21 September 2015

Update no.718

Update from the Heartland
No.718
14.9.15 – 20.9.15
To all,

            The second round of filtration for the Republican Party presidential candidates offered some interesting subtle and not-so-subtle reflections.  I watched every minute of both sessions.  One of 16 candidates dropped out before the ‘debate.’  Another chose to whine about how long this session of the ‘debate’ was . . . with 15 candidates  . . . all vying for attention.  I suspect the filtration process will pick up pace soon.  However, we will also bear witness to the power of money in this process . . . not a good feature, I must say.  “. . . there’s plenty of material there” . . . really?  He is a candidate for the Republican Party nomination for President of the United States of America . . . really?  What has our future come to . . . a reality show debacle?  What’s worse, the best he can do is insult his opponents . . . so bloody mature, I must say.  I sure hope the Republican Party sorts itself out quickly and settles down to more serious presentation.

            Seventy years ago, the post-war Allied administration imposed a constitution on Japan intent upon democratic principles and prohibiting any military development or action beyond self-defense.  On Saturday, Japan's parliament gave final approval to legislation expanding the potential for the country's military to conduct external operations.  The new law enables military action in foreign conflicts and situations where Japan’s defense is not directly threatened.  As expected, the Kim regime in Pyongyang, DPRK, protested vehemently and made their usual threats.  I suspect this change in military and foreign policy was persistently urged by the United States, so that Japan can pick up more of the military counter-operations to PRC hegemony and DPRK bravado.

            The U.S. Defense Department reported Russia has moved fighter aircraft into Syria.  It is not clear whether those aircraft are deliveries to the Assad regime or operational aircraft with Russian crews intended to support the Assad regime.  The former is bad enough.  The latter would be yet one more attempt by Putin to create and/or stimulate confrontation with the United States and Europe to bolster his political position in Russia. It was also reported that U.S. Defense Secretary Ash Carter spoke to his Russian counterpart about Russia's deepening role in Syria, ending a long hiatus in high-level military discussions between the two countries.  We could take the optimistic view that Russia is taking a more aggressive action against ISIL forces; yet, even the optimistic perspective would be extraordinarily dangerous if not coordinated with other allied air and ground operations in the combat zone.  For now, we must hope there is more positive in what appears to be a rather negative action by Putin.  The margin for error has been decreased.

            Secretary of State Kerry announced the U.S. will increase the number of Middle East refugees we will accept.  I am not convinced this is the correct action for any of us to take.  The refugee crisis in Europe continues to be quite troubling.  From a public perspective, there appears to be very little if any control.  Admitting individuals who may have no intention to assimilate into the culture they seek refuge is a recipe for future problems, stress and conflict.  The United States has been dealing with a similar lack of or insufficient control of our borders and the immigration process for decades, now.  In my humble opinion, only individuals who want to assimilate and can contribute to our society should be admitted into this country beyond a visitor visa.  I worked and lived in England and Italy for two years each.  In both cases, I had to have a sponsor for work, and I had to register with the local or provincial police.  Further, if I wanted to change my residence, I had to notify the police before and after a move.  We all must do better with border security and immigration control including enforcement.

            News from the economic front:
-- The U.S. Federal Reserve decided to leave short-term interest rates unchanged after weeks of market-churning speculation about whether it was time to end an era of near-zero rates in recognition of the stronger U.S. economy and job market.  Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen cited persistent concerns about low inflation, and volatile Chinese and financial markets as rationale for holding the status quo for now.

            Comments and contributions from Update no.717:
“Regarding MH370 – Well, no kidding.  It’s not like there was a bunch—any others for that matter—of missing 777 flaperons out there.  In other words, I am not aware of any reports of flaperons falling off of 777s.  Good observation on the lack of impact damage.  That makes this whole mystery even more interesting.  Hopefully one day we will know.
“Regarding the Air Force Museum – I have been there.  It is a great museum.  But let us not berate the Air Force for the planes they acquired and flew into harms’ way.  They did their job just like the rest of us with what they had.  –Semper Fi.
“Regarding the marriage license fiasco – Jailed?  No.  Fired?  Yes.”
My response:
            It is my understanding some (if not all) of the B777 flaperons were (are) assembled in India.  If so, I am not aware of whether all of the Work In Progress components were accounted for, thus my reluctance to identify the component as from MH370 without physical proof.
            Yes, the fate of MH370 is quite interesting for a host of reasons.  I remain guardedly optimistic they will eventually find the wreckage on the bottom of the Indian Ocean.  It took nearly two years to find AF447, and they had more to go on – they had the floating tail piece.  We just passed the 1.5-year mark for MH370.
            Ah, I think it was just sibling rivalry.  Yes, they do the job, just like all the rest of us.  I will get to Dayton eventually.
            I agree.  However, the only tool available to the judge was contempt.  If she really believed as she says she believes, the honorable action would have been resignation rather than defiance, but she did not take the honorable path.  She chose her religious beliefs over the law; that cannot be a tolerable state.

Another contribution:
“Long time no see although I do enjoy your blogs.   Glad you've kept real busy with writing.  Be careful on that damned motorcycle (although, I maybe I should just consider you as an organ donor on-the-hoof).
“Overcast, gray Sunday walkabout in central Berlin.  Obviously a very affluent city.  Wealthy German women taking their sweet little dogs out to poop on someone else's property.  The Germans seem to favor grand monuments and statues.  The Brandenburg Gate very beautiful but the three nearest businesses are Starbucks, Haagen-Dazs and Dunkin Donuts, in that order.   Maybe these will help pay for the Berlin Airlift.  Tiergarten very serene but I wonder how a society that generated Beethoven, Mozart and Hayden could have also generated Auschwitz?  I have long feared that the facade of our civilization was more fragile than we would like to think.  
“Dreary visit to the site of Hitler's bunker (now a car park) and to the Berlin Wall museum.  Somber reflections on these major markers from our current lives.   Have we done as well as we should have with these challenges?  The current prosperity and peace of the Germans, and of Europe and Japan in general, would indicate that our post-war efforts were good; certainly far better than the shortsighted end of the First World War.
“The Berlin Wall brings into question the existential struggle of our lifetimes between our western ideals and the failed, utopian ideals of Communism, which was hijacked by numerous tyrants to justify their power.  The current problem of Islamic fundamentalism is a pain in the butt but is certainly not an existential threat.  They want to advance to the 7th century and to meet their Allah, and we can probably help them in those efforts.
“I recall clearly my apprehension and fascination in 1989 as the wall came down and the Soviet Republic collapsed.   Certainly our western ideals and economic strength won that conflict (except for certain college professors in our leading liberal universities).   Many of us lost friends during those years of conflict.  Vast amounts of capital were expended on military defense on both sides that could have been used to advance civilization.  Was it worth it?  I have long felt some disdain for the Romans, in that they lost their Republic to dictators, ultimately leading to the collapse of western civilization.  Granted, the Roman wealth and knowledge was not widely shared but it was 14 centuries between their collapse and when the world regained the technology and knowledge the Greeks and Romans had in the fourth century.  Where would we be today if we had not lost those 1,400 years of knowledge accumulation and advancement?  With our lives, did we do as well as we should have?  Have we left our grandchildren with as good of a civilization as we should have, or could have?  How will our lives and contributions be judged?  
“Enough ranting.  Must find some decaffeinated coffee.  No one in Europe uses that stuff.  Another real coffee and I will probably really wig out.  Unfortunately, my calorie budget won't allow a beer. 
“Keep on writing but watch out with the motorcycle.”
My reply:
            Why are you in Berlin?  Business or pleasure?
            I’ve never been to Berlin as yet . . . maybe someday.  I certainly know some of the history.
            Righteousness of war . . . always a worthy debate topic . . . with no definitive answers.
            Interesting supposition, as well . . . where would we be today, if we had not lost the Greeks and Romans in the Dark Ages?  All good questions.  I tend to take the optimistic view in answers to such questions.  Certainly, one observation is axiomatic – we can always do better.  Even the so-called Greatest Generation made dreadful mistakes . . . seen with the clarity of hindsight.
            Thank you for your concern for my safety.  I can assure you my hero days are long gone.  I don’t ride as often as I would like . . . hard to write on a motorcycle.  However, I seem to get good thinking done on a slow, peaceful ride across the expanse of the Great Plains.  I ride with the constant vigilance born in the principle that everything out there is trying to kill me; it has kept me safe so far.
            I’m glad you can still find some value in the Update.  I’ve begun working on the first draft of Book 5 of my To So Few series of historical novels.  The publisher is in the pre-production stage of Book 3, which should be released later this year.  They also have the Book 4 manuscript, which is planned for release next year.
 . . . follow-up comment:
“I'm In Berlin on vacation enroute Poland.  Have never seen either place.
“My rants are certainly not to the caliber of your work but please use anything you want.  Continuing my feeble thoughts, I think our generation did fairly well.  Without significant real thought, I think the U.S. made a major mistake in 1945 when they failed to recognize Ho Chi Minh and tell the French to stay home.  The Vietnamese are more nationalistic and capitalistic than we are, not really communistic.  They would be where South Korea is now if we had let them.  Could have avoided the entire Vietnam war.  The other obvious mistake was to disband the Iraqi army in 2002.  They were the only stabilizing force in that benighted country.  Hell, we kept the Wehrmacht and the Japanese Armies in place where we needed the stability at the end of WW2.   Someone in the Bush administration must have been brain dead.”
 . . . my follow-up reply:
            Poland as well . . . oh my.  You have quite the trip in hand.
            Good point.  There are more than a few reasons for that particular mistake, but at the root I would suggest the distance Roosevelt kept all his vice presidents and in this instance most notably Truman, who was grossly ill-prepared to assume the responsibilities of POTUS.  Truman was quite susceptible to the virulent anti-communist mindset, common in the day, rather than examining the underlying motivations.  Especially after Roosevelt’s counter-empire efforts from the Atlantic Charter onward, to attempt to re-establish the French empire in Indochina in the post-war years cost us 58,000 precious lives.

            My very best wishes to all.  Take care of yourselves and each other.
Cheers,
Cap                        :-)

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