04 March 2013

Update no.585


Update from the Heartland
No.585
25.2.13 – 3.3.13
Blog version:  http://heartlandupdate.blogspot.com/
To all,

ERRATUM: As noted by a contributor in the Comment section, I erroneously reported the number of jet product lines up for sale by Beechcraft Corporation; it is four (4) vice three as originally reported [584].  Thank you for the catch.

An absolutely fascinating video from NASA-Goddard of what is called coronal rain on the surface of the Sun:
Enjoy! 
This website is my first visit every morning . . . and understandably so, I do believe.

On Tuesday, the Senate broke the filibuster with a cloture vote of 71-27-0-2(0) to cut off the debate on Nomination Number: PN34, and later in the day, the Senate voted 58-41-0-1(0) to confirm Senator Charles Timothy “Chuck” Hagel of Nebraska to be Secretary of Defense – the closest vote for a SecDef since the creation of the Cabinet post in 1947.  The deed is done; we move on.

The Senate voted 71-26-0-3(0) on Nomination Number: PN40, to confirm Jacob Joseph “Jack” Lew as Secretary of the Treasury.

The abdication of Pope Benedict XVI became effective after Joseph Alois Ratzinger flew by helicopter to Castel Gandolfo (the papal summer retreat) and set history as the first pope emeritus.  The College of Cardinals will convene in conclave soon to select a new Pope for the Catholic Church.

Some thoughts on sequestration . . . if anyone cares.
            The process finally went into execution phase at 23:59 [R] EST, Friday, 1.March.2013, in accordance with Title IX, Subtitle A, § 901 of the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012 [PL 112-240; 126 Stat. 2313, 2370; 2.January.2013].  The Federal government (USG) has begun the process of reducing its FY2013 spending by US$85B.  We shall see how the USG implements the spending reductions.  For those of us who do business with the USG, the consequences have been a major topic of discussion and concern with no plan or guidance.
            The sequence of events in law began with the passage by Congress and the signing by the President of the Budget Control Act of 2011 (BCA) [PL 112-025; 125 Stat. 240; 2.August.2011], and specifically Title I [125 Stat. 241] of the BCA, intended to force Congress into making the necessary tax reform and spending reduction to shrink or eliminate the federal deficit and borrowing demands, as Congress increased the debt limit “one last time.”  We could argue the penchant for obscene spending by Congress, coupled with the intransigence of the political parties, began long before the BCA, but that effort might well become an infinite “Do Loop,” using FORTRAN programming parlance.  The Senate made two lame, last minute attempts to stave off sequestration.  Both attempts failed for one reason or another.  I have no confidence Congress will do what has to be done.
            The difficulty for us mere citizens remains sorting the wheat from the chaff.  Both political poles have been rattling the saber with their fear-mongering, and all sorts of accusations have been spat upon the public forum.  The Republican House leadership has accused the President of creating the crisis by suggesting sequestration in the first place, but I find that notion specious, disingenuous, and otherwise a really foolish, juvenile, “nanny-nanny-poo-poo” attempt.  The source makes no never-mind.  Congress framed the legislation, passed the bill, and the President signed the BCA into law.  However, all that “who shot John” falderal is peripheral, distracting and otherwise not contributory to finding a solution.  Congress (both parties) have had multiple opportunities to do the responsible things necessary to reduce spending.
            At first, I got a bit rankled with the administration’s agents talking about flight delays, reduced meat inspections, teacher layoffs, releasing illegal aliens and such.  Then, I began to think through the situation.  The USG spending the Executive has authority to reduce at its discretion is just a grain of sand on a vast beach.  Congress decides the real hard-spending by specific allocations to projects and programs they define, and provides blocks of funding for discretionary-spending by the Executive based on conditions and circumstances.  Here, I call tax breaks, or as Congress likes to euphemistically called them tax incentives, hard-spending as they reduce revenue and are defined by law. The Executive cannot cut spending on those items within the law; Congress must amend the law to affect those hard-spending expenditures. Thus, the sequester spending reductions are going to hit employment and related expenditures as the hard funds for entitlements, tax breaks, brick & mortar and acquisitions are defined by law.  Further, the only folks who will pay the price for the inability of Congress to do their job will be ordinary working citizens employed by the USG, and as the shock waves reverberate across the economy, many of the rest of us common folk.  The consequences will certainly not be felt by the wealthy who become more wealthy by all the congressional largesse heaped upon them by tax breaks of multiple forms and pet projects paid for by the public treasury.  So, it should be no surprise that blanket spending reductions will unnecessarily impact federal employment, i.e., inspectors, agents, analysts and such.  I wish the President and others would have done a better job explaining all that, but that’s life . . . and so it goes.
            Congress must get serious about tax reform, earmark elimination, and hard spending reductions.  Some short-term revenue provisions would seem appropriate and warranted to reduce the USG debt burden and budget deficits.  I believe the USG has far more revenue than it should have, so I am not particularly interested in permanent tax increases.  We simply must wean our representatives and senators from the corrupting influence of earmarks and other federal spending that is not for the general welfare of the whole nation.  Spending on bridges to nowhere, knitting needle museums, Podunk airports, and such nonsense can no longer be tolerated.  I am not naïve to the point of thinking Congress would actually reduce or cut off funding to those individuals and corporations who make them wealthy.  This cycle of corruption is not likely to be broken until We, the People, wise-up and force disconnection between our representation in Congress and the highly corrosive influence of money.  I hold little hope of seeing the necessary change in my lifetime.

News from the economic front:
-- U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke moved to downplay concerns [584] about the third round of Quantitative Easing, known as QE3, in testimony to Congress that suggests the Fed will continue to purchase assets.  He indicated the costs and risks of QE3 are offset by other benefits or else the central bank had them under control.
-- The Financial Times [of London] reported that the People’s Republic of China (PRC) seeks to rein in its fast-growing shadow banking system by requiring banks to provide extensive disclosures about the off-balance sheet investment products that they sell to customers.  The report indicated the shadow banking system has increased fourfold in size since 2008, to about Rmb20T (US$3.2T), or 40% of the PRC’s GDP, and poses an increasingly serious risk to Chinese economic stability.  The government is apparently considering the establishment of a hard cap on the number of investment products that banks can issue as a percentage of their assets.

Comments and contributions from Update no.584:
Comment to the Blog:
“I hope this finds you and yours safe from the storms. I understand how desperately the Great Plains needs water, but this is a rugged way to receive it. Please take good care of yourself. Your well-being matters more than your sidewalk or driveway.
“You made a rare-for-you error in this one. “All three product lines – Premier (390), Beechjet (400), Hawker series (987) and Horizon (4000) – ceased production . . .” does not add up correctly. I hope the company and especially its employees prosper.
“General Allen has taken an action appropriate to his situation. I find it difficult to believe how few politicians foresee the consequences of their actions.
“Unfortunately, we have no way to gauge the truth or falsehood of that Mandiant report accusing the Chinese of Internet espionage. Why would they lie? One easy guess is that some people in DC miss having a clear opponent/target to replace the Communist Soviets. They prospered more when they could point at a particular bogey man. See my comment above about consequences.
“I have read that article about polyamory. The source of that is Scientific American, and their choosing to publish this particular material may be another indicator of our national attitudes finally beginning to thaw after the long winter of Victorianism.
“The Fed, the Eurozone, et al., will take a back seat in economic news if the Congress continues its insane deadlock. Same comment about consequences.
“I found your commenter on the Christian churches’ position on contraception rather difficult to decipher, but I gather than he wants his moral beliefs to be the law of the land. He would have better luck in a theocracy such as Iran or Israel. Theocracy is not an American approach.”
My response to the Blog:
Calvin,
            Thanks for your wishes.  I’ve got the snowblower workin’ finally, so it should be easier to keep up before the snow gets too deep in the future.  The current forecast storm has yet to materialize, but there will be more.
            Re: error.  Excellent catch and my bad.  There are indeed four jet product lines vice three as erroneously reported.  I have good expectations for the company’s future post Chapter 11.
            Re: General Allen.  It is my inadequately informed opinion that the general’s fundamental right to privacy was abused, and he was treated very poorly and quite inappropriately. 
            Re: Mandiant.  Perhaps.  The report could also be accurate and understating the threat.
            Re: national attitudes.  I truly hope you are correct in your assessment.
            Re: economic news.  Once again, I suspect you’ve made another accurate observation.
            Re: contraception.  I apologize to both you and the contributor for my poor editing; I tried to achieve a reasonable length and preserve the content.  I do not believe the contributor seeks a theocracy but rather voiced the position of the Catholic Church – for the Church, for its believers, and apparently for its employees as well.  To me, this debate is a classic organization versus the individual.  Whose rights are supreme and under what context?  This debate is a vital and essential issue for this Grand Republic or any free society.

My very best wishes to all.  Take care of yourselves and each other.
Cheers,
Cap                        :-)

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