handful of Senate resolution seeking to condemn the President’s initiative in the Battle for Iraq. In an unusual Saturday session, the Senate again failed to achieve the votes necessary to invoke cloture (56-34-10). The Senate debate continues.

A week ago, the Washington Post published an article by Lieutenant General William E. Odom, USA (Ret.).
Victory Is Not an Option
The Mission Can't Be Accomplished -- It's Time for a New Strategy
by William E. Odom
Sunday, February 11, 2007; Page B01
I urge everyone, for or against, to read Odom’s words. He makes numerous valid points, but in the main, I do not agree. As that great general of yesteryear said all those two millennia ago, “Alea iacta est.” I think we owe it to David Petraeus his moment, to see if he can pull the rabbit out of the hat. So far, I like the signs.
For me to claim I do not have doubts about our persistence in Iraq would be an untruth. And yet, I do not doubt Iraq being the correct battleground. I also do not doubt the ability of the military to do what must be done. My doubts in the political leadership are substantial. And, as a result, I also have doubts in the will of the People. We have discussed the extraordinary risks given the sectarian rifts in Iraq. As I have said before, I would like to give Petraeus six months to demonstrate progress – well actually, the Iraqis must demonstrate their ability to overcome their differences . . . or at least control them.

In somewhat of a departure from the establish format, I offer the following summary digest of an exchange regarding selective aspects of the Battle for Iraq. Before we begin, I strongly urge everyone to read Tom Ricks’ latest book, “Fiasco” – a must-read for any citizen who wants to understand how we became engaged in Iraq.
1.) Human Intelligence (HumInt) –
[“Fiasco” offers] a compelling indictment of the U.S. Intelligence Community (IC) and especially the government's selective use of that data. Yet, what I see in the indictment is the tragedy of the Church Committee and the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act of 1978. While the American drift toward reliance on technical means began well before Senator Frank Church's chairmanship of the Senate Select Committee to Study Governmental Operations with Respect to Intelligence Activities, the fallout of the Committee's efforts virtually ensured the neglect of HumInt [I use the word 'neglect' intentionally; I'm not entirely sure there was a purposeful drive away from HumInt, but the result is apparent] -- too messy and unclean. When we do not understand what is in the head's of our adversaries, other bits of information fill the void.
The problem for all intelligence analysts is collecting sufficient, accurate, reliable information to connect the dots and produce a clear image of the enemy’s intentions. The more dis- or misinformation, the more good data are necessary to overcome the bad. Perhaps, Chalabi was just a convenient source for wishful thinking. If more reliable, contradictory HumInt had been available, the IC might have been more confident and more willing to debunk the administration’s cherry-picking pseudo-analysis. The paucity of HumInt made the ‘he-said-she-said’ argument much easier. As Ricks so eloquently notes, the IC was cowed by the high-level insistence and unwavering commitment to their story, i.e., they have access to more compartmented information; the Director of Central Intelligence should have carried the message. Good HumInt would have given us a better picture of Iraqi WMD, and thus made the government’s rationale less compelling. Yes, the IC had doubts, but the impression I am left with was those doubts were not strong enough to overcome the leadership inertia.
While I admit to being one of those who bought the administration’s argument, I thought then and continue to hold the opinion that the President and the administration failed to make the most compelling argument to clarify the threat. While Saddam’s Iraq was never to the level of the Iran’s sponsorship of world-wide terrorism, they were consistently in the top five. We could have picked any of them; Saddam was just the easiest target. Saddam had proven time and again to be the most volatile of the terrorist states. We needed a worthy battleground. I remain convinced that we could not have picked a better one to fight a stateless, largely faceless enemy. Unfortunately, due to ineptitude, complacency and political myopia, we allowed the sectarian tender to be ignited. We would have had a different situation if we had been able to keep the focus on the regime remnants, jihadistanis, and al-Qaeda agents. Now, we’ve got those bad men plus good people fighting good people based on a millennium of religious hatred.
2.) Intelligence Analysis
I make no claim to being an intelligence professional, and yet, I spent enough time on the dark side to learn the time-proven processes for analyzing information. Two key factors guide the analysis -- corroboration and veracity. The process broke down, again, largely due to a paucity of corroborated, reliable HumInt. The aspect of this particular sequence I had not seen or considered was the insidious dominance of a willful leadership. History shall not judge them well.
3.) Trigger Pull as Demarcation
As I have stated numerous times, the time for debate is prior to pulling the trigger, and in this case the trigger has been pulled -- right or wrong. Our choices now are win or lose. If we are not prepared to win or incapable of winning as General Odom suggests, then let us protect our troops. If we choose the latter, I am still left with the question, where? Where do we fight the next battle against a stateless enemy?
The argument remains, as a friend stated, we must not “follow a failed policy down the rathole.” The difficulty in any volatile situation is knowing when a strategy has failed. The available evidence suggest that time is near, if not already long past.
The skill of any commander sometimes is best illuminated when he makes the tough decision to withdraw. The situation in Iraq may not be recoverable, but I am still inclined to give Petraeus his moment. If we do not see sufficient improvement by summer, then we should declare our failure, withdraw, rest, re-equip, retrain and prepare our troops for the next fight. However, I continue to look for the next battleground, to answer my “where?” question. These bad men are not going away. The news regarding al-Sadr and the border closings is encouraging but certainly not the cusp.
4.) Pay Me Now or Pay Me Much More Later
I am reminded by a time-proven axiom of aircraft design; the cost of any change increases exponentially during the life cycle of an aircraft, i.e., cost = 1x during preliminary design, 10x during certification, and 100x in service. The principle seems appropriate and applicable to situations with bad men, e.g., 1930's fascism, 1990's fascism. Perhaps the current method has no chance for success; if so, that reality does not alter the problem. The current, wishful-thinking, trickle approach was destined to failure. Who will have the courage to do what must be done?
5.) People
Democracy cannot be imposed, and some folks are not intellectually capable of handling the responsibility & accountability. However, my experience tells me that all people as individual citizens are essentially the same. That said, freedom without the rule of law is usually anarchy.
A knowledgeable friend offered this counter-argument.
“All people are not the same. Our core problem, I think, is that Iraqis don't want what we want. We are essentially a society of individuals. They are a society of clans and tribes. (Indeed, I fear that the individualists in their society are the religious extremists who have broken away from their tribe and clan.) There is a good short story by Kipling about this, and how to use tribal structure against religious fanatics, called "The Head of the District." It deals with many of the problems we face in Iraq -- weak local governance, terrorism, decapitation, and most of all, religious extremism and tribal loyalties.”
It is available at
http://whitewolf.newcastle.edu.au/words/authors/K/KiplingRudyard/prose/LifesHandicap/headofdistrict.html or
http://www.readbookonline.net/readOnLine/2422/
When I suggest all people are the same, I am referring to the most basic aspects. My experience has shown me that all people want to live in peace, to prosper, and to raise their children and allow them to have a better life than they did. People don’t start wars; governments and madmen start wars. Unfortunately, people fight wars. Societies and cultures are created to help people achieve a comfortable, stable state of being. The notion that our way is correct, or the ideal, or the best for all people, is wrong in the extreme. Freedom is a relative term. Some folks, perhaps even most, do NOT want the freedoms we enjoy, and yet oppression and abuse are hardly attractive states for anyone. To me, democracy means the people choose their form of government. If the South Vietnamese had freely chosen communism, I would have been happy with their choice. Likewise, if the Iraqis freely chose a loose confederation of tribal entities, I would be happy with that. I think we can all see that the imposition of a Shia theocracy on what is now Iraq would be a recipe for disaster. And yet, those decisions belong to the Iraqis.
6.) The Battle of Iraq
Lastly, I sought the opinion of a knowledgeable friend regarding several key questions. Do you see the Battle of Iraq as a stand alone episode? The President failed to make the case, but is there a larger context? Am I wrong to call this thing the War on Islamic Fascism?
He answered:
“Yes, I think we are wrong to conflate the war in Iraq with the war against Islamic extremism. First, it makes no sense -- the most powerful figure in the government we have created is Moqtadr al Sadr, a religious extremist who supports Hezbollah -- so which side are we on? Second, Iraq is essentially a sectarian and tribal conflict, not really related to anything bin Laden is peddling. Third, we should obey the law of conservation of enemies -- don't have any more than you need to have at a given point. So don't bundle them up, split them apart. Finally, even if everything I posit here is wrong, the American people still aren't buying the war in Iraq, so the construct isn't working.”
Iraq has certainly descended into sectarian violence that most folks would call civil war, in a form. And, yes, perhaps the American People have lost their will to win; if you are correct, then I do not want another soldier or Marine placed in harm’s way in this endeavor. The possibility that we are the catalyst is palpable. That said, I still believe our intentions were noble . . . our execution abysmal.
A worthy political solution is not possible without security and safety on the ground. Thus, if we are unwilling or unable to provide that security, then we are abandoning our contribution to a political solution. And, if so, then Iraq will either irreparably fracture or a Saddam-like strongman will eventually rise up to impose his will on all Iraqis. Neither prospect is attractive.

Comments and contributions from Update no.270:
A thread with a contributor surrounded Tom Ricks’ book “Fiasco” offered some relevant thoughts:
“I have Tom Ricks' book and have read parts of it (chapter 14 was recommended to me, where Ricks is very complimentary of LtGen Mattis). It's on my list of books to finish.
“I like Tom Ricks and respect his judgment and journalistic skills. It's still hard to read a book about people you know that's called “Fiasco.” I know LtGen Greg Neubold and Gen Tony Zinni very well. Neubold was the MEU commander when we landed in Mogadishu Dec 9, 1992, and Zinni became our J-3 when the JTF took over. I think highly of both of them. Neubold’s resignation was a courageous act, but it didn’t accomplish anything. So much for those who wonder why the generals don’t throw their stars on the table more often. If you do, there’s a new guy in your chair before the seat gets cold and nothing changes.
“The battle plan and its execution in Iraq were both brilliant, but what to do next hadn't been thought out. There was a lot of misplaced optimism about what would have after Saddam and his forces were defeated. I heard someone say on the radio yesterday it was like after Iwo Jima and Okinawa, we landed 140,000 men near Tokyo, seized the city, created a Green Zone and then tried to set up a democracy in Japan.
“Even after Japan had suffered a crushing defeat, it took years to establish a democracy there with a compliant population and cooperative Emperor. Why did people think it was going to be so easy in Iraq? MacArthur called upon experts in Japanese culture to help him develop his plan. Where were the experts on Iraq? Surely the Joint Staff knew that getting the Kurd, Sunni and Shia factions to work together wouldn't be easy and now it's hard to see it even being feasible in the short term.
“All I know is:
(1) Leaving precipitously would be a disaster of major proportion; and
(2) No matter what our stalwart legislators have been saying, a resolution condemning the President's surge policy discourages our troops and emboldens our enemies. If Nancy Pelosi wants us to surrender, let her draft the surrender document and deliver it to.....? Then what happens? Everyone will be happy, right?”
My reply:
I know what you mean about Tom’s book title. I’m nearly halfway through his tome. I think you will be surprised. He treats Neubold & Zinni with considerable respect. He is not so kind to Peter Pace . . . at least so far. He hammers Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz, Feith and Tommy Franks. While we know most of the facts and events, it is Tom’s access and insight into the contributors behind the facts that is so illuminating. I’ve always had a hot & cold opinion of Rummy, but he was just another McNamara with the same devastating consequences. From the clarity of hindsight, I wish the President had fired his ass three years earlier.
Tom goes into more of the political detail behind the failure of the occupation plan. “Misplaced optimism” is perhaps an understatement, especially with regard to the assumptions underlying the occupation plan. I always wondered about the Gardner-Bremer episode; Tom’s representation is quite incisive.
I’m with you on the myopic view of the American People, so often colored by the left-leaning portion of the Press. Such a large portion of the public seeks instant results and seems unwilling to keep their eye on the horizon. That is one of the reasons I try to keep the flame at a low boil. We simply must look beyond the failures and difficulties; we must take the long view. I think we have known this was going to be a long endeavor, perhaps even generational, but we must not loose sight of the objective or our will to prevail.
We are in absolute, 100% agreement on the fiasco playing out in Congress. The reminders of 40 years ago are all too evident. I just hope the People are strong enough to bypass our spineless legislators. We shall see. So far, the signs are not good, and we have begun the punishment we shall endure for at least the next two years.

Another contribution:
“I'm to the point where I'm starting to tune out the global warming debate. One big reason is the mainstream media seems to not want to acknowledge anyone who has an opposing view to this issue. Despite the fact scores of scientists disagree with the main ‘principles’ of global warming, the mainstream media treats is as an absolute fact. It is unfortunately to the point where people who oppose the science behind global warming are labeled as uncaring human beings. Plus, I seem to remember that during the 1970s scientists were panicking that the Earth was headed toward another ice age. Then a decade later we're heating up? Huh? Also, the planet has gone through heating and cooling trends in its history, long before the automobile was invented.
“What's happening in Congress I find disgusting. Too many of these representatives are ready to do a Spain and quit the fight. Problem is, if we quit, the terrorists won't. Then what happens? Times like this I think of Winston Churchill in the 1930s trying to warn an ostrich world about the threat posed by Hitler. No one listened, and the result was a war that cost the lives of 50-60 million people.
“BTW, enough of the Anna Nicole Smith coverage! Please, news media, I'm begging you!”
My response:
Your reflection on Churchill’s ostracism in the 1930’s is quite appropriate. I am convinced that the majority of the American People do not perceive the Islamofascists as a serious threat to the United States. I suppose they see these madmen as misguided, impressionable youth confined to a regional area. One of the worst and most destructive mistakes in wartime is to underestimate your enemy. The same consequences the 1930’s world faced lay ahead. Will we be wise enough to heed the warning signs?
I’m afraid we are destined to hear more gory details of the sad life of a woman who was famous for being famous. Oh well, the world continues to turn.

Another contribution:
“My son [a serving Marine] called and asked about it. He sounded concerned about not having what he needs to fight and survive. He's headed "over the pond" by fall most likely. I explained carefully what ‘nonbinding’ means. So, the morale drain begins again...”
My reply:
It is sad that our children’s generation must endure a similar offense as our generation did 40 years ago. I hope [xxxxxx] and his brothers in arms will be able to focus on the task at hand. May God protect them and bless them.
. . . with this follow-up:
“I suspect our troops in harms way will stay focused for now, given we don't treat them like pond scum as we were back then. But, time will take its toll without the will to do what it takes to get the job done.”
. . . and my follow-up:
Yes, indeedie; we do know about being treated like pond scum. And, to think, there are journalists, talking-heads, and pundits speculating that Vietnam vets being spit on or having blood and other fluids thrown on us was a figment of our imaginations. Hopefully, today's soldiers don't experience that abuse. Yes, time and the continued shenanigans of Congress will certainly take its toll on our warriors.

A contributor sent this article:
The Ethical Warrior
by Jack Hoban
Posted: 02/08/2007
My opinion:
In the main, Hoban appears to be advocating the warrior's version of compassionate conservatism. What I fear in such hypotheses is American warriors stepping back from the practice of efficient killing. Whether we like it or not, war is killing. Our object is to kill many more of them than they can injure us. The more the equation is forced to balance or parity, the less successful we shall be in protecting this Grand Republic. While I am not advocating indiscriminate taking of innocent lives, our adversaries hold no compunction to using a child to kill us. So, any threatening actions deserve violent action. And, the sad reality of war has been, is, and shall remain collateral damage is inevitable. The cost of war.
Another contribution in this thread from a new contributor:
“I sure as hell agree with you. From the government's position, before one American fighting man's life is at risk, all the gloves should be taken off. I'm still so pissed at what we endured in Viet Nam by the ‘restrictions’ that I flare up whenever someone talks about how ‘brutal’ we are. I broke a lot of the limitations placed on us carrier pilots over there and feel real good about doing so. I didn't go crazy. I just became upset when somebody fired on us from a Johnson- imposed no retaliation area.”
. . . my follow-up:
Most of us who lived those years hold the same opinions. The President was slow to overcome Rummy’s “McNamara-esque” mismanagement of the war, but at least he is trying. Congress on the other hand appears destined to repeat the horrendous mistakes of 40 years ago. Just as we survived the Vietnam debacle, we shall overcome this travesty as well. The principal difference and problem: today’s enemy has no compunction whatsoever projecting their violence well beyond their region. Withdrawing from Iraq seems comparable to withdrawing from France after we got a bloody nose in 1944.

My very best wishes to all. Take care of yourselves and each other.
Cheers,
Cap :-)

12 February 2007

Update no.270

Update from the Heartland
No.270
5.2.07 – 11.2.07
To all,
The political maneuvering in the Senate to publicly disagree with the President regarding a battle in the larger war continues unabated. This week, the floor vote to invoke cloture (end debate) on “A bill to express the sense of Congress on Iraq” [S.470] failed by a vote of 49-47. Joe Biden’s S.Con.Res.2 [267] remains open with no further official action indicated, as yet, and John Warner’s S.Con.Res.4 [268] has been referred to the Foreign Relations Committee for consideration. John McCain’s proposal [S.Res.70] takes a demonstrably different tone from the Biden & Warner proposals. Beyond all the whereas-es, the text of the McCain resolution is simply:Resolved, That it is the sense of the Senate that--
(1) Congress should ensure that General David Petraeus, the Commander of Multinational Forces-Iraq, and all United States personnel under his command, have the resources they consider necessary to carry out their mission on behalf of the United States in Iraq; and
(2) the Government of Iraq must make visible, concrete progress toward meeting the political, economic, and military benchmarks enumerated in the preamble to this Resolution.
Sounds reasonable to me, if they really must make a public statement. The McCain proposal has been referred to the Foreign Relations Committee as well. What all this means is, the Senate continues to probe for a path to publicly rebuke and criticize the President. Fortunately, I do not think the President is waiting on the Senate. Someone has to fight the War on Islamic Fascism while the Senate plays its corrosive games. Frankly, if the Senate debated this issue for the next two years, no outcome would be better than continuing to widen the chasm.

The topic of climatology continues to grow, and sprout new branches and leaves. We have the former vice president of the United States Al Gore's global warming movie, "An Inconvenient Truth;" and, rumor has it that Al has been nominated for a Nobel Prize for his clarion work alerting the public to the looming menace. Especially on this topic, I must remind and recommend the third book and second novel of my TWA 800 co-author Kevin E. Ready -- Gaia Weeps -- an exceptional novel of what might happen. A contributor sent along a good counter-argument essay.
"Global Warming: The Cold, Hard Facts?"
by Timothy Ball,
posted: 5.February.2007
<
http://www.canadafreepress.com/2007/global-warming020507.htm>
Since this topic first sprouted, I have had mixed opinions for a host of reasons. I have never liked and often condemned industrial pollution of all kinds including spewing soot, nitrous oxide, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, and all the other contaminants of partial combustion for the sake of megawatts. I have fretted over our consumption against a finite limit of fossil fuels and other resources. I laud Brazil’s near total divorce from automotive demand for gasoline (petrol) and institutionalization of ethanol fuel production. However, I must admit to being closer to Michael Crichton’s portrayal of environmental extremism associated with the global warming debate, in his novel, State of Fear. To take a 100-year snapshot of billions of years to climate change seems to be the ultimate folly. To illuminate the contracting ice sheet in the Artic and Greenland, and ignore the expanding ice sheet in Antarctica, appears to be selective data mining for political purposes. I remain skeptical of Al Gore’s apocalyptic rendition, and yet, I am an advocate of alternative fuels, cleaner industry, and minding our precious environment. I often wonder if our obsession with the notion of human presence and/or human activity affecting global weather is the ultimate in egocentric, self-inflated, delusional imagery. Do we really think we are that important?

Marriages, civil unions, or celestial bondings for that matter, are created and can exist for many reasons, not necessarily for civil or religiously sanctioned sex . . . or procreation . . . or family . . . or anything else other than what two (or more I might add) people wish it to be. I would like to claim precognitive awareness of inevitability, but alas I have no such skill. After the Washington State Supreme Court's ruling in Heather Andersen v. King County [WA Su Ct No. 75934-1] [242] last summer, Gregory Gadow filed a petition, creating ballot Initiative 957, to challenge the Court's contention that marriage was for procreation and family. The Initiative, if passed by voters, would require all marriages to produce a child within three years or be dissolved -- interesting hypothesis. The tragic fallacy of logic in the current DOMA debate . . . the heterosexual majority feels it's perfectly acceptable to dictate how anyone not like them should live their lives and what they must base their relationships on, and yet, they are quite averse to intervening with neglectful, abusive, inadequate, complacent or even distracted heterosexual parents. Clearly, the majority cares only about validating their image of marriage and could care less about healthy long-term stable relationships and raising healthy, stable, productive children. Moral projection or moral validation through the lives of others remains a destructive force, not quite as destructive as jealousy but close.

Episcopal Bishop Katharine Jefferts Schori [237] heads to the global Anglican Communion in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, this week. The Anglican primates of 38 "provinces" will meet to discuss issues facing the church. Unfortunately, several of Schori's colleagues have publicly stated their intention to boycott any of the activities in which she participates. Why, you may ask? Well,
1.) because she is a woman, and
2.) she declared that homosexuality was not a sin. [174, 205, 263]
We shall watch the conduct of this conference. Regardless, basing ostracism on such shallow factors that disregard performance, character and commitment seems quite beneath learned men.

I try to avoid commenting on criminal cases, but some come along that are relevant to current affairs like the two advert’ yayhoos last week [269], or that are too bizarre to pass up. Such is the case this week. Tuesday, I awoke to breaking news surrounding the arrest of Astronaut Captain Lisa Marie Nowak, USN, 43 [USNA 1985, NFO, married (reported as separated), mother of three children, Navy test pilot school graduate, mission specialist on one Shuttle mission], allegedly for assaulting Captain Colleen Marie Shipman, USAFR, 30, apparently regarding their love triangle with Astronaut Commander William Anthony Oefelein, USN, 41 [naval aviator, Navy test pilot school graduate, divorced father of two children, pilot on one Shuttle mission]. Whatever the facts are, NASA has been and probably will continue to be quite averse to bad press of any kind – the Nowak-Oefelein-Shipman case certainly qualifies as bad press. Thus, life as Nowak knew it ceased that morning – a truly sad and miserable case. Further, Oefelein (while probably not entirely without social culpability in this case) will probably never fly another shuttle mission either – his involvement, passive or otherwise, will simply bring too much of the wrong publicity. Nowak is now charged with 1st degree attempted murder, among other related charges. Being the voyeuristic, prurient culture we are, I suspect more of the sordid details will play out as the judicial system and press carry out their duties. For me, the bottom line is . . . yet one more example of the horrendous destructive power of jealousy. When will we ever learn?

A New York Times’ editorial reported that Senator Chuck Schumer has opened Judiciary Committee hearings into the departure, dismissal and/or termination of numerous U.S. attorneys. [268] Hopefully, we will know more about these peculiar departures in the near future. Further, I truly hope these are coincidental occurrences and not part of some vindictive action by the administration; we do not need the complications of the latter scenario. Unfortunately, the public signs are not good.

Comments and contributions from Update no.269:
"It seems to me that as you go on with your updates, they get more and more complicated to wade thru. Maybe it's just me getting older. I like to read them, and sometimes think I would or should have something to say on this or that, but the enormity of the whole thing intimidates me and I decline to say what I wanted to."
My reply:
Making the Updates more complicated is not my intent. In fact, to do so would be counter-productive to my purpose. Perhaps, it was just this week. Perhaps, I am not using the correct words. Nonetheless, please do not be intimidated. The contributions are anonymous so every reader can feel free to say what is on their minds.

Another contribution:
"Just to note the incident in Boston was not so quite cut and dried. This was a publicity stunt for a movie--that had been run in about 20 other cities=- with no problem. It had been in Boston for over two weeks before someone noticed it and totally overreacted. While it was a sophomoric stunt - it was not criminal--no intent and so the authorities have decided. No charges. Turner will pay costs, but that is more for PR."
My response:
As is sometimes the case, I write before all the facts are available. I believe you have reflected the evolving facts. Perhaps the law cannot punish such a "sophomoric stunt." It is one thing to place an electronic device like the one they used on a tree, it is something all together different to place that device on a bridge girder on a main thoroughfare. If I was a good, conscientious terrorist, I would probe my targets in clever, little, innocent ways to establish what works and what doesn't. Those yahoos may have been exceptional actors or just social fringe simpletons easily duped. Who knows? Placing an unknown electronic device on a major highway bridge in today’s world is akin to shouting “fire” in a crowded theater – perhaps a prank, but an action that could cause injury. I doubt the prankster intended to injure, but that doesn’t matter. I do not think the police overreacted. The first time someone puts an explosive in one of the silly light board devices, the public will be seeking to hang the police for not reacting fast enough or aggressive enough. No, I do not accept the innocence of these two yayhoos, even if the district attorney chooses not to prosecute. We are at war!

Another contribution:
"[I think so much of the global warming issue is] junk science and yellow journalism that are perpetuating the myth that 1) it is a certainty, that 2) we should prepare for imminent disaster, and that 3) it is primarily human-caused. I'm not sure of the motivations for trying to cram this down people's throats other than there must be big money or significant notoriety in supporting this fatalistic conclusion.
"Also, [I see] appalling censorship and control of free speech that seem to be prevalent on college campuses and are perpetuated by the so-called teachers of our youth. The thought and speech police are functioning in full force at our universities. 'University' today is far from being a symbol of free thinking and free exchange of ideas from all sides.
"I am confused by the whole 'outing of Valerie Plame' prosecution that is going on. It is hard to sort out what the truth is with this whole incident. I have read that Plame's position within the CIA did not even put her into the category to be 'outed,' but yet charges to this effect continue to be pursued. To me this whole thing is nothing more than making a mountain out of a grain of sand for purely political reasons. It has taken on a life of its own to the point that it no longer needs a valid foundation...it keeps being pursued because the pursuers just do not want to let it go. Another good use of tax dollars.
"Why does someone like John Kerry, a high-level representative of this nation's government, a former candidate for President of the United States, a former member of the US military, and a professed patriot badmouth this country on foreign soil? This country may have its faults, and a person's opinion about them can be shouted from the highest mountaintop in this country...but to represent this country to other nations while denigrating this nation on foreign soil is highly unpatriotic (if not treasonous when speaking to enemies) in my humble opinion.
"Watching some talk shows recently has illustrated the epidemic levels to which PC has risen in this country. Joe Biden sure kicked off a firestorm of rhetoric with his personal description of Barack Obama...Joe had better choose his words more carefully in the future. But of particular absurdity is the condemnation of Bush by representatives of African-Americans for having the audacity to re-use the word "articulate" to describe Obama. Great offense was taken at 'singling out' Obama out as being an articulate black man as it reflects badly on rest of black men by implying that, in general, they are not articulate. The argument was...he (Obama) went to college, he is educated, of course he is "articulate". Somehow this has been twisted into an insult!...go figure! I always thought that being labeled as articulate was a compliment...it is both an enviable skill and an admirable talent to be able to communicate effectively (George Bush is not articulate...oops, not very PC of me). Believe me, I know many people who are college-educated, and "educated" is not synonymous with 'articulate.' Global warming must be causing everyone's skin to be getting very thin!"
My reply:
Universities sprouted political correctness, and now they are fanning the consumptive flames eating away freedom of speech. The real obscenity, though, is the blatant tolerance of the left’s freedom of speech, e.g., the Ward Churchill offense, while they condemn, ostracize and admonish the right’s freedom of speech. The hypocrisy is profound, glaring, and otherwise off-the-page. Political correctness has gone way too far, and I find considerable comfort being at a stage of my life where I don't much care.
The “Scooter” Libby trial is not about the “outing of Valerie Plame.” Libby is on trial for perjury – lying to the grand jury – the usual crime that trips up powerful people. He is not on trial for a violation of the Intelligence Identities Protection Act of 1982. If he had claimed executive privilege instead of responding with a falsehood, there would be no perjury, and there would be no trial, since the whole Wilson-Plame fiasco began as a political act, and probably would have passed away as such, if Libby had not told an untruth.
I do not think John Kerry intends to hurt the United States or our troops in the field. Like most politicians and especially those not in the White House, Kerry is motivated by one primary factor -- political advancement. Kerry along with a good many Democrats are against anything the President is trying to do. I don't think he is opposed to killing terrorists, however, since the President decided to fight the battle in Iraq, he has been against the President and the Battle of Iraq, because he must for political advancement. When was the last time you heard a Democrat praise the President for his bold and aggressive actions against those who seek to kill us? Kerry must disagree with the President on everything, to help Democrats regain the White House. Performances like Kerry's speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, are sad demonstrations that today's politicians largely place personal ambition before political party, and before country. I would love to have a debate with John Kerry, or any other Democrat or naysayer, regarding this observation. Not likely, but a nice idea.

My very best wishes to all. Take care of yourselves and each other.
Cheers,
Cap :-)

05 February 2007

Update no.269

Update from the Heartland
No.269
29.1.07 – 4.2.07
To all,
Friends, contributors and subscribers sent a number of essays and articles on or related to the Battle for Iraq and/or the War of Islamic Fascism. All are available on-line; if anyone has difficulty finding them, please let me know; I would be honored to provide them.
"Historical Review of Iraq Situation"
by Raymond S. Kraft,
posted: 25.March.2006
A comparative essay between Nazi Germany and Iraq. While I quibble with a few details, the message remains fairly accurate from my perspective. The case is made for taking the long view and overcoming our obstacles.
"Hating Horatio"
by Jack Wheeler
dated 24.January.2007
I was not familiar with the story of Horatius. A good story. Reminds me of the Battle of Thermopylae – 300 Spartans stood alone against tens of thousands of Persians. A story of courage and dedication in the face of adversity. An important lesson for today.
"The Fight in Najaf"
by Charles Krauthammer
published: Friday, 2.February.2007
A version of the four facets of the current conflagration in Iraq. He does a good job of presenting the situation. I like the last two paragraphs of his article.
"We have made a lot of mistakes in Iraq. But when Arabs kill Arabs and Shiites kill Shiites and Sunnis kill all in a spasm of violence that is blind and furious and has roots in hatreds born long before America was even a republic, to place the blame on the one player, the one country, the one military that has done more than any other to try to separate the combatants and bring conciliation is simply perverse.
"It infantilizes Arabs. It demonizes Americans. It willfully overlooks the plainest of facts: Iraq is their country. We midwifed their freedom. They chose civil war."

The test of Prime Minister Nouri Kamel al-Maliki has a finite time. [266] The world is watching to see if he can pass this crucial test. May God bless our soldiers and Marines as they will be asked to continue to bleed to help al-Maliki pass his test. We can only pray for the safety of our troops and the worthiness of the Iraqi prime minister.

The cacophony of naysayers is deafening. The implication of such dominant noise is that guys like me are a meaningless and miniscule minority. With all this baying going on around us, I continually return to THE one essential question – if not Iraq, then where should we fight the inevitable battle with Islamic Fascism? Where! Being anti-war is like being pro-life, all sane people are for those political states. I have listened attentively to Joe Biden, Chuck Hagel, Hillary Clinton, and even Charles Rangel. (I will not profess the same respect for John Murtha.) Every single one of them stands against the President, virtually no matter what he says or does. It is easy to criticize a president, any president: our current flavor has made himself an extraordinarily easy target. Heck, I have and continue to criticize the President myself, but there is one fundamental difference between my criticism and those of the naysayers. I want him to succeed, and I try to offer a solution! The naysayers tell us incessantly that it is time to abandon Iraq, force the fledgling Iraqi government to stand on its own, to make the necessary political compromises, and to defend itself; we are tired to spilling American blood for Iraqi freedom. What keeps nagging my cognitive processes is . . . OK, fine . . . withdraw . . . to where? Where do the naysayers propose we fight the next battle or even the war itself? Where?
The current situation is analogous to the Senate holding public hearings and passing resolutions objecting to Roosevelt’s collusion with Churchill to focus on Europe first and then Japan, or FDR’s insistence on Northern France instead of Churchill’s proposal to drive north from Italy to cut off the Soviets' advance into Germany. And now, we have senators from both major parties publicly chiding the President against aggressive moves toward Iran. Excuse me! My urge to use a string of profane epithets is barely under control. Certainly, we should not threaten anyone unless we are fully prepared to execute the threats (like upholstering a pistol), and we are hardly even close to being mobilized to the level necessary to take on the IRI regime. However, we should be leaving the mad mullahs of the Islamic Republic of Iran with a strong implication that our hair trigger has pressure on it. My objections to the President’s mismanagement of the winning-the-peace phase of the Battle of Iraq pales to invisibility when compared to my anger with what is happening in Congress. Weakening the President may serve the Democratic Party’s political agenda and objectives, but it is an absolute bloody godsend to our enemies. We are at war!!

As if the congressional machinations are not sufficiently disturbing, the citizens of Boston endured the convulsions of a multiple bomb scare at the hands of two bone-head men who failed to mature passed adolescence. The ill-conceived and criminally executed cartoon advertising campaign of the Turner Broadcasting System’s Cartoon Network deserves harsh punishment under the law. The two fringe yayhoos involved decided to bask in their moment of light talking about hair. We also learned that our British cousins foiled another terrorist attack; this time involving at least eight young Muslims in Birmingham, who were in the finally stages of their plan to kidnap a specific British Army soldier, behead him on video, and distribute the video on the Internet, presumably as a warning to other Muslims not to serve in the British Army. I trust the British will mete out appropriate punishment. Then, we have a simple traffic stop in Kansas City that raises my hackles. A large, apparently pregnant, black woman was pulled over for reasons that are not yet entirely clear. She was asked to exit her automobile and get down on the ground. So the story goes, she miscarried the next day. Of course, the Press and the liberals are up in arms over the suggested abuse of this woman. I bring this incident up as a promising method for our terrorist enemies . . . put your bombs under the jacket of a black woman, who claims to be pregnant, and voila – no one should confront her no matter what or how many illegal actions she may do.

John Stossel offered an articulate, cogent assessment of the Federal government's so-called war on drugs in his essay "Big, Big Government," published on Wednesday, 31.January.2007. Unfortunately, those who use drugs are not collectively active or influential politically. For those who find no affinity to psychotropic substances, the argument against the war on drugs hardly inspires enthusiasm for political action. Stossel used the coordinated raids on 11 medical-marijuana centers in Los Angeles County by Federal drug agents two weeks ago, to illuminate the travesty of the Comprehensive Drug Abuse Prevention and Control Act of 1970 that has mutated cancerously into the biggest violation of the Founding principles and the Constitution itself, in the history of this Grand Republic. To appreciate Stossel's argument and the essence of my opinion, I urge everyone to read specifically Associate Justice O'Connor's dissenting opinion in Gonzales v. Raich [545 U.S. 1 (2005)] [183]. One sentence from her opinion reflects the most succinct authoritative reason why the Controlled Substances Act is wrong. O'Connor wrote,
"Congress cannot use its authority under the [Commerce] Clause to contravene the principle of state sovereignty embodied in the Tenth Amendment."
One day, we shall see the light and correct this obscene abuse. We shall overcome.

Comments and contributions from Update no.268:
"President Bush gave an eloquent speech in content. His delivery is always a problem. His lack of oratory expertise will dog him forever. People miss his message because his lack of oratory expertise. Unfortunate, because we are doomed to repeat the mess of 35 years ago at home.
"Let me be succinct about Hanoi Jane. A few years ago I was part of a private reception prior to an event in which HJ was present with her former husband. As I entered the small room she came over to me and said hello. The Marine in me was unable to say hello back even though it was rude. I just looked at her and walked away wishing she had faced the maximum punishment as a traitor to the USA. I remain in the same condition today.
"It is our generation that is flawed today. We are either unwilling or incompetent to do what is right. And, have the debate private is the right thing to do without the public grandstanding for personal gain. What fools we are to put ourselves in the world's eye as incompetent morons in our own house.
"War is preferable to cowardice and neglect."

Another contribution:
"I remembered only vaguely the story of Horatio. [See "Hating Horatio" by Jack Wheeler, dated 24.January.2007] Even, in a way reminded me of another story, maybe legend, maybe true, of the boy who stuck his finger in the dike to stop the leak, and thus saved Holland. One could even think of Churchill in the years just before WW2.
"While I personally would not characterize GW's speech the other night as eloquent, it was, for him, one of his better ones. And he did make his point, did stand his ground. I know too that he did it for all of us. It's his job, yes, to defend us, even when we hesitate to be defended. We hired him to make tough decisions. He's certainly made a number over his tenure. I have not agreed with all -- maybe even a lot -- at least the decision as it was put forth by him. The idea may have been right, but to me the method to be employed was not.
"Just before GW made his final decision to invade Iraq, to get Saddam and get all the WMD's, I wrote a piece which I posted [xxxxx] stating that I believed that if we went into Iraq we could easily defeat the armies, and get Saddam or kill him. But, after that we would find ourselves in a growing quagmire and maybe be there for years. I voted, in my mind, no -- don't go. There are other ways."

Another contribution:
Re: TWA 800.
"I witnessed a wing explosion, on the ground, I might add. An empty wing tank was having a fuel contents problem diagnosed. 24volt leads (connections) to the unit were live and came into contact in the vapour filled tank. The result was very embarrassing minor explosion and one bulged and very leaky centre wing section with a blackened PRC coating. The aircraft flew again but we never quite cured the leaks on that one. The embarrassment was I was in charge of the line and at that moment was in fact giving evidence to a board of enquiry on an earlier incident when the explosion happened. The senior officer I/C the board was not a happy bunny and suggested that I leave immediately to investigate. Which of course I was pleased to do! The odd thing was nobody ever took the rap for that. When the aircraft was successfully transferred to another squadron, as a going concern, they kept asking us why she leaked so badly from the port inner wing! We never knew, of course.
"But.... another matter on a 747 on a warm summer's night."
My reply:
What type of aircraft was it?
The aviation industry has known for many decades that fuel cells contain flammable fuel-air mixtures, especially partially filled tanks. Add significant heat as was the case with the TWA 800 (ambient temperature in the 90’s F. [30’s C.] and the air conditioner packs were directly below the CWT), the volatility of the residual fuel-air mixture increases substantially, and yet remains well below the spontaneous ignition point. Aircraft design, also for decades, recognizes the facts and routed all systems around fuel tanks. When a penetration was required especially with electrical cabling, sealed conduits were utilized so that if arcing occurred between wires, the energy was contained in the conduit. As such, I am not quite sure how live electrical leads could come in contact with the fuel vapor? Fueling operations used to be more dangerous because of static discharge, but grounding and closed-circuit refueling procedures eliminated that risk. I’ll bet the evidence regarding the ignition source in your example was probably quite clear and perhaps unequivocal. And again, there is no debate regarding the explosion of the nearly empty CWT on TWA 800. However, the usual evidence of tankage explosions was not found with the TWA 800 incident. Also, ignition can come from sources other than electrical arcing, e.g., high energy penetrations vaporize metal providing sufficient energy for ignition.
. . . with the follow-up:
"The aircraft was an English Electric Lightning Mk 6 single seater. This aircraft had a bad reputation, in the early days for catching fire. As you will know if you look at your recognition manual this was described as an all 'aluminium' hot pursuit ship by all who knew her. Several had been lost to reheat (afterburner) fires which regrettably burnt through the flying controls and associated wiring in a few seconds and resulted in pilots banging out with Martin Baker. This was eventually cured when a programme of x-ray {ing} all the fuel couplings after reassembly during servicing. The man hours/flying hour were prodigious but we were all proud to have served this beast. 1500 mph in level flight 1950s technology. An amazing ride too, it could climb on its jet pipes and drink JP4 or what ever you had to put in it like a thirsty camel. We had one without external fuel fly off on air test climbed to FL400 over the airfield turned and called finals 3 greens. We had one mad pilot who did a mock approach with everything down on one of your Mediterranean carriers. He said there was standing room only on the deck as he approached and went round again! I should like to have seen a picture taken that day."

My very best wishes to all. Take care of yourselves and each other.
Cheers,
Cap :-)